Anand Kumar: Premature Alzheimer’s diagnosis using pseudoscience is dangerous

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When I turned 60, my primary-care physician said something profound: “There is no reason for someone to wake up in this day and age and find that they have advanced colon cancer.” It was a nudge in the right direction.

Early detection and early intervention have been medicine’s mantra for the past several decades. Medical societies recommend colonoscopy and mammograms, for example, to individuals who are at minimal risk. This is based on the presumption that the biological processes that lead to the disease begin years, if not decades, before the disease becomes manifest. Detecting the disease in its “preclinical” state will result in early treatment that will prolong and improve the quality of life.

In the case of Alzheimer’s disease, some of the biological processes responsible for the condition are also presumed to begin two to three decades before the early symptoms of the disease first appear.

Despite the multiple risk factors involved, two proteins found in the brains of Alzheimer’s disease patients — beta amyloid and tau — have dominated the interest of researchers, federal funding and pharmaceutical research support. Academic researchers, pharmaceutical companies, advocacy groups and branches of federal government have formed a team that argues for a central role for these proteins beyond what the objective scientific evidence currently supports.

A recent conference in Amsterdam, dominated by researchers with strong ties to the pharmaceutical industry, recommended updated criteria for the diagnosis of Alzheimer’s disease. Should these recommendations be actualized, individuals with no cognitive or behavioral symptoms will be diagnosed as having Stage 1 of Alzheimer’s disease if they test positive for amyloid. Cognitive abnormalities that can be documented will be required for a diagnosis only in the more advanced stages of the disease. If these criteria are more broadly adopted, many cognitively and behaviorally normal individuals in their 40s and 50s will be diagnosed as having the disease based on an amyloid test alone. This sets the stage for placing them on expensive medications with modest therapeutic effects but serious side effects for a disease that many do not have and may never get.

Amyloid and tau are considered biomarkers for the disease — laboratory-based measures that are useful in diagnosing the disease, monitoring its progression and studying the impact of treatment. Levels of amyloid and tau can be detected using specialized brain scans; studies of cerebrospinal fluid, which cover the brain and spinal cord; and, more recently, blood tests.

But here is the critical caveat: Not all patients who have elevated levels of amyloid and tau will develop Alzheimer’s disease, and not all patients with a clinical picture consistent with the disease have elevated levels of amyloid and tau.

In other words, these tests are not definitive by themselves and need strong clinical corroboration, and it is the totality of the picture — clinical presentation plus relevant testing — that is needed to confirm the diagnosis.

There is evidence to suggest that a high proportion of patients in their 50s, 60s and 70s will test positive but will never develop the disease. The amyloid tests are not comparable to colonoscopies and mammograms in which a pathological report is used to corroborate imaging abnormalities before any intervention is made.

Further, in the case of Alzheimer’s, amyloid and tau serve as therapeutic targets for drug development. Over the past few decades, such efforts have disproportionately focused on compounds that reduce the levels of both proteins in the brain. The evidence that amyloid-lowering drugs have a meaningful impact in Alzheimer’s disease is modest, at best.

There are good and bad medical practices. This one is horrifying. The combination of an amyloid test, possibly just a blood test, and research demonstrating that the disease starts much earlier than the clinical presentation has shifted the discussion in favor of premature diagnosis, poorly applied public health principles and the potential use of expensive drugs with serious side effects in young normal adults. Labeling healthy individuals who have an abnormal blood test as having Alzheimer’s disease is scientifically unsound and ethically suspect, especially considering that many of them will never develop the disease. Neuroprotective agents should unambiguously protect neurons and be given only to individuals whose neurons need protection.

What society needs are biomarker-based tests that are validated and standardized using objective population health concepts and guidelines in order to determine how specific and sensitive they really are in individuals without cognitive signs and symptoms. This step is critical to preclude over-interpretation of laboratory test results in broader populations.

We also need drugs that are demonstrably effective on meaningful, real-world outcomes while remaining affordable and free of life-threatening side effects. Simply put, the risk and cost-benefit analyses need to be reasonable and acceptable.

Academic researchers, advocacy groups and relevant branches of the federal government have a moral and ethical responsibility in this regard. After all, they are the entities funding and advancing this agenda. The scientific bar should be very high before we diagnose healthy individuals with Alzheimer’s disease. The implications of this diagnosis must not be trivialized.

Inappropriately diagnosing and treating typical Americans with expensive drugs that promise to “prevent” Alzheimer’s disease does not constitute scientific progress. It is a slippery slope that will get more slippery over time.

