NFL notes: How the Patriots and Bills switched places in the AFC East

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Once upon a time, during a dynasty far, far away, the Buffalo Bills were an afterthought.

A laughingstock.

A doormat the Patriots, Dolphins and even Jets wiped their feet on during the season. No team failed quite like the Bills, a little brother’s little brother with a long history of bad quarterbacks, fumbled coaching searches and lost drafts.

From 2001 to 2019, whenever Tom Brady started and finished a game against Buffalo, the Patriotss won. During one stretch spanning the late 2000s and early 2010s, the Pats beat the Bills 15 straight times. In all, the Patriotss went 34-4 in the division series during the Brady era.

But at the end, Buffalo quietly began to gain significant ground. Head coach Sean McDermott arrived in 2017, and Brady threw more interceptions than touchdowns against McDermott’s defense over his last three seasons.

Then Brady left, and Josh Allen, after struggling in his initial battles with Bill Belichick, took over. Over the past three years, Allen has tossed 18 touchdowns to two interceptions against the Patriots. The Bills have gone 6-1, averaging more than 30 points per game.

Like Brady, there is no solution for Allen, a modern master of the quarterback position. Aside from Allen’s unprecedented development, Buffalo has steadily built one of the league’s best rosters around him. Belichick was asked about that process Wednesday.

“You’re talking about a period of years here, but right now, they’re really a well-balanced team,” Belichick began Wednesday.

FOXBORO MA. – DECEMBER 26: New England Patriots head coach Bill Belichick walks the sidelines during the 2nd quarter of the game against the Buffalo Bills at Gillette Stadium on December 26, 2021 in Foxboro, MA. (Staff Photo By Nancy Lane/MediaNews Group/Boston Herald)

Then he hit on the Bills’ highly rated special teams, their defense that generates turnovers and an offense stocked with weapons. Finally, Belichick nailed the dismount.

“I mean, they brought basically the same team back two years in a row,” he said. “They haven’t made a lot of changes in the last two years.”

Bingo. Continuity.

In the same way the Patriots could run it back around Brady and Belichick and remain competitive year after year, Buffalo now enjoys the fruits of nailing any franchise’s two most important decisions and years of roster-building around them. Allen was a risk, a developmental prospect refined over three years by former offensive coordinator Brian Daboll, now the Giants head coach.

Once Allen proved worthy of further investment, the Bills traded for ex-Vikings receiver Stefon Diggs in March 2020. He was the missing piece for an offense that had grown into a steady, if unspectacular, unit in 2019. Diggs elevated Buffalo in a way only a true No. 1 wide receiver can.

“They’re a very explosive team,” Pats linebacker Jahlani Tavai said. “They have (Stefon) Diggs on the outside, and they have a really strong running game.”

Diggs made the All-Pro Team in his debut season and has earned a Pro Bowl nod every year since. His acquisition represents the starkest difference between the Patriots’ building strategy around Mac Jones and how the Bills invest in Allen’s supporting cast. Though, there are similarities, including mid-level veteran signings in free agency.

Patriots need to find Demario Douglas more snaps coming off of injury

Offensively, Buffalo also ran a game-plan operation under Daboll, an ex-Patriots assistant, meaning they adapted their schemes each week to attack specific weaknesses in their next opponent. Under Daboll and his successor, Ken Dorsey, the Bills have gashed Belichick’s defense more deeply and more consistently than any other opponent to face him as a head coach. The Pats felt this shift in 2019, the beginning of their end and the dawn of Buffalo’s current era.

From ex-Patriots linebacker Dont’a Hightower in December of that season: “I think constantly whenever we play Buffalo — especially defensively — they always have a new wrinkle. And I mean, the skill players that they have and the offensive line that they have, the way that they’re built, it’s built to be in this division. It’s built to play us.”

In the draft, the Bills separated themselves by hitting on virtually every top pick under McDermott and general manager Brandon Beane. Before Allen, Buffalo selected cornerback Tre’Davious White, a two-time Pro Bowler, in 2017. Then came Allen, and in 2019, they selected defensive tackle Ed Oliver, whom Belichick described this week as “as good as anybody we’ll play.”

In consecutive years, the Bills added defensive linemen A.J. Epenesa and Gregory Rousseau with their top picks, now cornerstones of the NFL’s best pass rush. While 2022 first-round cornerback Kaiir Elam is trending toward bust territory, Buffalo unequivocally hit on 2022 second-round running back James Cook, one of the league’s most impressive young rushers. Another mid-round pick from that draft, linebacker Terrel Bernard, is currently the Bills’ leading tackler, while rookie first-round tight end Dalton Kincaid ranks third in receptions, behind Diggs and another one-time mid-round pick, Gabriel Davis.

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By contrast, the Patriots roster one player from their 2016 and 2017 draft classes combined. They whiffed on 2018 first-rounders Sony Michel and Isaiah Wynn, cut ties with every draft pick from 2019 and almost half of their 2020 class is now out of the league. Things began to turn in 2021, when the Pats landed Mac Jones, Christian Barmore and Rhamondre Stevenson, but early returns on their 2022 haul are discouraging.

Without a young core and question marks at quarterback and on their coaching staff, the Patriots are the team they used to beat like a punching bag for all those years. And the results bear it out.

As of Friday night, the Bills were 8.5-point favorites, and if that holds, they will be heaviest favorites to ever walk into Gillette Stadium.   How soon the Pats can reverse roles with Buffalo will depend on the answers to the aforementioned questions, and perhaps a little bit more free-agent spending.

Buffalo is scheduled to rank in the top 10 for cash spending every season through 2026, while the Patriots sit 30th, 31st and 32nd and 29th over the next four years.

Scarnecchia thankful for the memories

On Friday afternoon, the eve of his induction into the Patriots Hall of Fame, former offensive line coach Dante Scarnecchia reflected on his 34-year career in New England.

