PODCAST: ¿Qué significa el fin del ‘parole’ o permiso de permanencia temporal para cubanos, haitianos, nicaragüenses y venezolanos?

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A finales de diciembre de 2024, el servicio de la Oficina de Aduanas y Protección Fronteriza de Estados Unidos (CBP por sus siglas en inglés) reportaba el ingreso de 531.690 personas bajo el programa CHNV.

(Michael Appleton/Oficina de Fotografía de la Alcaldía)

El 12 de junio, el Departamento de Seguridad Nacional (DHS por sus siglas en inglés) empezó a emitir notificaciones (enviadas por correo electrónico) sobre la finalización del programa de “parole”, conocido oficialmente como permiso de permanencia temporal para Cubanos, Haitianos, Nicaragüenses y Venezolanos (o CHNV por sus siglas en inglés).

La sentencia de la Corte Suprema puso fin a un bloqueo anterior para terminar el programa, pero un tribunal de distrito de Massachusetts, que supervisaba el caso, ordenó al DHS que no suspendieran las solicitudes de tarjetas de Documentos de Autorización de Empleo (EAD por sus siglas en inglés). 

Semanas antes, el 30 de mayo, la Corte Suprema aceptó —en una decisión de 7 a 2— la solicitud del gobierno federal de suspender la medida cautelar de un tribunal de distrito. Esto permitió al Departamento de Seguridad Nacional (DHS) proceder con la terminación del programa de parole.

En enero de 2023, la administración de Joe Biden anunció el programa CHNV, que permitía el ingreso legal a EE.UU. a 30.000 personas por mes de Cuba, Haití, Nicaragua y Venezuela, siempre que tuvieran un patrocinador financiero en el país.

El parole era un permiso de entrada condicional y temporal del DHS, y permitía a los beneficiarios vivir y trabajar legalmente en Estados Unidos. A finales de diciembre de 2024, el servicio de la Oficina de Aduanas y Protección Fronteriza de Estados Unidos (CBP por sus siglas en inglés) reportaba el ingreso de 531.690 personas bajo el programa. 

Poco después de que se anunciara el programa, varios estados liderados por republicanos demandaron el programa.

Así que para hablar de la decisión de la corte, el fin del programa y sus implicaciones, invitamos a Laura Flores-Perilla, abogada del grupo Justice Action Center, que presentó una demanda contra los planes de la administración de acabar con el programa.

Más detalles en nuestra conversación a continuación.

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‘Dialed-in’ Florida Panthers have chance to win Stanley Cup at home

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FORT LAUDERDALE, Fla. — The banner commemorating the first Stanley Cup title in Florida Panthers history had not been raised to the rafters yet when a newcomer realized just what it was like to join the champions on a title defense.

It was their final exhibition game in Quebec City in early October after a high-intensity training camp, and the focus was already there.

“Last preseason game, usually guys are taking it a little easier, getting ready for the season, play some soccer, have a coffee, get on the ice,” A.J. Greer recalled Monday. “There were 22 guys working out — full workouts before the game. It’s like we didn’t even have a game. Guys were doing power lifting, guys were doing lower-body, upper-body, bike sprints before the game and I’m thinking to myself, ‘They’re dialed in here.’ ”

And that was before the real hockey started. Now, more than 250 days later, the Panthers are one win away from repeating as champions, and the Stanley Cup will be in the building with their chance to extend its stay in Florida if they defeat the Edmonton Oilers in Game 6 of the final on home ice Tuesday night.

“It’s business as usual,” top-line winger Sam Reinhart said. “We’re obviously excited about the position we’re in. You put in all the work to be playing at this time of year, so we’re excited.”

They also know what to expect this time around. Florida lost its first opportunity to close out Edmonton after going up 3-0 in the final last year, then let the next two slip away before finally getting the job done in Game 7.

Everything was new then, from handling the butterflies and the logistics of families getting to town to thinking about the order of passing the big silver chalice around on the ice.

“There’s a whole bunch of stuff you have to go through the first time and then there’s all these superstitions — you don’t want to talk about it, you want to talk about it — well, there are things you have to talk about,” coach Paul Maurice said. “All of that stuff got dealt with last year when we went through it for the first time. Now, just get ready for the hockey game. It’s a different set of emotions for us.”