The saying primum non nocere, or “first do no harm” — attributed to the ancient Greek doctor Hippocrates — is one of the promises that graduating medical students make as they begin their journey. Let us never forget that promise. Let us work to gain the public trust.

Dr. Anand Kumar is a professor and head of the department of psychiatry at the University of Illinois at Chicago and past president of the American Association for Geriatric Psychiatry. He wrote this column for the Chicago Tribune.

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Other voices: Bring back buttons and dials, for auto-safety’s sake

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As cars go electric and get more technologically advanced, their interiors are increasingly being built around prominent dashboard touch screens.

Nearly every automaker has been moving controls for windshield wipers, headlights, air conditioning, gear selection and other basic functions to these centralized touch screens. It’s an industrywide shift that is most pronounced with electric vehicles but not limited to them. Consumers have rightly complained that screens are more of a pain to use than the intuitive physical buttons, dials and switches cars have been equipped with for decades.

But the trend is not just an issue of consumer preference or convenience. It’s a matter of safety, because the time drivers spend tapping through sleek but hard-to-navigate touch screen menus is time they are taking their eyes off the road.

So it’s welcome news that an influential auto safety certification body in Europe is working on new standards that would push against car companies’ overreliance on distracting touch screens.

Under new standards the European New Car Assessment Program plans to introduce in 2026, automakers will have to use separate physical buttons, dials or levers for critical functions such as turn signals, hazard lights, horns, windshield wipers and emergency calls in order to earn the independent organization’s top five-star safety rating.

It’s about time. Because the touch screen domination of new car interiors has already gone too far.

Customer complaints have forced some carmakers, including Volkswagen, to bring back some of the manual buttons. Third-party companies are seeing a ripe market for aftermarket buttons and dials to mount below Teslas’ touch screens. And electric-vehicle startup Olympian Motors is offering new models with retro, minimalistic interiors with numbered dials to cater to customers sick of screens.

The backlash is understandable. The screenification has gone too far when you can’t even change windshield wiper speeds, turn on headlights or put the car into park or drive without navigating a touch screen. In the name of driver distraction and safety, there are some functions so critical to safe operation that they should remain physical and easy to access without screens.

The standards the Euro NCAP safety ratings body is developing, while voluntary, “will encourage manufacturers to use separate physical controls for basic functions in an intuitive manner, limiting eyes off road time and therefore, promoting safer driving,” an official with the organization told the United Kingdom’s Sunday Times recently.

We’d like to see U.S. authorities follow suit and adopt their own standards to ensure that safety-critical functions in all new cars have physical controls in intuitive locations.

Safety authorities should be concerned that the prominence of touch screens to control functions inside of vehicles is dangerous. According to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, driver distraction resulted in at least 3,000 known deaths in 2019, the most recent year for which figures are available. NHTSA is making significant updates to its five-star safety ratings program that could include measures to address driver distraction from controls and displays inside vehicles.

These ratings are designed to push the auto industry beyond the minimum federal requirements by informing consumers about how safe new vehicles are. In years past, concerns about distracted driving focused mostly on texting, but that has been overshadowed by the rapid shift to massive in-vehicle infotainment panels that compete with the road for drivers’ attention.

Drivers have enough to worry about on the roads. They shouldn’t have to spend any time thinking about how to control their cars’ most basic functions.

— The Los Angeles Times

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Nine Years, Nine Lives: Paxton’s Latest Legal Escape

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Call him Kevlar Ken. Once again, Texas’ attorney general has proven to possess an impenetrable shield of impunity. 

Last week, special prosecutors struck a deal to essentially let Ken Paxton off the hook for three felony securities fraud charges just before the nearly decade-old case was set to go to trial in Houston. The charges will get dropped in exchange for Paxton paying his alleged victims a little under $300,000, among other terms. 

Thus came the shockingly abrupt end to a legal saga that has hung over Paxton for almost the entirety of his tenure as attorney general. The longer the case dragged on, the more it came to define Paxton—as a persecuted hero in the eyes of his supporters and a corrupt crook to his detractors. 

Paxton was charged in 2015 with securities fraud for allegedly encouraging friends to buy stock in a McKinney technology firm without disclosing that he would be compensated by the company and for allegedly steering clients to a friend’s investment firm without registering as an investment advisor.

From the moment he was indicted by a grand jury in his home Collin County, Paxton claimed to be the innocent victim of a political persecution engineered by the Republican establishment that had opposed his bid for AG. His longtime defense lawyer, Dan Cogdell, who also played a starring role on Paxton’s successful impeachment defense team, has said the charges were always trumped-up “bullshit” only pursued because media-hungry special prosecutors wanted to take out the sitting AG. (The SEC also brought civil fraud charges against Paxton, but the suit was dismissed in 2017 by a federal  judge.)