“(I) never thought anything like this would ever happen to me,” he told reporters.

Scarnecchia’s tenure pre-dated Bill Belichick’s hiring as head coach and included five Super Bowl wins. Before becoming Belichick’s top assistant and O-line coach in 2000, Scarnecchia coached in New England from 1982-1988, then returned to work under former Patriots head coaches Dick MacPherson, Bill Parcells and Pete Carroll.

Bill Belichick honors Dante Scarnecchia, Mike Vrabel ahead of Patriots Hall of Fame ceremony

Scarnecchia counted the Patriots’ introduction as a team at Super Bowl XXXVI in Feb. 2002 among his favorite memories.Of all the challenges Scarnecchia helped the Patriots’ offensive line overcome, he highlighted their victory in Super Bowl XXXVIII over the Panthers in Feb. 2004. He remembered Carolina’s defensive line being loaded with first-round picks, and his offensive line, specifically left guard Russ Hochstein, receiving outside criticism before kickoff.

“That was one of those games against Carolina where we had to really be at our best,” he said. “I remember specifically, Russ Hochstein started that game for us. And Warren Sapp went on TV and beat (Hochstein) up really bad because he had been in Tampa, and they cut him and we claimed because I really liked the way Russ played football in Nebraska. And (Hochstein) started that game.

“And Sapp beat him up on Wednesday night, all the players were concerned about it. Shoot, he went out there and played a great game. That was special. That was really special.”

As for the team’s current offensive line, one of the NFL’s worst, Scarnecchia told 98.5 The Sports Hub on Friday morning: “It’s just a lack of continuity, and that’s very important. And I think that’s the biggest problem, and hopefully, hopefully, they can get that resolved. Hopefully they can get Mac (Jones) into a comfort level and a confidence level that he’s had in his three years here, at times.”

Pats’ practice change

Foxboro, MA – September 20: Patriots Mac Jones stretches during practice at Gillette Stadium. (Matt Stone/Boston Herald)

For a second straight week, the Patriots shifted their practice scheduled to include a walkthrough on Tuesday.

Bill Belichick explained the change as an adjustment to the team’s travel schedule returning from Las Vegas last weekend. The week before that, Belichick opted to give players the day off following their 34-0 beatdown at the hands of the Saints.

Regardless of the reason, Pats wide receiver Kendrick Bourne said this week he appreciated the change.

“Practicing on Tuesdays has been new for us, but for me personally, but I think it’s good for us,” Bourne said. “Everybody’s coming out there with the right mentality, and it’s been two days of some good work. You can just feel the energy, guys are going hard. Shout-out to our O-line today, it was kind of like their damn pads, and I feel like they were intense today, and I like that energy from them because I feel like we feed off them. So to see them start good and have a good day, I feel like the energy is right out there.”

Quote of the Week

“Football is a big part of my life, but I also have other parts of my life, you know? I think I’m definitely sometimes misconstrued, or whatever, but I just try to be Mac.” — Mac Jones on how he believes he’s related to Patriots fans.

Ukraine skeptics not ready to buy Biden’s ‘made in America’ pitch

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President Joe Biden is making a new case to the American public for shipping arms, ammunition and other military supplies to the wars in Ukraine and Israel.

His argument: many of those supplies are made in America — and that’s good for American jobs.

In an Oval Office address Thursday seeking more than $106 billion in aid for Israel, Ukraine and other priorities, Biden linked the fight against Russia’s invasion to the attacks by Hamas. But he also underscored that much of the Ukraine funding he’s seeking would never leave the United States.

That argument — which namechecked 2024 battleground states Pennsylvania and Arizona — comes as Biden makes a reelection pitch centered on his efforts to create jobs and revitalize domestic manufacturing in sectors such as clean energy and semiconductor fabrication. The agenda, known as Bidenomics, has been met with skepticism from voters, according to polls, but the president appears set on putting it at the core of his reelection campaign.

And now that message includes arms manufacturing. The administration is pushing to ramp up the defense industrial base to pump out more artillery shells, missiles and other weapons for the U.S. and allies. The newest aid proposal, released Friday, includes $61.4 billion for Ukraine, of which $30 billion is for direct Ukrainian military aid.

“Let me be clear about something,” Biden said. “We send Ukraine equipment sitting in our stockpiles. And when we use the money allocated by Congress, we use it to replenish our own stores, our own stockpiles with new equipment.”

“Equipment that defends America and is made in America. Patriot missiles for air defense batteries, made in Arizona. Artillery shells manufactured in 12 states across the country, in Pennsylvania, Ohio, Texas. And so much more,” he said. “You know, just as in World War II, today patriotic American workers are building the arsenal of democracy and serving the cause of freedom.”

For Democrats who have been eager to see Biden more actively selling the war supply effort to weary voters, the made-in-America angle is a welcome sign of political vigor. They acknowledge, though, that it is not a sure-thing political wager.

“To anybody that actually wants to, in good faith, make the decision, it’s certainly a really important and, I think, persuasive argument that this is about American jobs. It’s about helping actually bolster our entire defense manufacturing enterprise,” said Rep. Pat Ryan (D-N.Y.). “But I fear, and past behavior has shown, the MAGA extremists aren’t actually making this decision in good faith. They’re making it based on Russian propaganda that’s been propagated by Trump and everybody else.”

“So I don’t know that it sways, unfortunately, the people who you’d want to sway,” he lamented.

While Biden’s message might resonate with some voters, it’s not getting much traction with House Republicans who oppose more aid, at least not yet. Interviews with House GOP lawmakers on Friday showed that even those who feel Ukraine aid is justified aren’t buying Biden’s argument.

