James Royal, Ph.D. | Bankrate.com (TNS)

It’s the perennial question among stock investors: which is better — growth investing or value investing? Recently, there’s been little contest. Growth stocks, such as Apple and Nvidia, have handily outperformed value names. But it’s not always that way, and many investors think value will once again have its day — although they’ve been waiting on that day for quite some time.

Here’s what some top investing pros say about growth and value investing, and when we might see value investing begin to outperform again.

Differences between growth investing and value investing

Many see the distinction between growth and value as somewhat arbitrary, but it’s useful to lay out what might differ between the two approaches, even if it seems a bit like a stereotype.

Growth investing

Growth investors look for $100 stocks that could be worth $200 in a few years if the company continues to grow quickly. As such, the success of their investment relies on the expansion of the company and the market continuing to price growth stocks at a premium valuation, as measured by a P/E ratio maybe, in later years if the company continues to succeed.

Growth stocks are sometimes also called momentum stocks, because their strong upward rise leads to more and more investors piling into them. Sometimes that movement occurs regardless of the company’s fundamentals, as investors build “pie in the sky” expectations around the company. When those expectations aren’t realized as quickly as some investors expect, a growth stock can plunge, though it may later rise with renewed optimism.

Value investing

In contrast, value investors look for $50 stocks that are actually worth $100 today, not in a few years, if the company continues its business plan. These investors are typically buying stocks that are out of favor now and therefore have a low valuation. They’re betting on the market’s opinion becoming more favorable, pushing up the stock price.

“Value investing is based on the premise that paying less for a set of future cash flows is associated with a higher expected return,” says Wes Crill, senior investment director at Dimensional Fund Advisors in Austin, Texas. “That’s one of the most fundamental tenets of investing.”

Many of America’s most famous investors have been value investors, including Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger and Ben Graham, among many others. Still, plenty of very wealthy individuals own growth stocks, including Amazon’s founder Jeff Bezos and hedge fund billionaire Bill Ackman, and even Buffett has shifted his approach to become more growth-oriented these days.

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But the difference between growth and value investors can sometimes be artificial, as many investors agree. There are times when growth stocks are undervalued and there are plenty of value stocks that grow.

Regardless of their style, investors are trying to buy a stock that’s worth more in the future than it is today. And both value companies and growth companies tend to expand at least a little over time and often significantly, making them some of the best long-term investments to buy. So the definitions of the terms are a bit slippery.

Typical investing wisdom might say that “when the markets are greedy, growth investors win and when they are fearful, value investors win,” says Blair Silverberg, CEO of Hum Capital, a funding company for early-stage firms based in New York City.

“The 2020s are a little different,” Silverberg says. “There are real tailwinds to technology companies and you can actually find value by buying great companies at fair prices.”

And sometimes the difference between the two investing styles may be largely psychological.

The market sometimes overlooks the “earnings growth potential in a company just because it has been bucketed as a value stock,” says Nathan Rex, chief investment officer at Eigenvector Capital in Stamford, Connecticut.

Which is better: Growth investing or value investing?

The question of which investing style is better depends on many factors, since each style can perform better in different economic climates. Growth stocks may do better when interest rates are low and expected to stay low, while many investors shift to value stocks as rates rise. Growth stocks have had a stronger run in the last decade and more, but value stocks have a good long-term record.

Growth stocks continue to outperform

Growth stocks have been having a nice go, with the last decade spent running up on the backs of large tech companies with massive opportunities. Tech stocks such as Meta Platforms, Alphabet, Amazon, Apple and Netflix — once named FAANG stocks — now dominate the market. As another trillion-dollar player, Microsoft has also been added to this mix.

The growth-y tech stocks — now rebranded as the Magnificent 7 — comprise a huge portion of key indexes such as the Standard & Poor’s 500 and the Nasdaq-100.

In the 10 years ending in April 2021, U.S. growth stocks outperformed U.S. value stocks by an average of 7.8% per year, according to Vanguard.

So what’s been driving growth stocks higher during this era?

“Investors have become so fearful of short-term events and a low-growth economy that they are willing to pay a higher premium for growth in future years,” says Rex.

