Patriots mailbag: What changes are coming in the next year?

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The Patriots’ 2023 season is going to be a slog if it keeps up this way.

Because of how poorly the team has played over the last three weeks, fans are already looking to 2024 and beyond. And that’s understandable.

This week’s mailbag features questions about what changes the Patriots can make in the next year and how quickly the team can rebuild after a 1-5 start to the season.

@_DerekPaul
What is the biggest change you think we are likely to see in the next 12 months?

Based on how the season has gone up to this point, the biggest change the Patriots are likely to make is at quarterback. I don’t believe the Patriots can plan to start Mac Jones in 2024 based on how he’s played now for the last two seasons.

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There are certainly extenuating circumstances in play. Jones has been hurt by coaching changes, a poor and banged-up offensive line and a lack of quality playmakers. But he’s also physically limited, panics under pressure and makes dumb mistakes.

So, unless Jones can dramatically turn his season around, then it seems logical that the Patriots would not pick up his fifth-year option and make some other plan at quarterback in 2024, whether that’s in the draft or through a trade or free agency.

It’s possible that Jones could still be on the roster in 2024. But he will have to, at minimum, be competing for the starting job with someone else.

But it feels like anything is in play over the next 12 months. Do we know for a fact that Bill Belichick will be back or that the current infrastructure of the coaching staff and front office will stay intact? No. No one has said that, and the Patriots are 1-5 and set to be underdogs over the next two weeks.

@LTizzel32
Can they just forfeit the rest of the season to solidify getting the first overall pick this year

Sorry, but no, that will not be happening. But if it makes you feel better (?), there’s really no glaringly obvious win left on the schedule based on how the Patriots have played for the last three weeks.

If the Patriots can get blown out by the Saints and lose to a team quarterbacked for a half by Brian Hoyer, then what’s to say they can beat the Commanders, Colts, Giants, Steelers or Broncos?

@Alex_DaLuz
Why has Kayshon Bouttee been a healthy scratch for the past month? I hope the answer isn’t because he plays the same spot as Parker.

I mean, the answer is that he plays the same position as DeVante Parker. That’s why he got so many snaps in Week 1, because Parker was out, and Boutte filled in for him. And then since Parker returned, Boutte has been back off of the field.

The wide receiver room is getting more crowded too. With Tyquan Thornton back, Malik Cunningham on the 53-man roster and Demario Douglas and JuJu Smith-Schuster back in practice as they progress through concussion protocol, I don’t see a path for Boutte to get snaps unless Parker gets benched.

And since the Patriots thought highly enough of Parker to give him a contract extension four months ago, I have a hard time believing he would be benched.

@Kameron23879183
Will we have to rebuild or can we improve our offense in 1 offseason

The Patriots can definitely improve elements of their offense in one offseason, but if they’re bringing in a rookie quarterback, then it’s probably going to be a multi-year rebuild.

And honestly, I know it doesn’t sound that fun to go through a few more losing seasons, but the smart path is finding a quarterback through the draft.

@swami_spanish
Is the offensive line fixable in a single offseason?

It is possible to fix an offensive line in one offseason, and the Patriots have the salary cap to do it. I’m just not exactly sure what that will look like.

Trent Brown, Mike Onwenu and Riley Reiff are free agents. David Andrews is entering the final year of his contract. Calvin Anderson, Jake Andrews, Vederian Lowe, Atonio Mafi, Sidy Sow and Cole Strange, up to this point, have not proven that they can be counted on with key roles in the future.

Ideally, the Patriots should bring back Onwenu. But he’s had a difficult start to his tenure working with new offensive line coach Adrian Klemm. And it’s not the greatest sign that the Patriots have not signed him to an extension yet. Andrews is still a good player, and Brown could be brought back. And the hope is that Strange can still be salvaged, but he has not played like a first-round pick up to this point.

Maryland Senate contest becomes a two-person race

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Will Jawando, who five months ago surprised many by being the first to jump into the contest to replace Maryland’s retiring Sen. Ben Cardin, now becomes the first candidate to bow out.

Jawando, a Democrat who sits on the Montgomery County Council, told supporters in a statement Friday morning that he is getting out of the race simply because he does not see a path to victory.

“Because I have so much respect for my loyal supporters, my constituents in Montgomery County, and my loving wife and children, I cannot remain in a race I do not believe I can win,” Jawando said.

Jawando’s exit from the race likely means that the competition for Maryland’s Senate seat essentially becomes a two-person race between Rep. David Trone and Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks.

Trone, who is white, is a three-term congressman from Maryland’s 6th District and the uber-wealthy founder of alcohol and spirits chain Total Wine & More. Trone has the ability to self-fund his campaign and has already spent more than $6 million in advertising, according to AdImpact data. He’s gotten a number of endorsements from local officials in his district, including Frostburg, Md. Mayor Bob Flanigan and Poolesville Town Commissioner Edward Reed.