“Obviously the supply chain is important, but the president and people in his Cabinet need to sit down with members and lay down the strategy in Ukraine — and that’s the problem,” said House Defense Appropriations Chair Ken Calvert (D-Calif.), an ally of Ukraine aid. “One thing I’ve learned here is going to war, once it starts, it’s hard to end. We learned that in Iraq, we learned that in Afghanistan, and so what’s the strategy? How does this end?”

Bipartisan majorities in both chambers still support arming Ukraine, but a smaller $24 billion package Biden proposed has languished on Capitol Hill since August. House Republicans are increasingly opposed to new funding, and many GOP lawmakers argue Biden hasn’t properly justified the funding and laid out an endgame for the war.

“I’m glad somebody finally told Biden to talk about what the hell Ukraine aid is doing,” Rep. Dan Crenshaw (R-Texas), a Ukraine aid supporter, said of noting that much of the funding is spent in the U.S. “That’s helpful and it’s absolutely a requirement for some people. It’s also not true of some kinds of aid, especially humanitarian aid.”

Ukraine funding remains a politically toxic issue for House Republicans. Further aid is unpopular with the GOP base and opposed by figures such as former President Donald Trump, making it difficult for many lawmakers to support.

Rep. Don Bacon (R-Neb.), a Ukraine aid supporter, said Biden’s argument might reach some voters, but there are Republican lawmakers who he’ll never reach on Ukraine.

“Two months after the invasion when Biden [said] we’ve got to go all in and help — we have a certain group of people that whatever Biden says they’ve got to do the opposite,” Bacon said. “You could tell that was the turning point. Biden came out and said we want to do this and they were like, not any more.”

Ohio Republican Rep. Warren Davidson sponsored legislation that failed in July, which would have required the administration to define its mission in Ukraine. Wherever the aid is manufactured, he said, the administration needs to be more transparent about where the aid is going and the strategy in supporting Ukraine’s fight.

“What’s the objective? You don’t have to commit to achieving it, you just have to tell me what you’re trying to achieve?” Davidson said. “And then I think we do need some more accountability. The American people are very suspect of where it’s going. They want a little more accountability.”

Ukraine has been striking Russian logistics hubs using Lockheed Martin’s Guided Multiple Launch Rocket System, or GMLRS, that are partially made in Lufkin, Texas — a city of 34,000 people that saw its paper mill and foundry close over the last two decades.

It’s represented by Republican Rep. Pete Sessions, a Ukraine aid supporter, who said Friday that the U.S. has an obligation to protect Ukraine under its post-Cold War security commitments. He was turned off by Biden’s economic appeal.

“That’s the politics, but the reality is we need to do it because it’s the right thing,” Sessions said. “He’s stuck, and I don’t fault him for trying to take a middle road.”

The U.S. has awarded hundreds of millions of dollars in contracts for the High Mobility Artillery Rocket System launchers that fire GMLRS and are made in Camden, Ark., a town of about 10,000 people that’s 100 miles south of Little Rock.

Republican Rep. Bruce Westerman, who represents Camden, said critics of government spending can be surprised to know some of that spending is going back to communities like his.

“I actually had some constituents text me last night and say $100 billion is a lot of money to give away, and I made the point that a lot of that equipment is made in my district,” Westerman said. “Something that even gets missed on foreign food aid is that it’s a lot of money coming back to American producers and manufacturers.

“You can’t divorce it from the fact that it’s government spending that wouldn’t otherwise be happening, but it is government spending going back into local communities that are making this equipment.”

A bigger driver for House Republicans to back Ukraine aid may ultimately be whether they can extract border security concessions from Biden and Senate Democrats. Biden’s supplemental request includes $13.6 billion for security efforts at the U.S.-Mexico border.

Republicans are also seeking border policy changes from the administration, and see a Ukraine funding request as an opportunity for leverage.

“I’d be really surprised if Republicans wanted to let Russia win more than they wanted our own border secure,” Crenshaw said. “So I think that is the grand bargain that needs to happen.”

Sick of Cancel Culture? One Man Has a Surprising Solution.

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To pinpoint the birth of the cancel culture era one has to go back to shortly before Halloween 2015.

A group of Yale deans had sent an email urging students to avoid insensitive costume choices. Three days later, Erika Christakis, the co-director (then called “co-master”), of Silliman, one of Yale’s 12 residential colleges, sent her own email to students. Christakis acknowledged “genuine concerns about cultural and personal representation,” but, drawing upon her own experience and research as an expert in early childhood education, suggested the students themselves were best positioned to police their own conduct. She also mused about the consequences of delegating control over their behavior to bureaucrats.

A dizzying backlash ensued. Students circulated a petition demanding Christakis and her co-master and husband, Nicholas, an eminent sociologist and physician, resign their Silliman posts. The courtyard was quickly covered with chalked protest messages.

The following Sunday, Nicholas Christakis decided to walk the courtyard and read the notes. “I could have stayed indoors,” he told me recently, “but I felt like Marie Antoinette.” Word got out, and Christakis was soon surrounded by a crowd of some 150 students and administrators. Things escalated when he tried to make a point about competing rights to express oneself. A YouTube video of the ensuing encounter has been viewed 1.8 million times.

“Be quiet!” a young woman can be heard screaming at Christakis. “It is your job to create a place of comfort and home for the students who live in Silliman!” she shouts. “By sending out that email, that goes against your position as master! Do you understand that?”

“No,” Christakis replies, “I don’t agree with that.”

“Then why the fuck did you accept that position?”

With preternatural calm, Christakis says, “I have a different view.”

But the student dismisses Christakis’ suggestion that residential colleges should foster an intellectual environment for challenging discourse.

“You should not sleep at night!” she cries. “You are disgusting!”

At the end of the academic year, the Christakises resigned their positions as co-masters of Silliman. Erika never taught at Yale again.