“The driver for growth vs. value over the last decade has been the market’s grasp for anything that could demonstrate the ability to increase earnings in a low-growth, disinflationary environment,” says Jeff Weniger, head of equity strategy at WisdomTree Investments in Chicago.

Weniger points to tech and communications services stocks as winners on the growth side, while gesturing to energy and financials as stocks that struggle in this environment, “two sectors that tend to populate value indexes.” The pandemic exacerbated the disparity, as tech stocks may have thrived while old-line companies were hit harder, he says.

Low interest rates help make growth companies more attractive, too. Growth stocks tend to be less profitable, if they’re profitable at all, as the companies invest in operations. But in a low-rate environment investors overlook this lack of current profitability because the cost of money is low.

“The interest rate environment has been terrible for traditional banks,” says Norm Conley, CEO and CIO at JAG Capital Management in the St. Louis area, pointing to rates in the 2010s and early 2020s. A period with a flat yield curve in a low-rate environment crimped their earnings power, he says, and “the regulatory environment for banks has been anything but supportive since the Great Financial Crisis.”

Conley notes that many value indices are “heavily-weighted to ‘old economy,’ asset-intensive companies, during a period of massive technological growth and disruption.”

Of course, some of the growth vs. value dynamics shifted in 2022 and 2023, as the Federal Reserve rapidly raised interest rates to combat inflation. Higher interest rates led to investors fleeing growth stocks and becoming more welcoming to value stocks, at least for a while. But investors regained some of their risk appetite in late 2022 and then further as 2023 progressed with growth and tech stocks rebounding well into 2024.

Value investing tends to outperform over the long term

While growth stocks might win the short-term battle, value stocks are winning the long-term war, suggests Dr. Robert Johnson, finance professor at Creighton University and co-author of the book “Strategic Value Investing.”

“From 1927 through 2019, according to the data compiled by Nobel Prize laureate Eugene Fama and Dartmouth professor Kenneth French, over rolling 15-year time periods, value stocks have outperformed growth stocks 93% of the time,” he says.

But over a shorter period, value may outperform at a lower percentage. Johnson cites the same research showing that in annual periods value outperformed just 62% of the time.

But that’s not to say that value stocks as a whole will be winners when the market turns. It’s important to distinguish value stocks that have permanent problems from those that may be suffering temporary setbacks or those the market has soured on for the time being.

“Value investors have always run the risk of plowing capital into stocks that are cheap for a reason and ultimately continue to underperform,” says Conley.

Such stocks are called value traps, but the same phenomenon exists with growth stocks, and investors who buy into highly valued growth names may get burned, if the companies are unable to maintain the rapid expansion that Wall Street demands.

“Both value and growth investors run the risk of investing capital at prices that, in the fullness of time, will prove to have been too high,” says Conley.

When might value begin outperforming growth again?

The question that has been on the minds of many investors is when value stocks will outshine growth stocks. After a brief period of favor in 2022, value stocks are now less in favor again, as investors kissed and made up with growth stocks starting in late 2022. Experts point to a few factors to consider when thinking about how value again becomes the more favored approach.

One sign to watch out for: inflation. Weniger says that inflation helps value stocks more than it does growth stocks. Inflation reached its highest level in 40 years in 2022, though it’s been on the downswing since and sits at 2.9%, as of the July 2024 report.

Some traditional value sectors performed well as rising energy prices fueled inflation and increased investors’ expectations for higher interest rates. Those rises boosted energy and financial names in 2022, as investors priced in higher profits at these companies.

Value stocks are exactly where financial experts questioned in Bankrate’s fourth-quarter 2021 survey expected to see outperformance through December 2022 as interest rates rose. But Bankrate’s first-quarter 2023 survey saw them shift allegiance to growth stocks in the year ahead, as the Fed got some rein on inflation. And Bankrate’s second-quarter 2024 survey further reinforced the pros’ preference for growth stocks in the year ahead, as interest rates are moving lower.

Many investors point to long-term studies showing that eventually the market does re-rate value stocks.

“Our research shows that value investing continues to be a reliable way for investors to increase expected returns going forward,” says Crill. He suggests that the longer you stay invested, the more likely value is to outperform, since “history tells us value can show up in bunches.”

