Who do independents favor in the presidential election? New poll finds big change

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Natalie Demaree | (TNS) Miami Herald

A new poll finds Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump by 3 percentage points nationally — with a massive shift in who independent candidates are supporting three months before Election Day.

The latest NPR/PBS News/Marist poll shows 53% of independent respondents support Harris, while 44% support Trump. The 9-point lead represents a big swing from the previous month, when the former president led by 14 points among independents.

Overall, the poll found that in a two-way race, Harris leads Trump 51% to 48%, whereas Trump led 46% to 45% in a July 23 poll. When including third-party candidates, including Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Harris maintains the same margin over Trump, 48% to 45%, while Kennedy enjoys the support of 5% of voters nationally.

The poll, conducted between Aug. 1 and 4, sampled 1,613 U.S. adults and has a margin of error of 3.3 percentage points.

Political independents currently make up the largest voting bloc in the country, with just under 43% of U.S. adults identifying with neither major political party in 2023, according to Gallup. An equal number of adults, 27%, identified as either Republican or Democrat.

The Marist poll also found that while Democrats are largely divided on whether they think Harris should continue President Joe Biden’s policies, the majority of Democratic-leaning independents say Harris should take the country in a new direction.

According to the poll, Harris is also leading by 54 percentage points among Black voters and 13 percentage points among women.

The poll also found U.S. adults evenly split on who they believe will win in November, with 48% each saying Harris or Trump. This is in stark contrast with perceptions of a Biden-Trump showdown: 59% in July believed Trump was going to return to the White House while 39% believed Biden would win a second term.

Harris has surpassed Trump in the aggregate of polls too, according to the Silver Bulletin, a presidential election forecast by political statistician Nate Silver.

As of Aug. 7, one day after Harris formally announced Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate at a rally in Pennsylvania, the forecast shows the current Vice President up by about two points nationally.

Biden, however, was trailing Trump by 4 percentage points in the model on July 21, the same day he announced his decision to not seek re-election, instead endorsing Harris.

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©2024 Miami Herald. Visit at miamiherald.com. Distributed by Tribune Content Agency, LLC.

FACT FOCUS: A look at claims made by Trump at news conference

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The Associated Press

In his first news conference since Vice President Kamala Harris became the Democratic nominee for president, former President Donald Trump said he would debate her on Sept. 10 and pushed for two more debates. The Republican presidential nominee spoke for more than an hour, discussing a number of issues facing the country and then taking questions from reporters. He made a number of false and misleading claims. Many of them have been made before.

Here’s a look at some of those claims.

CROWD SIZES

CLAIM: “The biggest crowd I’ve ever spoken — I’ve spoken to the biggest crowds. Nobody’s spoken to crowds bigger than me. If you look at Martin Luther King when he did his speech, his great speech, and you look at ours, same real estate, same everything, same number of people, if not we had more. And they said he had a million people, but I had 25,000 people.”

THE FACTS: Trump was comparing the crowd at his speech in front of the White House on Jan. 6, 2021, to the crowd that attended Martin Luther King Jr.’s famous “I Have a Dream” speech on Aug. 28, 1963, at the Lincoln Memorial.

But far more people are estimated to have been at the latter than the former.

FILE – Crowds are shown in front of the Washington Monument during the March on Washington for Jobs and Freedom, Aug. 28, 1963, in Washington. (AP Photo, File)

Approximately 250,000 people attended the March on Washington for Jobs and Freedom, at which King gave his speech, according to the National Park Service. The Associated Press reported in 2021 that there were at least 10,000 people at Trump’s address.

Moreover, Trump and King did not speak in the same location. King spoke from the steps of the Lincoln Memorial, which looks east toward the Washington Monument. Trump spoke at the Ellipse, a grassy area just south of the White House.

JAN. 6

CLAIM: “Nobody was killed on Jan. 6.”

THE FACTS: That’s false. Five people died in the Jan. 6, 2021, riot and its immediate aftermath. Pro-Trump rioters breached the U.S. Capitol that day amid Congress’ effort to certify Democrat Joe Biden’s 2020 election victory.

Among the deceased are Ashli Babbitt, a Trump supporter shot and killed by police, and Brian Sicknick, a police officer who died the day after battling the mob. Four additional officers who responded to the riot killed themselves in the following weeks and months.

Babbitt, a 35-year-old Air Force veteran from San Diego, was shot and killed by a police officer as she climbed through a broken part of a Capitol door during the violent riot. Trump has often cited Babbitt’s death while lamenting the treatment of those who attended a rally outside the White House that day and then marched to the Capitol, many of whom fought with police.

DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION

CLAIM: “The presidency was taken away from Joe Biden, and I’m no Biden fan, but I tell you what, from a constitutional standpoint, from any standpoint you look at, they took the presidency away.”

THE FACTS: There is nothing in the Constitution that prevents the Democratic Party from making Vice President Kamala Harris its nominee. That process is determined by the Democratic National Committee.

Harris officially claimed the nomination Monday following a five-day online voting process, receiving 4,563 delegate votes out of 4,615 cast, or about 99% of participating delegates. A total of 52 delegates in 18 states cast their votes for “present,” the only other option on the ballot.

The vice president was the only candidate eligible to receive votes after no other candidate qualified by the party’s deadline following President Joe Biden’s decision to drop out of the race on July 21.

THE ECONOMY

CLAIM: Suggesting things would be different if he had been in office rather than Biden: “You wouldn’t have had inflation. You wouldn’t have had any inflation because inflation was caused by their bad energy problems. Now they’ve gone back to the Trump thing because they need the votes. They’re drilling now because they had to go back because gasoline was going up to 7, 8, 9 dollars a barrel.”

THE FACTS: There would have been at least some inflation if Trump had been reelected in 2020 because many of the factors causing inflation were outside a president’s control. Prices spiked in 2021 after cooped-up Americans ramped up their spending on goods such as exercise bikes and home office furniture, overwhelming disrupted supply chains. U.S. auto companies, for example, couldn’t get enough semiconductors and had to sharply reduce production, causing new and used car prices to shoot higher. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in March 2022 also sent gas and food prices soaring around the world, as Ukraine’s wheat exports were disrupted and many nations boycotted Russian oil and gas.

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Still, under Biden, U.S. oil production reached a worldwide record level earlier this year.

Many economists, including some Democrats, say Biden’s $1.9 trillion financial support package, approved in March 2021, which provided a $1,400 stimulus check to most Americans, helped fuel inflation by ramping up demand. But it didn’t cause inflation all by itself. And Trump supported $2,000 stimulus checks in December 2020, rather than the $600 checks included in a package he signed into law in December 2020.

Prices still spiked in countries with different policies than Biden’s, such as France, Germany and the U.K., though mostly because of the sharp increase in energy costs stemming from Russia’s invasion.

IMMIGRATION

CLAIM: “Twenty million people came over the border during the Biden-Harris administration — 20 million people — and it could be very much higher than that. Nobody really knows.”

THE FACTS: Trump’s 20 million figure is unsubstantiated at best, and he didn’t provide sources.

U.S. Customs and Border Protection reports 7.1 million arrests for illegal crossings from Mexico from January 2021 through June 2024. That’s arrests, not people. Under pandemic-era asylum restrictions, many people crossed more than once until they succeeded because there were no legal consequences for getting turned back to Mexico. So the number of people is lower than the number of arrests.

In addition, CBP says it stopped migrants 1.1 million times at official land crossings with Mexico from January 2021 through June 2024, largely under an online appointment system to claim asylum called CBP One.

U.S. authorities also admitted nearly 500,000 migrants from Cuba, Haiti, Nicaragua and Venezuela under presidential authority if they had financial sponsors and arrived at an airport.

All told, that’s nearly 8.7 million encounters. Again, the number of people is lower due to multiple encounters for some.

There are an unknown number of people who eluded capture, known as “got-aways” in Border Patrol parlance. The Border Patrol estimates how many but doesn’t publish that number.

CLAIM: Vice President Kamala Harris “was the border czar 100% and all of a sudden for the last few weeks she’s not the border czar anymore.”

THE FACTS: Harris was appointed to address “root causes” of migration in Central America. That migration manifests itself in illegal crossings to the U.S., but she was not assigned to the border.

NEW YORK CASES

CLAIM: “The New York cases are totally controlled out of the Department of Justice.”

THE FACTS: Trump was referring to two cases brought against him in New York — one civil and the other criminal.

Neither has anything to do with the U.S. Department of Justice.

The civil case was initiated by a lawsuit from New York Attorney General Letitia James. In that case, Trump was ordered in February to pay a $454 million penalty for lying about his wealth for years as he built the real estate empire that vaulted him to stardom and the White House.

Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg, a state-level prosecutor, brought the criminal case. In May, a jury found Trump guilty on 34 felony counts in a scheme to illegally influence the 2016 election through a hush money payment to a porn actor who said the two had sex.

Associated Press writers Melissa Goldin and Elliot Spagat and economics writer Christopher Rugaber contributed to this article. 