The videographer of the Halloween conflict and witness to this quietly critical moment in society just so happened to be Greg Lukianoff, one of the nation’s preeminent First Amendment lawyers and most vivid chroniclers of American fragility.

The presence of Lukianoff, who was on Yale’s campus that day to give a speech, is an apt metaphor for his career. As president of the Foundation for Individual Rights and Expression, Lukianoff has been either in front of the camera or behind the scenes of almost every major free speech controversy over the past 25 years. A near sui generis figure in American legal history, he’s the rarest of creatures in modern public life: someone dedicated to elevating principle over tribalism, a progressive who’s willing to ally himself with anyone — even the Koch brothers — who supports his larger cause.

That cause is a near absolute commitment to the First Amendment and civil liberties. It’s premised upon a faith in the human capacity to tolerate complexity, hearkening to F. Scott Fitzgerald’s observation that “the test of a first-rate intelligence is the ability to hold two opposed ideas in mind at the same time and still retain the ability to function.” That Americans can recognize the importance of the due process rights of a likely criminal or the speech rights of someone with extreme or loathsome views.

Most deeply, it’s rooted in the belief that governmental and institutional authority is never more dangerous than when it infringes upon freedom of thought and expression — even when the motivation is noble.

“The Constitution is always what tends to save us,” Lukianoff told me. “‘We have to destroy freedom to save freedom’ is one of the thin-sound philosophies that can lead to tyranny.”

Lukianoff’s philosophy — civil libertarianism — is arguably the very core of the American project. And yet it now faces intense threats from the left and the right, which Lukianoff chronicles in a new book on cancel culture. The book also offers some prescriptions, a new approach to politics and culture that could help bridge our poisonous divide, if given the chance.

Lukianoff doesn’t have all the answers, but as he recounted his own struggles with severe depression, it’s clear that his approach is a healing one. Whether Americans are willing to listen — and whether civil libertarianism can survive — is far less certain.

Lukianoff grew up a latchkey kid in Danbury, Conn., a working-class city that was once the center of the American hat industry. When he was 7, his mother, Joanna, an ethnically Irish Brit who’d come to the U.S. as a teenager, divorced his father, Basil, a Yugoslavian. Following the split, Basil moved to Geneva leaving Joanna to raise Greg and his three older siblings. The Lukianoffs struggled financially, qualifying for public assistance until Joanna found work as a geriatric nurse. To help support his family, Lukianoff worked at Sbarro’s, Burlington Coat Factory, and during summers, as a cook on Block Island.

He began his academic career at St. Joseph, a small Catholic school, where the nuns embraced him even though he was an unenthusiastic student and identified as an agnostic. Lukianoff describes the sisters’ open mindedness as his first lesson in pluralism. At Immaculate High School, he played defensive tackle in football and excelled at quiz bowl, but still felt ambivalent about structured education.

“We didn’t attend school very often,” says Lukianoff’s childhood best friend, Anthony Rodriguez, today a professor of education at Providence College. “We just wanted to have space for people like us — free thinkers — kids who maybe were born on the other side of the tracks.”

During his senior year, Lukianoff submitted only one college application — to American University — where his sister had worked as an organizer of the centennial celebration. He enrolled, majored in international relations and felt entirely alienated. “American was the worst school to go to if you had a class chip on your shoulder,” Lukianoff told me. “It was the kind of place a lot of rich kids went if they couldn’t get in somewhere else.” He recalled with anger the loans his mother was forced to take to keep him in school. “I have no warm fuzzies about American.”

It’s plausible to imagine writing having been the center of Lukianoff’s life. He edited a literary magazine in high school and has two unpublished science fiction novels on his computer. At American, he worked for the student newspaper, covering gun violence in D.C. But he took the biggest interest in the sensitivity of people who demanded retractions of articles and in a campus visit from an ACLU lawyer who challenged a D.C. sexual assault bill as unconstitutionally vague.

“That made a big impression on me,” he said.

Without great conviction, Lukianoff took the LSAT, did better than he expected, and landed at Stanford. There, he again drifted until he met Kathleen Sullivan, a constitutional law scholar who changed the course of his life.

As Lukianoff recalls, Sullivan gave him a dose of tough love during their first meeting following a constitutional law class. When he expressed his ambivalence about law school, Sullivan said he should consider dropping out. (Sullivan only vaguely recalls the incident and says her comments were surely intended to light a fire under Lukianoff, whom she recalls as “enormously impressive and immensely intellectually curious.”)

After taking a second course with Sullivan on the First Amendment, Lukianoff told her this was the cause to which he wanted to dedicate his life. Sullivan introduced him to Harvey Silverglate, a left-leaning Boston-based lawyer, who, together with Charles Kors, a conservative history professor at the University of Pennsylvania, had recently started an organization then called the Foundation for Individual Rights in Education, dedicated to protecting speech at colleges and universities.

In 2001, Lukianoff signed on as legal director. At the time, FIRE, as it’s universally known, had a budget of just over $500,000 and five employees. When he took over as president five years later, FIRE had a staff of only 12. Today, the organization employs 109 people, including 42 lawyers, and has an annual budget of nearly $37 million. Its work includes student and faculty outreach, public education, litigation on individual cases, legislative policy advocacy and reform of campus speech codes. FIRE claims more than 500 victories for students and faculty members and a nearly equal number of campus policy changes. Lukianoff’s career would have been notable for these accomplishments alone.

But his project really got going only after he got serious about killing himself.

Lukianoff, 48, with a cherubic smile and a beard that Ron Swanson would envy, describes his descent into depression following his appointment as president of FIRE in 2006 with disarming detachment.

“The first year was incredibly exhausting,” he told me. Lukianoff had a bad breakup and contracted Lyme disease during a trip to Martha’s Vineyard. At the same time, he felt a professional responsibility to project the image that both he and FIRE were doing great, as well as a daunting obligation to demonstrate FIRE’s neutrality on all cases of free speech. When FIRE received a letter from a Christian conservative saying the organization wouldn’t care about people like him, Lukianoff thought, “I have to prove that I will care about people like him.” Soon, he was caring about everyone but himself.