Alsobrooks is looking to make history as the state’s first Senator of color from Maryland. Alsobrooks, who is Black, represents the wealthy, majority-Black Prince George’s County. She is also close with the state’s first Black governor Wes Moore. Alsobrooks has the backing of a number of the Democratic members of Maryland’s congressional delegation, including Sen. Chris Van Hollen, Reps. Glenn Ivey, Steny Hoyer and Kweisi Mfume.

Jawando did not endorse either of his major rivals in the contest. But he name-checked a series of crises, including a Republican Party he says is trying to “elevate hard right election deniers” and dueling wars in the Middle East and in Ukraine as reasons why a strong Democratic voice is needed in the Senate.

Maryland is a deep blue state that hasn’t elected a Republican to the Senate in decades, so the winner of the May 14 Democratic Primary will in all likelihood cruise to victory in the general election.

Jawando, who previously worked in the Obama administration, first in the White House Office of Public Engagement and later as advisor to Education Secretary Arne Duncan, sought to quickly capitalize on his first-in-the-race status. He raised just over $750,000 for the race, according to FEC filings.

Jawando is expected to seek higher office again.

Ravens still searching for answers on offense: ‘There’s no way around it. We’ve got to be better’

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Ravens coach John Harbaugh said the offense is still “a work in progress.”

Quarterback Lamar Jackson’s assessment: “Inconsistent.”

Running back Gus Edwards? “It’s kind of like a fire right now and everybody is eager to put it out.”

Six games into the season, Baltimore’s offense is still trying to find its footing.

The Ravens are 15th in scoring with 22.2 points per game, which ranks behind the Houston Texans and is tied with the Washington Commanders. They’re only marginally better in FTN Fantasy’s Defense-adjusted Value Over Average, ranking 10th. And their 339.2 yards per game is only 11th-most, behind the Indianapolis Colts and barely ahead of the Minnesota Vikings.

Most glaring are their passing numbers; the Ravens’ 194.3 yards per game rank lower than the 1-5 New England Patriots and the 0-6 Carolina Panthers.

There are other issues that have stood out as well. Last week in London, the Ravens were just 1-for-6 scoring touchdowns in the red zone despite entering the game with the league’s top offense inside the opponent’s 20-yard line. The week before, in a loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers, they had seven dropped passes. Turnovers have also proved costly at times. And while the Ravens have started fast, they have also fizzled as games wear on, scoring the third-most points in the league in the first quarter and the 25th-most in the fourth.

“Teams do a great job of adjusting,” Jackson said. “[They’re] changing up their defenses on us in the second half, and then I’ll say, it takes us a little bit of time to catch up to them.”

The Ravens can at least take some solace knowing they are not alone, as scoring is down leaguewide.

Through the first six weeks, the NFL average of 20.62 points per game is the second-lowest output of the past 10 seasons. The average explosive play rate of 10% is also the lowest through six weeks since the start of TruMedia’s play data in 2000. Quarterbacks are averaging the lowest expected points added per dropback and per pass attempt in history. And success rates running the ball are near the NFL average over the past two decades.

Still, the Ravens spent more money on offense than any team in the league and haven’t had much to show for it. Jackson, in the first season of his five-year, $260 million contract, has only thrown five touchdown passes.

“We’ve got to do a better job of scheming it, do a better job of executing when we have those opportunities,” first-year offensive coordinator Todd Monken said Thursday of the Ravens’ red-zone woes from a week ago. “We’ve done a good job the last couple of weeks of moving the football. That has not been the issue. We’ve solved some of those things in terms of being more explosive, creating an identity, having a better rhythm. But turnovers and execution at the wrong time have hurt us. There’s no way around it. We’ve got to be better.”

Monken also pointed to second-half struggles, which cost the Ravens in their losses to the Indianapolis Colts and Pittsburgh Steelers and nearly did so against last week against the Titans.

Now the 5-1 Detroit Lions, tied for the best record in the NFL, come to M&T Bank Stadium. In addition to featuring one of the league’s best and most dynamic offensive attacks under coordinator Ben Johnson, they are also drastically improved on defense.

Last season, the Lions were last in the league in defensive expected points allowed. This year, they’re 10th, which is tied with the Cleveland Browns for the biggest jump this season.

Much of their success can be attributed to star edge rusher Aidan Hutchinson and rookie defensive back Brian Branch, who memorably returned an interception for a touchdown in Detroit’s season-opening win over the defending Super Bowl champion Chiefs in Kansas City. But the overall scheme has changed, too, with a significant shift from man coverage to zone.

Detroit has also generated the sixth-highest pressure rate this year despite having the fifth-lowest blitz rate, and it boasts the second-stingiest run defense in the NFL, allowing just 64.7 yards per game.

Yet the Ravens enter Sunday’s game feeling as if they gave away both of their losses, games they led by double digits but ultimately failed to finish despite several opportunities to do so.

“I think it’s just don’t let off the gas,” wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. said. “I feel like [if] you let off the gas … This is the National Football League; every team is capable of winning any Sunday. So just finding ways to close those games off.