Best whisk

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Which whisk is best?

As an essential part of any kitchen utensil lineup, the whisk blends, mixes and aerates ingredients, allowing you to easily make batter, creams and sauces.

While a whisk may seem like a simple device — a handle attached to wired loops — materials and design influence its effectiveness and quality. When some recipes call for whisking at length, the right one can determine how quickly and comfortably the process goes.

With a proper whisk like this top pick from OXO, cooking and baking become much easier. Learn more about whisks, so you can find the right one for your kitchen.

What to know before you buy a whisk

Types

Balloon: These are the most popular and versatile. With wide loops, they’re best for whipping and blending batter, creams and soups — they’re the go-to whisk.
French: Similar to balloon options, French whisks are a bit narrower and thinner. They offer more precision and can be used in smaller bowls.
Ball: With straight wires featuring balls at their ends, ball whisks are useful for adding air to mixtures, particularly any that are dry and thin.
Flat: This design features one layer of wire loops with a bit of a curve at the end. Use them in shallow bowls or pans, particularly for gravy or sauce.
Spiral: With spiral whisks, a wire loop is at the end of a handle, with a second piece of wire attached to that loop in a series of spirals. These are useful for mixing sauces, gravies and dressings.
Dough: These whisks are meant to tackle tougher, thicker tasks.

Size

Most whisks are 10-12 inches in length. However, you may find some as small as 6 inches or as large as 14. The size of the bowl you’re using should influence the size of the whisk you use.

What to look for in a quality whisk

Material

Stainless steel whisks are among the most durable. Stainless steel provides strong and simple operation; it’s easy to clean and dishwasher-safe. Be careful with certain pots and pans, particularly nonstick options, as stainless steel utensils can scratch and damage them.

Silicone is a smart choice because it won’t scratch nonstick pans. It’s also flexible, durable and typically less expensive than stainless steel.

Plastic whisks are the least expensive option and also the least durable. They can’t withstand high temperatures but can help out if you’re in a pinch.

Handle

When whisking for a long period of time, you want a handle that’s light and comfortable in your hand. Molded silicone is preferred since it prevents fatigue but also allows for a strong grip. Some handles may be ergonomically designed for maximum support. Make sure the handle is sealed—this prevents food or liquid from getting inside and setting.

How much you can expect to spend on a whisk

Quality whisks, particularly those made of stainless steel and silicone, cost $10-$20. Large-size options or sets of whisks can cost over $30.

Whisk FAQ

What type of whisk is most useful?

A. If you can only choose one whisk, the balloon design should cover common tasks like whipping and mixing. If you need two, then a flat whisk is also useful, providing a complementary design that can tend to the jobs the balloon whisk struggles with.

How should I clean a whisk?

A. A dishwasher-safe whisk offers convenient cleaning. If it requires hand washing, however, soak the whisk in a bowl of warm water and soap. Move it around to shake free food and residue, then rinse under hot water. It’s best to wash the whisk as soon as possible after use to avoid food setting.

What’s the best whisk to buy?

Top whisk

OXO Good Grips Silicone Balloon Whisk

What you need to know: This high-quality silicone whisk from a trusted kitchen brand offers both power and comfort.

What you’ll love: This versatile balloon whisk can be used safely on nonstick pans. It provides more power than most silicone options, and it features a comfy grip. It’s dishwasher-safe.

What you should consider: This style is not as firm as stainless steel.

Top whisk for the money

OXO Good Grips Better Balloon Whisk

What you should know: This is a stainless steel whisk that’s useful for smaller spaces and comes at a solid price.

What you’ll love: It’s a durable whisk that’s easy to use and comfortable to hold. It’s powerful enough for large tasks but fits in smaller spaces. It’s dishwasher-safe.

What you should consider: Cleaning can be tedious if it isn’t rinsed immediately.

Worth checking out

KitchenAid Classic Utility Whisk

What you should know: This is an effective whisk from a trusted brand that boasts comfort and efficiency.

What you’ll love: The plastic ergonomic handle is lightweight. The stainless steel head provides power and longevity. It’s dishwasher-safe.

What you should consider: The plastic can be flimsy and delicate.

Prices listed reflect time and date of publication and are subject to change.

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Best whiskey barrel planter

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Which whiskey barrel planter is best?

A whiskey barrel planter is spacious, sturdy and features rich natural tones that look beautiful in any garden. It brings a refined yet rustic look to any outdoor space and is particularly suited to plants that require more room to grow.

The Best Choice Products Set of Three Rustic Barrel Planters is a full planter set featuring stunning, matching wood barrels in different sizes.