By winter 2007, Lukianoff couldn’t stop thinking about suicide. “One day, I went to the hardware store. The plan was to take all of my medications and grind them up and to get wire and a thick bag to put over my head so if I woke up I would suffocate.” But, Lukianoff said, “something finally went off in my head.” He called 911, and agreed to be held for three days at the University of Pennsylvania hospital.

After the weekend, Lukianoff’s sister, a physician, collected him. That Tuesday, he returned to work without mentioning a word to his colleagues. Lukianoff felt FIRE couldn’t survive a perception of weakness in its leader.

Will Creeley, FIRE’s legal director, said he had no idea Lukianoff was suffering. No one did.

“Greg has shielded us,” Creeley told me. “I think it’s taken a toll on him. To do this work properly and consistently requires a patience and a willingness to suffer the slings and arrow. That really can be tough.” By Christmas, Lukianoff was still thinking about killing himself enough that he cried when his family mentioned the new year.

Lukianoff experimented with a variety of treatments. He tried EMDR (eye movement desensitization and reprocessing therapy), which helped him deal with some early childhood issues that he prefers to keep private but also retraumatized him. Antidepressants made his condition worse. Finally, Lukianoff began cognitive behavioral therapy with Jonathan Kaplan, a psychologist who grounded his practice in Buddhism. Gradually, Lukianoff began to feel better.

“I began to see my thoughts like the weather,” he says. This self-mastery again changed Lukianoff’s life.

During the 2013-14 school year, as he regained control personally, Lukianoff noticed a sea change on college campuses. Traditionally, students had opposed censorship by college administrators. Now, they were increasingly calling on them to stifle speech. And they were invoking unfamiliar language.

“That year,” Lukianoff said, “was the first time I ever heard of microaggressions.” He contrasted the new rhetoric of safe spaces and trigger warnings, which seemed to be encouraging emotional fragility, with his own experiences with cognitive behavioral therapy, which fostered resilience.

Lukianoff pitched the connection between civil libertarianism and cognitive behavioral therapy to his colleagues at FIRE. The response was “overwhelming silence,” he said. But NYU psychologist Jonathan Haidt bought in. Together, they published an article in the Atlantic under a title suggested by their editor, Don Peck. In “The Coddling of the American Mind,” Lukianoff and Haidt traced students’ increased sensitivity to the paranoid parenting that became prevalent in the 1990s, and argued that the culture of safetyism permeating campuses exponentially increased the risk that a student would see words as violence. Colleges, they argued, were imbuing students with the precise opposite of the sort of resilience that cognitive behavioral therapy tried to cultivate.

The article caused a stir, and they expanded it into a book framed around three “Great Untruths” at the root of the spreading epidemic of fragility:

— The Untruth of Fragility: What doesn’t kill you makes you weaker.

— The Untruth of Emotional Reasoning: Always trust your feelings

— The Untruth of Us versus Them: Life is a battle between good and evil people.

 

The Coddling of the American Mind reached No. 8 on the New York Times bestseller list and sold over 600,000 copies.

Lukianoff’s new book, The Canceling of the American Mind, co-authored with Rikki Schlott, a New York Post columnist and right-leaning podcaster, is a companion piece of sorts to The Coddling. Superficially about cancel culture, it’s more deeply about the kinds of interaction and engagement that foment mutual distrust, and which are familiar to anyone who recently has discussed a politically sensitive issue on social media or in the academy.

Lukianoff and Schlott call these “rhetorical fortresses,” which they categorize with admirable precision. One set of fortresses are rhetorical deflections — such as whataboutism, straw-manning and minimization — which people use to avoid dealing with the substance of an argument. The other are effectively forms of ad hominem attacks — efforts to dismiss arguments on the basis of the speaker’s identity or character.

The Canceling also offers a sort of Buddhist guide to public discourse — to cultivating what the Vietnamese monk Thich Nhat Hanh referred to as Right Thinking and Right Speech, practices rooted in mindfulness. Read together with The Coddling, Lukianoff lays out a worldview of self-aware individuals and institutions that promote mutual respect.

The books are a call for humility and extending grace, at least temporarily, for the sake of clarification; for reason and due process over emotion and rushes to judgment; and an acknowledgment of the difficulty of resolving questions of fairness by situated actors.

It’s almost the precise opposite of modern academic and political discourse.

Lukianoff and Schlott bolster their case with harrowing tales of cancellations, including the Christakises’, and other vivid illustrations of the precarious position of entering almost any topic — fraught or not — in the public sphere or classroom.

I can vouch for this from the front lines. Last year, I watched a liberal colleague pilloried for questioning the efficacy of mandatory DEI statements and rubrics; attended a de facto compulsory DEI training where a colleague — a national expert on policing — offered competing data regarding police shootings and was told that our job — a group of social scientists at a college of criminal justice — was to listen to the trainers’ data, not challenge it; and feared for my own cancellation when I defended the freedom of speech of a conservative student at a forum on freedom of speech.

Faculty on both the left and right are terrified. More than half of the respondents to a study of faculty conducted by the Higher Education Research Institute said faculty aren’t prepared to deal with classroom conflict over diversity issues. When FIRE surveyed 1,491 college faculty, 91 percent said they were at least “somewhat likely” to self-censor. Seventy-two percent of self-identified conservative faculty members said they’re afraid of losing their job or reputation over a misunderstanding of something they said or did, or because someone posted something from their past online. Forty percent of liberal faculty said the same thing.

From 2014 to 2022, FIRE recorded 946 attempts to punish professors for speech.