This final has unfolded differently, with the teams being tied after two games and then again through four. The Panthers jumped all over the Oilers to win Game 5 in Edmonton on Saturday night to set the stage to clinch.

That was utter domination, and, unlike last year, their first chance to hoist the Cup comes in front of home fans in Sunrise.

“We’re just excited to be back home, and we’re excited to hopefully keep that going after last game,” winger Matthew Tkachuk said. “We think we’ve played pretty good hockey over this whole series, in the whole playoffs, but especially the last few, so we know this is the type of game we have to play.”

Florida is looking to become just the third team to go back to back since the NHL’s salary cap era began in 2005, joining the Tampa Bay Lightning in 2020 and ‘21 and the Pittsburgh Penguins in ’16 and ’17. Just 18 have done it in league history.

The Panthers are favored on BetMGM Sportsbook to take Game 6. After laying an egg and getting pushed to the brink of elimination, the Oilers are hoping to drag the series back to Edmonton for Game 7 on Friday night.

“For whatever reason, our group doesn’t like to make it easy on ourselves,” Oilers captain and co-playoff leading scorer Connor McDavid said. “We’ve put ourselves in another difficult spot, and it’s our job to work our way out of it.”

Only eight of the 44 teams to fall behind 3-2 in the final have gone on to win. Boston was the last to do it in 2011 against Vancouver, extending Canada’s Cup drought that goes back to 1993.

The Panthers would love to make this the 31st consecutive season it is won by a team in the U.S. They have played a lot of games over the past three years and trips to the final, but the chance to lift the trophy is enough to push off that fatigue for at least one more game and two at most.

“You play all year to try to win a Stanley Cup,” forward Evan Rodrigues said. “It’s in our grasp and, yeah, I’m sure we’re all going to be ready to go.”

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Second patient death reported with gene therapy for muscular dystrophy

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By MATTHEW PERRONE, Associated Press

WASHINGTON (AP) — Shares of Sarepta Therapeutics plunged Monday after the biotech drugmaker reported a second death in connection with its gene therapy for muscular dystrophy.

Sarepta reported the death over the weekend and provided additional details about its response, which includes pausing shipments of the therapy, Elevidys, for older patients who are no longer able to walk. The one-time treatment is approved for children with a genetic variant of Duchenne’s muscular dystrophy, which causes weakness, loss of mobility and early death in males.

Elevidys is the first gene therapy approved in the U.S. for the rare muscle-wasting condition, but it has faced scrutiny since its accelerated approval in 2023.

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The second death, like an earlier one reported in March, occurred in a teenage boy who suffered a fatal case of acute liver injury, a known side effect of the therapy. Older patients receive a larger dose of the therapy.

Sarepta said it would pause a study in those patients and assemble an expert panel to recommend new safety protocols for taking the drug. Those changes are expected to include increased use of immune-system suppressing drugs, company executives said Monday. The liver injury associated with the therapy is thought to be connected to the immune system’s response.

Sarepta said it was cooperating with the Food and Drug Administration, which would have to sign off on any changes to the product’s use.

Elevidys received expedited approval despite concerns from some FDA scientists about its effectiveness in treating Duchenne’s.

The FDA granted full approval last year and expanded the therapy’s use to patients 4 years and older, regardless of whether they are still able to walk. Previously it was only available for younger patients who were still walking.

Shares of the Cambridge, Massachusetts-based company fell more than 42% to close at about $21 in trading.

Wall Street analysts speculated that FDA officials, including new vaccine chief Dr. Vinay Prasad, might impose more restrictions on the drug or even block its use. Prasad has been highly critical of the therapy since its approval under the agency’s previous leadership.

“Now with two deaths reported in this segment of the market, it seems incrementally more possible that the FDA could step in and remove the therapy from the market in non-ambulatory patients,” said Leerink Partners analyst Joseph Schwartz, in a Sunday research note.

Elevidys uses a disabled virus to insert a replacement gene for producing dystrophin into patient cells. It costs $3.2 million for a one-time infusion.

The Associated Press Health and Science Department receives support from the Howard Hughes Medical Institute’s Science and Educational Media Group and the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation. The AP is solely responsible for all content.

Hal Brands: Iran’s four possible responses to Israel — and their risks

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Israel’s attack on Iran opens the next phase of the Great Middle Eastern War that began on Oct. 7, 2023. Over the past 20 months, that war has played out on fronts across the region and has drawn in actors from around the globe.