And a plain old “correction” in stocks or a bear market may return value stocks to favor. With lower expectations built into their prices, value stocks often don’t suffer the kind of downturn that higher-valued stocks do when the market sells off.

“Bull market leaders are often bear market laggards, so it could be that the market hitting a rough patch is what causes beleaguered value stocks to outperform, much as they did from 2000 to 2002, when that era’s go-go stocks came back to earth,” says Weniger.

Bottom line

The old debate of growth vs. value will live on, but the empirical evidence suggests that value stocks outperform over time, even if growth stocks steal the daily headlines. If they’re buying individual stocks, investors should stick to fundamental investing principles or otherwise consider buying a solid index fund that takes a lot of the risk out of individual stocks.

The best brokers for stock trading can help investors find the best funds with strong, long-term records of performance and low costs.

(Visit Bankrate online at bankrate.com.)

©2024 Bankrate.com. Distributed by Tribune Content Agency, LLC.

Those signs around town, what do they say?

“It’s election season,” Mom said. “This fall, we get to vote for our mayor, school board members, and even our president!”

So begins the political education of kids Kayden and Emma, the main characters of “Voting With Mommy,” a children’s book written by Eastvale City Councilmember Jocelyn Yow and illustrated by Bonnie Lemaire.

The mother of a 4-year-old named Kayden, Yow, 29, hopes that her book released last month inspires families to talk with their children about civics in hopes they’ll vote as grown-ups.

“I would love for families, for parents to introduce the concept of voting, to talk about voting and what’s happening around them at home, starting at a young age,” Yow said.

Research shows the path to the ballot box starts at home.

Children whose mothers voted in the previous presidential election were 20.3% more likely to vote in their first election, according to research published by the Sandra Day O’Connor Institute for American Democracy.

“Parents have a tremendous influence on the interest people have in politics, the values they bring to politics, and the habits they have with regard to citizenship,” Stanford University political science professor Bruce E. Cain was quoted as saying in a 2016 New York Times article about the role parents play in whether their kids vote.

Statewide, voters ages 18 to 34 account for about a third of California’s adult population, but just 21% of likely voters, the Public Policy Institute of California reported this summer. By comparison, California voters 55 and older make up 35% of the state’s adult population but 50% of likely voters.

A Norco College political science professor and the first woman of color to be elected to the Eastvale City Council — she was also the youngest woman of color to become  a city’s mayor in California history — Yow said that while growing up she, “was taught that you never talk about politics at the dining table.”

That changed her freshman year in college, when she went to a friend’s house for dinner.

“My friend’s parents, they would ask me for my opinion about some political issues that were happening at that time,” Yow said.

“Because of that dinner and that experience, it really got me thinking and looking at things from a different perspective and how politics affects all of us, whether we like it or not.”

The idea for writing the book stems from taking her son to her polling place, Yow said.

“He’s like ‘What is that? What is that?’” she said. “If you’re ever around a toddler, they’re very curious. They will ask you, ‘What is this, what is this, what is this?’ … So I would have to explain everything to him and I’m like ‘Let me just start writing all these down.’”

It took four years for Yow to write the book, which is her first.

“It’s one thing to have an idea and then it’s another thing to put it in writing, and I would always get stuck,” she said.

Yow tried to think of “things that little kids would care about.”

“They care a lot about parks and playgrounds,” she said. “Then they don’t necessarily understand the concept of roads or streets or the city budget or public safety just yet. But kids, you don’t mess with their playgrounds and parks.”

As a professor, Yow said the Generation Z students — those born between 1997 and 2012 — she interacts with are “very involved” in politics.

“They have opinions. They are well aware of what’s going on.”

Yow said she’s concerned about where young people are getting their information from.

“I would rather be me talking to my kid about politics and what’s happening than him getting his information from social media or whatnot in a few years,” she said.

“And so it’s important … that we start this conversation at home, and that we guide them in showing them how to find how to source news. I think that’s something that we can start at home by talking about news (and) what’s happening, where can you find accurate information instead of relying on social media.”

Yow will sign copies of her book Saturday, Sept. 21, from 2 p.m. to 3 p.m. at the Harada Neighborhood Center, 13099 65th St., Eastvale. She’ll do the same Saturday, Sept. 28, from 10 a.m. to 1 p.m. at the Corona Public Library, 650 S. Main St.