By any imaginable metric, civil libertarianism is under ominous threat.

Whether the threats to free speech are more severe from the right or the left is hotly debated, a hardly surprising reality given the polarization of modern America.

The only points of wide agreement among political observers and combatants alike are that the nature of the threat posed by each side is quite different — Lukianoff and Schlott distinguish the rhetorical fortresses upon which each side relies — and that both the left and right are guilty of significant inconsistencies.

The right’s “efficient rhetorical fortress,” as Lukianoff and Schlott call it, is like tribalism on steroids. Under its principles, one doesn’t have to listen to liberals, experts (including journalists) and, for MAGA supporters, anyone who isn’t pro-Trump. The efficient fortress has been used to galvanize support for book banning and prohibitions against teaching conceptual talismans of the culture wars, such as critical race theory.

These are commonly legislative initiatives, which makes them a more severe threat to civil liberties in the view of Steven Brint, distinguished professor of Sociology and Public Policy at University of California, Riverside.

“The coercive power of the state, even when it doesn’t seem like it’s intruding that much, nevertheless has a force — the force of law backed up by legal sanctions — that is quite unlike what we see mostly in terms of the threats from the left,” says Brint. “I worry a lot when the state gets involved in these issues.”

Brint also differentiates the coordination of right-leaning cancelation efforts from the haphazardness of cancelations from the left. A recent study conducted by Brint, who also serves on FIRE’s board, found that 78 of the 99 so-called divisive concepts bills that have been introduced since 2021 are directly derived from model legislation drafted by the conservative Heritage Foundation. Earlier this year, the Manhattan and Goldwater Institutes — a pair of conservative think tanks — drafted model bills to ban DEI officers, diversity trainings and diversity statements.

An irony of the threats from the right is that they’re informed by the same desire to spare their children from psychic harm which they’re quick to ridicule from the left. Florida’s Stop WOKE Act, championed by GOP presidential hopeful Gov. Ron DeSantis, says no student should be made to feel “guilt, anguish, or discomfort” over historical events for which they’re not directly responsible. According to Brint, this was a near-constant refrain among Republican legislators in Florida. “One wonders how conservatives became so tender in their sensibilities,” he says.

An even greater irony is that civil libertarianism has come to be perceived as a right-wing cause. This is in part because, divisive concept bills notwithstanding, conservative students take what Johns Hopkins University sociologist Amy Binder calls an “absolutist” position on speech. “Conservative students are the biggest free speech proponents because they’re the persecuted minority,” says Binder, who has written extensively about campus activism.

Over the past few months, when I’ve told people that I’m working on this piece, the most common question I’m asked is whether FIRE is a conservative organization. Indeed, the group has received significant contributions from several right-leaning foundations, including the Charles Koch Institute. Nevertheless, the charge frustrates Lukianoff.

“A great disappointment of my career is that I couldn’t get us more support from left-leaning foundations,” Lukianoff told me, adding that FIRE now received support from the center-left Knight Foundation and Bloomberg Philanthropies. He also readily acknowledges the unique threat Donald Trump poses to democracy. Indeed, nearly everyone I interviewed regarded the kind of violent attempted coup that sought to overturn the 2020 election as a greater threat to civil libertarianism than political correctness run amok.

I asked Lukianoff whether he perceived an inconsistency between accepting contributions from organizations which directly or indirectly fund candidates who support anti-free speech measures like divisive concepts legislation. “No,” he said. “Some of the worst threats from the government we’ve seen in our existence have come from the Obama — who I voted for — Department of Education,” Lukianoff explained. (Lukianoff took particular exception to a joint letter from the Department of Education and Department of Justice that lowered the evidentiary standard in sexual harassment cases and said that speech could serve as the basis for a complaint.) “The idea that people who support Democrats’ hands are totally clean on speech, that’s crazy,” he said.

While the ongoing threat to civil liberties may be greater from the right, the losses in support for civil libertarianism have been greater on the left.

It’s important to distinguish First Amendment civil libertarian types from small government, tea party-type libertarians. (Lukianoff, a lifelong Democrat, is an example of a civil libertarian who backs redistributive economic policy.) While the latter have been widely studied, scant research exists on the former.

One of the few sources of data is the General Social Survey, run by the University of Chicago, and known as the GSS. Since 1976, the GSS has asked whether a racist should be allowed to make a speech. During Trump’s presidency, between 2016 and 2021, support for this proposition dropped from 59 to 47 percent, the lowest level recorded in the survey’s history. Support among Democrats fell from 55 to 35 percent. The decline was even more pronounced among those with college degrees.

Over the same time period, the percentage of respondents who said a racist book should be removed from a public library increased by 7 points — from 35 to 42 percent. Again, the shift in support was attributable principally to Democrats, 49 percent of whom agreed with banning the racist book — compared with 28 percent of Republicans. The data should give pause to anyone who believes book banning is exclusively the province of the right.

What Lukianoff and Schott call the left’s “perfect rhetorical fortress” is characterized by dismissing speakers on the basis of identity markers such as race, gender and sexuality.

Binder frames it somewhat differently, as “speech realism” — as in realism about historical inequities and current power disparities. Binder related a typical interview with a progressive student. “Free speech, free speech, free speech — that’s all they ever talk about,” the interviewee told Binder, referring to their conservative peers. “But it’s hurtful and some things shouldn’t be said on campus.”

Sarah Longwell, a Republican strategist, draws a connection between these sorts of comments and the Trump presidency. In 2021, FIRE hired Longwell, who founded Republican Voters Against Trump, to conduct focus groups on how receptive Americans might be to a pro-free speech campaign.

Longwell divided the respondents into three categories: “reachables” — people, mostly over 45, who were receptive to a pro-free speech message; “teachables” — who had misconceptions about basic First Amendment law; and “in-too-deepables” — largely college-educated voters between the ages of 30 and 45 who were hostile to FIRE’s message.