There is much we don’t yet know about what has happened, let alone what will happen. But it is clear that Iran has suffered significant damage to its leadership, its military and industrial capabilities, and perhaps its nuclear program. The endgame of this conflict and the future of the region will be profoundly shaped by how a wounded Iran responds.

There are four basic possibilities. Their consequences range from a bigger, bloodier Middle Eastern mess to a potentially surprising diplomatic denouement: a far stronger nuclear deal than President Donald Trump could have gotten just a few days ago.

First, Iran could go nasty but narrow, striking back against Israel but avoiding U.S. bases or other regional targets. Drone, missile or terrorist attacks against Israel (some of which are already underway) would offer a measure of vengeance. But this strategy would seek to avoid triggering a larger, riskier conflict with Washington.

The problem is that America is already involved in this conflict: Trump has pledged to help Israel defend itself. A narrow response could thus look pathetic if Tehran’s remaining weapons can’t penetrate Israel’s multi-layered (and multi-nation) air and missile defense. And even if Iran draws blood, Israel will just keep coming, as these opening strikes were the beginning of a larger military campaign.

If Iran needs to make a bigger statement, it could go big and broad. In addition to hitting Israel, it could strike U.S. personnel, facilities and partners from Iraq to the Persian Gulf. It could also activate its proxies — the Houthis, Iraqi Shia militias, and what remains of Hezbollah — in a bid to set the region on fire.

That strategy has appeal as a way of restoring deterrence against dangerous enemies. It would remind the world that even a weakened Iran can cause real pain. But it would also cross the red line Trump has drawn against attacks on U.S. targets. So Iran could find itself fighting a bigger war against Israel and the U.S., fraught with existential dangers for an already battered regime.

The third possibility — nuclear breakout — could be just as dangerous. Depending on how much nuclear infrastructure is left — particularly the buried, hardened uranium enrichment facility at Fordow — Tehran could withdraw from the Non-Proliferation Treaty and make a desperate push for the bomb.

Iranian leaders might see this as their best option for salvation, given how badly Tehran’s conventional capabilities and proxy network has been degraded. If Iran did make it across the finish line, the result would be terrifying — a bloodied, vengeful terrorist state with the destructive power of nuclear arms.

The obvious risk is that Iran might never make it. A sprint for nuclear weapons would cross another Trump red line. It could bring U.S. intervention, with bunker-busting bombs that set back the Iranian program far more decisively than Israel could. So this scenario, too, seems likely to set off a larger regional war, probably ending in a devastating Iranian defeat.

That leaves the final option — one Trump is urging Tehran to take. Iran could wave the white flag and cut a nuclear deal, perhaps after a symbolic, face-saving retaliation. That deal would be far worse than anything Tehran might have hoped for a few days ago. It would be closer to the “Libya option” — the total dismantling of the nuclear program — than “Obama 2.0.”

The Iranian regime, which views the nuclear program as a guarantee of both its own survival and national security, would hate to take this path. But it might consider it, if other options lead to disaster. The Islamic Republic has made painful concessions before.

Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini settled the Iran-Iraq War in 1988 rather than risk U.S. intervention: Accepting peace, Khomeini acknowledged, was the cost of preserving the Islamic revolution. Tehran also drew in its horns, momentarily, after the U.S. overthrew Saddam Hussein in Iraq in 2003, and it looked like the ayatollahs might be next.

If Iran chooses this course, it would be a remarkable reversal: Less than two years ago, Israel was badly shaken and Tehran and its proxies seemed ascendant. It would be a triumph for a nuclear non-proliferation regime that has, lately, been under strain. It would be a diplomatic windfall for Trump, who didn’t want an Israeli strike but now might benefit from it. And it would be a reminder that force doesn’t always undercut diplomacy: It can, in fact, be indispensable to its success.

None of this is guaranteed, of course. A week from now, the Middle East could be consumed by a larger, more brutal war. But it is worth admiring the fact that Israel’s attack has left a terrible regime with only terrible options — and, perhaps, created a narrow path to a better outcome for the region and the world.

Hal Brands is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist and the Henry Kissinger Distinguished Professor at Johns Hopkins University’s School of Advanced International Studies.