Jim Alkon | (TNS) BookTrib.com

It was one of his earliest and most unforgettable moments in corporate life. Young Wilbur Ross was closing a real estate deal with the legendary Bill Zeckendorf at the real estate magnate’s panoramic and totally circular office. Catching Ross gawking at his surroundings, Zeckendorf comes up from behind, puts his arm around the young man, and says, “If you had been backed into a f__ing corner as often as I have, you would want a goddamn round office too.”

Not that Ross had been scratching and clawing his way out of adversity all his life, but, well, it comes with the territory of being a Wall Street legend, known as the “King of Bankruptcy.” Over a 55-year career, he helped structure more than $400 billion in assets, was named by Bloomberg as one of the 50 most influential people in global finance, and served — and survived — four tumultuous years as secretary of commerce under President Donald Trump.

That illustrious history and the many lessons learned with it make up the substance of his just-released memoir and life primer, “Risks and Returns” (Regnery, an imprint of Skyhorse Publishing Inc.).

The subtitle of the book, “Creating Success in Business and Life,” is not so much a roadmap for young financiers, but rather the path Ross took to reach the pinnacle of his profession. It is colored with fascinating anecdotes from his Harvard Business School days to his start on Wall Street to his counsel with some of the giants of business to his Cabinet position under Trump. The company names he worked with and for read like a Fortune 100 list, and as for the people, Ross finds himself rubbing elbows with names like Rothschild, Buffett, Icahn, Milken, Branson, King Charles, John Lennon.

Ross’s anecdotes do indeed paint a picture of financial life in the fast lane. For example, there’s the time that, during the Federated Department Stores hearings, a professor says, “Mr. Chairman, investment bankers are to the financial system what mud wrestlers are to the performing arts.” As Ross starts to refute, the room can hear the professor mutter, “Another goddamned mud wrestler.”

Or the time that Martin Shugrue, the only man ever to be the CEO of two airlines as they went into bankruptcy, says to Ross, ”You were educated at Yale and Harvard. Surely you can find more appropriate clients than the skirts who are stewardess and the thugs who are Teamsters. You should be ashamed. You have some nerve coming in to tell me how to run an airline.”

Ross was raised by parents who were Democrats but early in his adult life he switches to the Republican Party and eventually lands the Cabinet position under Trump. While he finds the role rewarding, he is also subject to the whims of the commander in chief. A 6:30 a.m. call from Trump demanding he go on TV to oppose the Fed’s decision to raise rates is nothing out of the ordinary.

And there’s the scrutiny from Congress and as well as the media. In a high political position, you give up a part of your life and your privacy.

Ross no doubt is a financial genius, but for readers of “Risks and Returns” fearing they will be caught up in theory and formulas, that is not the case. Ross is a convincing storyteller, with anecdote after anecdote told in layman’s terms for all to cherish, whether playing tennis at Carl Icahn’s oceanside house or hearing Donald Trump lament on how the Obama administration overspent for the ceremonial pens to sign documents into laws. You’ll find yourself savoring one story and then thirsting for the next.

You’ll also find some of the author’s ideas to improve the political system and our regulatory environment.

But as much as anything, “Risks and Returns” gives you insights into one of the financial titans of the last half century, through his actions, his philosophies and his thinking.

“No one will live a life free of difficulty … Lifestyle issues, boring jobs, dumb bosses, work pressures, low pay, political issues … Instead of concentrating on them … drop the self-pity and get on with an affirmative direction.”

“Do not be afraid of taking rational risks — I have found that accepting them as the essential ingredient to achieving high-level returns. Just make sure that you think them through.”

(BookTrib.com is the lifestyle destination for book lovers, where articles and books are paired together to create dynamic content that goes beyond traditional book reviews.)

©2024 BookTrib. Distributed by Tribune Content Agency, LLC.

Jason Dick | (TNS) CQ-Roll Call

WASHINGTON — It was hard to follow everything that happened when the Supreme Court handed down its ruling in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization.

“If you were a doctor in Louisiana trying to keep up, in just over a month, abortion went from legal, to illegal, to legal for now, to illegal for now, to legal again for now, to illegal pending the outcome of [an] underlying lawsuit,” writes Amanda Becker, a journalist with The 19th.