On top of his recent state Senate acquittal on House impeachment charges, which outlined alleged bribery and abuse of office, Paxton’s triumphant escape from his securities fraud trial further cements his status as Texas’ amazing political Houdini.

“There will never be a conviction in this case nor am I guilty,” Paxton declared in a triumphant statement last week. 

Paxton talks with his defense attorney Tony Buzbee during last year’s impeachment trial. AP Photo/Eric Gay

For Paxton and allies now comes the time to clean house and exact vengeance—beginning with Republican House Speaker Dade Phelan, who was forced last month into a May runoff. With the AG now unshackled, Paxton and co. believe they can finally drain the Austin swamp, lay waste to the RINOs, and disband the so-called uniparty that has allowed Democrats to secretly control the Texas House (so secretly that Dems themselves would be shocked to learn they’ve held so much power). 

Longtime Paxton defense lawyer Mitch Little has become one of the leading tribunes of Ken’s revenge campaign. After playing a major role in the impeachment defense, Little leveraged his newfound prominence into a run for a Texas House seat, ousting one of the GOP state reps who’d voted to impeach Paxton.  

“This was the 21st Century’s magnum opus of lawfare. And, it ends today,” Little wrote on X when the securities fraud deal was approved. “Now, I want you to imagine what you would do once set free from this nightmare. That’s what’s coming. We are in the preamble of reform in the great State of Texas, and there will be a proper accounting.”

“This is the most unusual resolution of a major felony that I’ve ever seen,” Houston lawyer David Berg told Texas Monthly. “It must be good to be Ken Paxton.” 

The repeated delays, many of which were caused by Paxton’s repeated challenges over the case’s venue and the high pay rates the government was paying for its star special prosecutors, were like a slow bleed. “Deferring justice for nine years is pretty much a fatal shot through the heart of an indictment,” Berg said.

Much like Paxton’s impeachment acquittal, the aftermath of the securities fraud deal has been animated by public sniping and beefs between Paxton’s lawyers and the special prosecutors—all of whom are big-time lawyers with egos. 

The lead special prosecutor, Brian Wice, a well-known Houston defense lawyer, has taken heavy fire for ceding the case after having vigorously embraced the role of crusading prosecutor. But Wice insists this was not a prosecutorial surrender. 

“Ultimately, this was a resolution that required [Paxton], whether inferentially or indirectly, to accept responsibility,” he told reporters. “I’m not going to concern myself an iota as to who wins. … So the question isn’t … who won, but was justice served? And I think the answer was unmistakably, ‘Yes.’” 

“This is not really what people think of when they hear securities fraud.”

That was a clear about-face from Wice compared to just weeks earlier, when he scuttled a potential deal offered by his co-special prosecutor, which he said would’ve been “worse than a slap on the wrist. That was, ‘Gee, let’s get you a cocktail, a hot meal and a breath mint.’ And that wasn’t going to happen on my watch,” Wice said

His fellow prosecutor, Kent Schaffer, a Houston criminal lawyer with hefty trial experience, had negotiated that prior deal and resigned when it was killed. 

“Without sounding too mercenary, there came a time that it dawned on me that I’m not the one who should be financing the prosecution of Ken Paxton,” Schaffer told the Houston Chronicle. “I’ll do pro bono cases for widows, orphans, poor people being taken advantage of by the system. But I’m not going to go after some politician and spend tons of money to punish him. That’s not my job.”

Pending legal challenges have prevented either prosecutor from receiving a dime for their services so far. 

Wice, an accomplished appellate lawyer with little experience in criminal trials, then had to scramble to find a replacement for Schaffer, who’d handled the pretrial casework and would’ve led the prosecution at trial. 

After reviewing the facts of the case and reinterviewing witnesses for the first time in years, Wice seemingly lost faith in the strength of the case. Many of the witnesses were reportedly hostile to the prosecutors and remained protective of Paxton. Wice was willing to settle once Paxton’s team confirmed the AG would be willing to pay restitution to his alleged victims. 

For all the emphasis placed on the serious nature of Paxton’s securities fraud felony charges and the maximum penalty they carried—99 years in prison—it was never likely that Paxton would’ve been locked up for any amount of time if he’d been convicted. White-collar crimes of this scale generally result in probation or a pretrial deal like the one Paxton got. 