What to know before you buy a whiskey barrel planter

Wood vs. resin

Most solid wood whiskey barrel planters are made from oak, acacia, walnut or maple. These barrels are water-resistant and hold up well. If you’re looking for a barrel that’s fully waterproof, then a resin barrel designed to mimic wood is your best option. Resin is lightweight and very durable, though you will forego natural wood tones.

What to plant

Whiskey barrels are great for planting a wide variety of plants based on your climate and sunlight exposure.

Annuals: You have to replant these each year, but they tend to last well through the season. They are also easy to swap out. Since whiskey barrels are large garden focal points, you don’t want to get stuck with wilting flowers halfway through the planting season.
Water plants: If you’re willing to set your barrel up with a water pump, you can grow a water garden. This will require sealing the inside, creating drainage, and lining the base to prevent rot. Water plants that grow well in a barrel planter include water lilies, papyrus, Japanese sweet flag, elephant ears, pickerel weed and parrot feather.
Vegetables: Barrels are well-suited for growing vegetables. They are great for little patio gardens. Some vegetables that grow well in a barrel are lettuce, onion, spinach, tomatoes, peppers, carrots and peas.
Dwarf trees: Small fruit trees don’t require a lot of space and are often self-pollinating. Dwarf apple, pear, key lime, fig and pomegranate trees are all excellent choices.

Whiskey barrel sets

Since different whiskey barrels have different wood tones and grain, it’s a good idea to buy a full set of planters to ensure a few of them match. Sets come with two to five barrels and cost less than if you purchased five single barrels separately. Sets can come in one size or assorted sizes.

What to look for in a quality whiskey barrel planter

Protective coating

While whiskey barrels are naturally durable, a protective coating will make them last longer. A polyurethane coating or sealer prevents water damage and rot. Keep in mind that a coated barrel won’t have that rough, unfinished look of natural wood and might have more of a shine to it.

Drainage

Proper drainage is key when it comes to planters. Drain holes release excess water and promote healthy soil, helping your plants thrive. Depending on the size of the barrel, you’ll likely want four to six evenly-spaced holes. Each hole should be 1/2 inch to 1 inch in diameter.

Handles

Handles aren’t just decorative on a whiskey barrel planter; they make moving the barrel much easier. Plenty of wood barrels feature metal handles that match the barrel’s hammered metal hoops. Resin and plastic planters are less likely to have handles.

How much you can expect to spend on a whiskey barrel planter

A single whiskey barrel usually costs $20-$100. This varies based on material, size and quantity. A set of two to five barrels costs around $50-$350.

Whiskey barrel planter FAQ

How big is a whiskey barrel planter?

A. A standard barrel planter is about 10-25 inches in width and height. Larger and smaller sizes are available if you have different planting needs, but you usually won’t see a barrel planter larger than 35 inches wide.

Does a whiskey barrel planter need to be lined?

A. You do not need to line a solid oak barrel on the inside, but it’s very helpful to prevent rot. A lining also helps the soil retain moisture, which some plants need. Consider what plants you’re putting in the planter before deciding on adding a liner.

What’s the best whiskey barrel planter to buy?

Top whiskey barrel planter

Best Choice Products Set of Three Rustic Barrel Planters

What you need to know: The set comes with three stained wooden planters featuring metal hardware. The large barrel is 18 inches by 14 inches, the medium barrel is 15 inches by 11.5 inches, and the small barrel is 11.5 inches by 10 inches.

What you’ll love: These are made from real wood that looks beautiful with a stain finish. Each well-made barrel is durable and has built-in drainage holes.

What you should consider: These barrels only come as a set, and you can’t get three of the same size.

Top whiskey barrel planter for the money

Fox Valley Traders Realistic Wood-Look Barrel Planters

What you need to know: This set comes with four round matching plastic planters. Each measures 8 inches by 13 inches.

What you’ll love: These are lightweight but durable. Each barrel is weather-resistant and features built-in drain holes. It’s a great price for a four-piece set.

What you should consider: The faux wood is a nice touch, but it lacks the visual appeal of real wood.

Worth checking out

Southern Patio Whiskey Barrel Planter

What you need to know: This high-density resin planter comes in two colors. It measures 9.1 inches tall by 15.4 inches wide and has a 15.4-inch diameter.

What you’ll love: It’s attractive, durable and lightweight. The resin even mimics woodgrain detailing. It’s also weather-resistant and UV-resistant.

What you should consider: There is a central plug but no additional drainage at the bottom.

Prices listed reflect time and date of publication and are subject to change.

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