Becker offers an account of that chaotic time in her new book, “You Must Stand Up: The Fight for Abortion Rights in Post-Dobbs America.” She shadows doctors, activists and others around the country as they navigate the reversal of Roe v. Wade.

“This is a story that is going to keep going,” Becker said, describing a “major political realignment.”

She joined the Political Theater podcast this month to talk about what she saw on the ground and how abortion is shaping the current election cycle. This transcript has been edited and condensed. For the full conversation, listen here.

Q: How did this book come about?

A: Everyone who writes about abortion rights knew that Dobbs was coming. It was just a matter of time to see which case was going to be the one that overturned Roe.

And so I had started mentally preparing for that, because I not only thought it was going to be a huge story in terms of health care and the court and civil rights, but potentially the biggest political story of my career.

As we head into the first presidential election with no Roe v. Wade in 50 years, we’re seeing that. We just got some polling from New York Times/Siena College showing that abortion is starting to overtake other top issues among voters in swing states. And for women under 45, it’s already the most important issue.

Q: You spent time with an abortion clinic director in Alabama and a doctor in Arizona. What was that like?

A: Living in America right now, you’re living a very different life based on where you are, and your reality can change dramatically in terms of the type of health care you can access. And it’s not just abortion — when there are abortion bans in place, there’s a cascading effect.

I knew that in that first year, clinics and providers were going to be trying to take care of people in a situation where a lot of times they were uncertain even what type of care they could provide. I was just very aware that I didn’t want to be an added stress to them on top of everything else.

I started with the clinic in Tuscaloosa run by Robin Marty, and I had to ask them a few times before she was like, “OK, you can come on down.” And then she said, “You need to talk to Dr. Gabrielle Goodrick,” so I went out to Phoenix. And I consider those two settings and those two people to really be the heart of the book.

Q: Where else did you go?

A: I write about two women from Maryland who were trying to open an all-terms clinic, and there’s also a chapter in Massachusetts, a state where the vast majority of people support abortion rights, even more so than nationally. I wanted to show a place where people on the local and state level were getting really creative about how to protect abortion access.

In Wisconsin, I followed a medical student. How do you train to be an OB-GYN in a state where you’re prohibited from learning key parts of health care? People tend to practice in the areas where they train, and there are already maternal health care deserts in Wisconsin.

And Kentucky is the other one that comes to mind, where I followed everyday voters in a red state who were campaigning against a ballot measure. One of them had never done any sort of door-knocking before, and I wanted to see what that felt like on the ground, and what made them say, “I’ve had enough. I’m taking to the streets.”

Q: Every book has a deadline, but how did you know when to stop reporting?

A: In the afterword, I write about trying to end the book: “How could I leave readers with the most up-to-date information possible as abortion access continued to ebb and flow across the country, and any single court ruling or election could change everything in an instant?”

This is a story that is going to keep going. It’s a story that I think is turning into what could be a major political realignment in this country. You know, realignments are kind of hard to see when you’re at the beginning of them, and it’s only much later that scholars and political scientists look back and are like, “Oh, the great political realignment of whatever.”

I anticipate that the afterword for the paperback next year will be the election results from this year, and how that changed things.

Q: A number of abortion-related measures are on the ballot this year around the country. Beyond those, what else are you watching? What about congressional races?

A: I absolutely am going to Arizona to cover the Senate race between Ruben Gallego and Kari Lake, and I will be spending some time in Michigan.

I could potentially get back to Wisconsin by November. There’s not only the Senate race between Tammy Baldwin and Eric Hovde, but there’s also an OB-GYN [Kristin Lyerly] who’s running for the House out there in a district that has been red, but getting less red.

There are no women OB-GYNs in Congress right now, and I’d love to talk to her. Why does a doctor put aside their medical career because they feel like they need to run for office based on protecting the type of health care they were trained and have been providing to patients?

“ You Must Stand Up ” (Bloomsbury) is out Tuesday. Hear more from Becker at Politics and Prose on Friday and at People’s Book on Sept. 19.

___

©2024 CQ-Roll Call, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Visit cqrollcall.com. Distributed by Tribune Content Agency, LLC.