“This is not really what people think of when they hear securities fraud,” one law professor told the Texas Tribune. “This is not Bernie Madoff or Sam Bankman-Fried.” 

Wice himself recently told WFAA: “I never envisioned any scenario, any universe in which, by which, through which, that a judge or jury would put Ken Paxton in prison” based on the securities charges.

For all the allegations of corruption, rule-breaking, and ethics violations, nothing has stuck to Paxton. Other criminal probes opened into Paxton’s allegedly corrupt land deals in Collin County when he was a state representative, along with bribery allegations for a six-figure gift Paxton took for his legal defense fund from the target of a Medicaid fraud investigation involving the AG’s office, came up empty.  

Paxton speaks at a 2021 Trump rally. AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin

Of course, Paxton’s legal troubles are far from over—but there’s reason to believe these could end in similar fashion.

Paxton still faces a civil whistleblower lawsuit from his former top deputies, which he has tried to unilaterally end by agreeing not to contest the facts or judgment (much to the chagrin of at least one senator who’d just acquitted him on charges based on those same facts) in an apparent attempt to avoid deposition and trial. Then, there’s an FBI investigation into Paxton’s relationship with Austin real estate mogul Nate Paul (who himself faces federal charges of bank fraud), which was prompted by the same whistleblowers back in 2020. This federal investigation has been open for well over three years, and there are scant details about its status.  

In addition to paying nearly $300,000 in restitution to the investors he allegedly defrauded, Paxton must now complete 100 hours of community service and take 15 hours of legal ethics courses. 

Paxton could knock 45 minutes off his mandatory remedial legal ethics education with a course called “Hard Knocks in Little Rock,” in which former Arkansas Attorney General Steve Clark shares his scared-straight story of public corruption: Clark was forced to resign in 1990 after his felony theft conviction for abusing a state expense account to reimburse himself for fake dinners.

“Steven Clark was at the top of his career as a state Attorney General when an ethics scandal changed everything,” the course description reads. “Learn how his fall from grace led to powerful insights about the importance of ethics in an attorney’s daily life.” 

Though, Paxton is perhaps more likely to teach a course of his own about how to avoid such a fall. His lesson: Never resign, never surrender, and never forget. 

Vingegaard has collapsed lung after crash in Basque Country race. Tour de France defense is in doubt

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By JOSEPH WILSON (Associated Press)

BARCELONA, Spain (AP) — Two-time defending Tour de France champion Jonas Vingegaard remained hospitalized in Spain a day after he broke his collarbone and several ribs in a bad crash with other top riders during the Tour of Basque Country.

The Danish rider’s Visma-Lease A Bike team said Friday that further tests revealed the Vingegaard also suffered a collapsed lung and a pulmonary contusion. The team said that cycling’s leading star was “stable and had a good night” but remains in a hospital in the northern Spanish city of Vitoria.

The accident comes less than three months before the start of the Tour on June 29 when Vingegaard is scheduled to to again face off against top rival Tadej Pogačar. That highly anticipated rematch is now in doubt.

Vingegaard was hardly moving as he was put in an ambulance wearing an oxygen mask and neck brace after the crash occurred on Thursday with less than 30 kilometers (18.6 miles) left in the race’s fourth stage.

The pileup also took out cycling stars Primoz Roglič and Remco Evenepoel.

Evenepoel broke a collarbone and his right shoulder blade and was set to undergo surgery when he returns to Belgium on Friday, his Soudal Quick-Step team said.

The two-time world champion said in a post on social media that “obviously my plans for the short future will change but I hope and think that my long-term goals will not change.”

The 24-year-old Evenepoel is scheduled to make his Tour debut this summer before he participates in both the time trial and road race events at the Summer Olympics.

The accident happened as riders were making what looked to be a conventional right-hand turn going downhill when one rider’s front tire appeared to slip out and send other cyclists off the road. There were some large rocks and trees in the area, though it wasn’t clear if any of the riders hit them. There was also a concrete drainage ditch on the edge of the curve.

Race director Julián Eraso said that the accident was a surprise since the race organizers considered the curve to be “easy” to handle.

“You never know where an accident can occur,” Eraso told Spanish radio Cadena SER. “This year the roads were good, wide, easy roads. That curve to the right was easy … (and) there was an indication a few meters before to let riders prepare for it.”

Roglic, a three-time Spanish Vuelta winner, emerged with just scratches, according to his BORA-hansgrohe team, but he did have to abandon the race he was leading.

Vingegaard was trying to defend the title he won last year at the six-day Tour of Basque Country. The race ends Saturday.

___

AP sports: https://apnews.com/sports