“The idea of hate speech and speech as violence was very much a part of their thinking,” Longwell told me. “Trump was such a big reference point in terms of ‘Look at what Trump did. He incited violence.’”

These profound changes on the left leave civil libertarianism unmoored.

The North Star of many civil libertarians — including Lukianoff — was the ACLU’s 1976 decision to represent a neo-Nazi group that wanted to march through Skokie, Ill., a Chicago suburb where many Holocaust survivors made their home. Elevating the poignancy and indelibility of the defense was the fact that the lead lawyer, David Goldberger, was Jewish. Longwell said the “reachables,” who tended to be older, drew a direct connection to Skokie. “They had a real reverence for free speech,” Longwell said. “The nobility of ‘I don’t have to like what you’re saying, but this is how civil liberties are achieved.” By contrast, Longwell added, “young people did not think Nazis should be able to march.”

Today, it’s less clear whether the ACLU would defend the Skokie marchers. In 2017, the organization was roiled by conflict after its Virginia chapter defended the right of white nationalists to rally in Charlottesville in support of a statue of Confederate Gen. Robert E. Lee — an episode that devolved into deadly violence.

The following year, the national ACLU issued new guidelines, which seek to balance the free speech rights of even “the most repugnant speakers” against a variety of factors, including the speech’s “potential effect on marginalized communities.”

In 2021, Goldberger told Michael Powell of the New York Times that he had the sense it was more important for the ACLU “to identify with clients and progressive causes than to stand on principle” and that “liberals are leaving the First Amendment behind.” Powell’s article, widely discussed in the legal community and beyond, characterized the ACLU as facing an “identity crisis.”

David Cole, the ACLU’s national legal director, rejects Powell’s thesis.

“To be frank, I think Powell’s piece was an article in search of the author’s pre-committed theme,” Cole wrote me in an email. “He didn’t cite a single case we declined taking.” Cole says the organization remains committed to defending speech. “There is nothing to the charge that we would not defend the Nazis right to march today,” Cole wrote, noting that he’d written the guidelines. “The guidelines merely provide a process by which competing interests can be considered,” he added, “not a process by which lawsuits can be killed.”

Others are less convinced. Ira Glasser, who directed the ACLU from 1978 to 2001 and figures prominently in Powell’s article, told me “the ACLU has not completely abandoned but diluted” its commitment to speech. Most of the roughly two dozen people I interviewed for this piece expressed admiration for the ACLU but said the organization — which commenced more than 400 legal actions against Trump — had become a hybrid of a progressive political advocacy and civil libertarian organization. To hardcore civil libertarians, these positions are mutually exclusive.

An essential premise of civil libertarianism has always been that one could defend the rights of a speaker without agreeing with their message, even in the most extreme cases. Today, it’s no longer clear whether one can defend a racist’s right to speech without being considered a racist. This uncertainty is especially pronounced on college campuses. “Universities,” Binder says, “are confusing in the messages they send about speech.”

The ambiguity has also caused significant, perhaps irreparable, damage to the perception of civil libertarians. The label, once proudly worn by the likes of Clarence Darrow and William Kunstler, is no longer displayed without reservation. While writing my last book, about inequities in higher education, a college admissions officer who is also a civil libertarian asked me not to mention this identification, fearing its negative connotation. After my book’s publication, Lukianoff posted a kind message about it on the website formerly known as Twitter. When I expressed my gratitude, Lukianoff wrote, “To be honest, Evan, I am so used to the culture wars being so damn nasty, I was genuinely afraid you might say ‘well I don’t want HIS support for my book!’”

Despite everything, Lukianoff remains buoyant enough about the future of free speech that under his direction, FIRE, which recently changed the E from Education to Expression, will spend $75 million over the next three years on free speech advocacy in the general public, including $10 million on pro-free speech billboards in 15 American cities.

The Canceling also offers many sensible suggestions for improving speech culture. Hearkening to The Coddling, Lukianoff and Schlott urge parents and K-12 educators to raise and teach more resilient children. They call upon colleges to admit a more diverse student body so that faculty don’t feel compelled to engage in virtue signaling; to recommit to free speech and academic freedom; and to strive for political neutrality. (Their message seems particularly timely given the recent campus controversies surrounding the Hamas-Israeli conflict.) It’s an appealing vision of Americans coming together to recommit themselves to first principles. It also feels, for anyone who has spent time recently on a college campus or social media site, a somewhat fanciful one.

By some measure, Lukianoff’s optimism is his most remarkable trait. Despite having spent a lifetime defending students and professors who’ve had their careers threatened or destroyed over a single statement, he describes himself as “intellectually optimistic about the future of freedom of speech.” It’s one of several commonalities Lukianoff shares with the many prominent civil libertarians I’ve interviewed over the course of my career. Most, like Lukianoff, grew up as free-range kids. Some, like Lukianoff, had benefited from therapy. All, like Lukianoff, believed in the American project.

“Practicing free speech,” he writes in his new book, “is the lifeblood of a free society. At the very beginning of the American founders’ vision is freedom of speech.”

But even the greatest optimist can’t help but wonder whether Americans remain capable of tolerating the complexity Fitzgerald identified as the mark of a first-rate intelligence. In conversation, Lukianoff — who used to talk gleefully about this being the best moment in human history to be alive — describes the threats to the American experiment as dire.

Listening to his message is a sobering experience. With respect to higher education, Lukianoff says, “I hear some will to fix things, but I’m skeptical.”

And with respect to what may be the most significant threat to civil liberties in America — Trump’s reelection bid — Lukianoff sounds an even more ominous note.

“Jan. 6 was unlike anything I expected to see in my career,” he told me. “I’m really scared about next year.”

Democrats keep getting new warning signs about Black voter support

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Democrats are about to find out how worried they need to be about Black voter support.