“This is a team in here that’s 4-2; it feels like [we] should be 6-0. And maybe those two losses were the best things that happened for us to allow us not to take any moment for granted — or opportunity — and just being able to capitalize when we do have that time.”

Seven weeks in would be a good time to do so. The schedule will only get harder the rest of the way.

“Not turning it over, being explosive, converting on third down [and] scoring touchdowns in the red zone are all big part of what makes an offense successful and all the ways why [a] defense is successful,” Monken said. “All those things correlate, and we’re close.”

We’ll find out just how close — or how far — come Sunday.

Week 7

Lions at Ravens

Sunday, 1 p.m.

TV: Ch. 45

Radio: 97.9 FM, 101.5 FM, 1090 AM

Line: Ravens by 3

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Former staffers press Warren to call for ceasefire in Israel-Hamas war

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BOSTON — More than 260 staffers from Sen. Elizabeth Warren’s 2020 presidential campaign have signed an open letter to the senator demanding that she call for an “immediate ceasefire” between Israel and Hamas.

It’s the latest salvo in an intensifying pressure campaign from the Democratic Party’s left flank as the situation in the Middle East deteriorates and President Joe Biden prepares to push Congress for more aid for Israel. Muslim and Jewish congressional staffers signed an open letter to their bosses on Thursday calling for a ceasefire. Now Warren’s former staffers are following suit.

In their letter, Warren’s former presidential campaign staffers call on her to “advocate for de-escalation in the region” and for Hamas to return Israeli hostages. They urge her to “condemn Israeli violations of international law and call for independent investigations of human rights violations in Gaza.” And they want Warren to “support Palestinians’ right to self-determination” among other longer term requests.

“We spent months, some of us years, fighting for you because we believed you shared our dream for the world to be a place in which every human being can live in dignity. Your lack of moral clarity in the face of the genocide of Palestinians is a direct contradiction of the values your campaign stood for,” the former staffers wrote.

A spokesperson for Warren did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

The former staffers include field organizers, political directors and members of Warren’s data and analytics and social media teams. They worked at her national campaign headquarters and in 23 states, including Warren’s home state of Massachusetts and in the first two nominating states of Iowa and New Hampshire.

“We felt a responsibility as people who worked really hard on her campaign, and who really believe in her and trust her, to say something publicly, and to urge her to take a different approach,” Juliana Amin, Warren’s former Iowa organizing director, who helped draft the letter, said in an interview.

Notably absent from the letter are some of Warren’s top aides from her 2020 bid, including campaign manager Roger Lau and communications director Kristen Orthman, both of whom went on to work for the Democratic National Committee, as well as many of Warren’s early state directors.

Warren has drawn sustained criticism from the left for declining to follow other progressive lawmakers — including Massachusetts Reps. Jim McGovern and Ayanna Pressley — in calling for a ceasefire. Members of progressive Jewish groups including IfNotNow have demonstrated at Warren’s offices in Boston and Springfield in hopes of convincing her to call for a “ceasefire to prevent genocide in Gaza.” Progressive activists have also taken to social media to pressure Warren to call for deescalation and slammed her statement on the recent deadly explosion at a Gaza hospital.

“I appreciate the people who came to my office to share their perspectives and experiences — that’s what democracy is about,” Warren said in a statement to the Boston Globe about the demonstrations. “Israel has both a right to defend itself from terrorist attacks and an obligation to protect innocent civilians under the international laws of war. Palestinian civilians have a right to humanitarian aid including food, water, shelter, and medicine.”

Massachusetts’ senior senator now finds herself in the middle of an all-Democratic congressional delegation that’s increasingly divided over the situation in the Middle East, with McGovern and Pressley calling for a ceasefire on one side and Rep. Jake Auchincloss, a Jewish military veteran, saying Israel “can’t de-escalate” on the other.

And Warren’s attempts at striking a balance are only inflaming her base. The longer the Israel-Hamas conflict drags on, the more politically difficult the situation could become for her. Not because she’s on the ballot next year — she’s yet to draw a serious challenger from either major party — but because she is under a microscope as a major figure on the left.

Warren initially offered full-throated support for Israel in the days after Hamas’ Oct. 7 attack. In an emotional speech at the same pro-Israel rally where Sen. Ed Markey was booed for calling for deescalation, Warren said there is “no justification for terrorism ever” and pledged that America would be a “steadfast ally” to Israel.

As Israel moved to cut off all supplies of food, water and electricity to the Gaza Strip and urged the evacuation of 1 million people from the northern part of the enclave ahead of an expected military ground invasion, Warren’s language shifted. She called on Israel to “minimize civilian harm.” And she backed Biden’s move to send $100 million in humanitarian aid to Palestinians in Gaza and the West Bank.

For Amin, that’s not enough. “You can’t say we’re going to give $100 million of humanitarian aid … and also not disavow military support for the sophisticated army that has been bombarding what is essentially an open air prison,” she said.

“Elizabeth Warren is the kind of person who has historically always been willing to stand up and fight and do the right thing,” Amin added. “And I’m hopeful that she’ll do the same with this.”