After a lot of hand-wringing in recent years, elections next month in Mississippi and Virginia — two Southern states with large Black populations — will offer one final, robust read going into 2024 on the extent of the slippage among Democrats’ most reliable bloc of voters.

The warning signs have been flashing.

President Joe Biden’s approval rating with Black voters has dropped disproportionately compared with white voters, polls show, driving down his overall numbers. Last week’s election of a Republican governor in Louisiana, the first in eight years, suggested diminished voter enthusiasm in the areas with the largest Black populations.

And just this week, a prominent Democratic data firm published a report outlining declining support for Democrats in last year’s midterm elections among younger Black voters, Black men and Black voters without college degrees.

There’s no one simple answer for why Democrats are losing Black support at the margins. Some conservative Black voters are aligning with the GOP as the parties become more ideologically homogenous. And inflation and other economic struggles in recent years — which have driven much of the widespread dissatisfaction with Biden — have hit communities of color harder.

What’s clear is that Biden can’t safely assume he’ll be able to reassemble the coalition that he rode to victory three years ago. Black support for Democrats has been slipping slightly for the better part of a decade, since Barack Obama, the country’s first Black president, was last on the ballot in 2012.

There are signs Republicans may have continued since 2020 to pull some Black voters away from Democrats. That is bad news for Biden.

In a Quinnipiac University poll this week, about 2-in-3 Black voters, 65 percent, said they approve of the way Biden is handling his job as president.

A Fox News poll earlier this month found Biden leading Trump in a hypothetical rematch among Black voters by a roughly three-to-one margin, 74 percent to 26 percent. That may seem high, but it’s down sharply from 2020, when Biden won 90 percent of Black voters, according to Democratic data firm Catalist.

The firm releases studies of the electorate using records showing which people voted in an election. This week, it released new reports analyzing voter subgroups, and its deep dive into Black voters showed support for Democrats fell in last year’s midterms.

The new analysis found that 88 percent of Black voters in the 2022 elections voted for the Democratic candidate in their congressional district — down from 91 percent two years earlier.

The steepest drops for Democrats were among Black voters in the millennial and Gen Z generations (from 91 percent in 2020 to 84 percent in 2022), Black men (87 percent to 83 percent), Black voters in rural areas (84 percent to 80 percent) and Black voters without a college degree (91 percent to 87 percent).

The danger for Democrats among Black voters is also about turnout, and last week’s election for governor in Louisiana was the latest warning.

Republican state Attorney General Jeff Landry won the election to replace term-limited Democratic Gov. John Bel Edwards. Landry was long expected to prevail in the end, but the timing and scope of his victory surprised many who thought he would finish under the 50-percent-plus-one threshold to win the seat outright in the primary.

There’s evidence that Democrats — and Black voters in particular — didn’t show up. Statewide turnout was about 36 percent, down a steep 10 points from 46 percent in the 2019 gubernatorial primary. But the turnout drop was even sharper in many of the state’s parishes with large Black populations.

Of the 15 Louisiana parishes where Census data show at least 40 percent of residents are Black, the turnout drop was greater than the statewide average in 10 of them, including in the parishes containing the state’s two largest cities, New Orleans and Baton Rouge.

On the other end of the spectrum, 10 of the 15 parishes with the smallest Black populations had turnout drops that were smaller than the statewide average. It will be a few weeks until official turnout data by race are available, but there does appear to be some connection between shifts in turnout at the parish level and the racial component of those places.

“The anemic Black vote was certainly part of” how Landry decisively won last week, said John Couvillon, a Republican pollster in Louisiana.

“You had a Black candidate for governor who, number one, failed to excite any kind of Black turnout, number two, ran 20 percentage points behind a white, moderate Democrat,” Couvillon said, pointing to Democratic candidate Shawn Wilson’s underperformance compared to Edwards’ successful reelection campaign four years ago. “And number three, Jeff Landry was getting double digits [in heavily Black precincts] once you got outside of the urban areas of Baton Rouge and New Orleans — that very much catches my attention.”

Of course, that’s just one election, and there are reasons to take the Louisiana results with a grain of salt. In particular, Wilson was vastly underfunded compared to Landry and groups supporting other GOP candidates. Wilson spent about $610,000 on advertising, according to data from AdImpact, far less than Landry ($7.2 million), the Republican Governors Association’s PAC ($3.7 million), another pro-Landry outside group called Protect Louisiana’s Children ($2.7 million), a PAC supporting the third-place finisher Stephen Waguespack ($2 million) and the fourth-place candidate John Schroder ($1.9 million).

So I’ll be watching several races in the coming weeks for signs of depressed enthusiasm or shifting winds among this key bloc of voters.

At the top of my list is next month’s gubernatorial election in Mississippi, where Black voters make up nearly 40 percent of the electorate, the largest share of any state in the country. Brandon Presley, the Democratic nominee, is competitive with GOP Gov. Tate Reeves on the airwaves. And Presley’s campaign is touting a multimillion-dollar, get-out-the-vote effort aimed at Black voters.

Presley is the underdog against Reeves, and a defeat doesn’t mean his party is in a death spiral with Black voters nationally — Mississippi hasn’t elected a Democratic governor since 1999. But the final results from Nov. 7 will be instructive, both in cities like Jackson and in rural counties that comprise the “Black Belt” that stretches across the South.

Also keep your eyes on the state legislative races in Virginia, which also has a sizable Black population.

Two of the most competitive state Senate races are in Southeast Virginia districts where Black residents make up at least a quarter of the population, as are three contested state House districts stretching from Petersburg to Hampton Roads.

Those races could be the majority-makers for each party in the pitched battle to control both chambers of the General Assembly. They’ll also provide more answers about where Black voters stand — and how enthusiastic they are — going into 2024.