Rent is eating up a greater share of tenants’ income in almost every state

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Tim Henderson | Stateline.org

There were 21 states where a majority of tenant households spent 30% or more of their incomes on rent and utilities last year, compared with just seven states in 2019.

Nationwide, about 22 million renters are shouldering that percentage. Anyone paying more than 30% is considered “cost burdened,” according to the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and may struggle to pay for other necessities, such as food, clothing, transportation and medical care.

Three presidential swing states had among the biggest increases in the share of renters who spent that much on housing: Arizona (to 54% from 46.5%), Nevada (to 57.4% from 51.1%) and Georgia (to 53.7% from 48.4%). The numbers are based on a Stateline analysis of American Community Survey data released today by the U.S. Census Bureau. Florida and Maine also saw large jumps.

In Arizona, low wages, a housing shortage, and short-term rental and vacation homes are eating away at the stock of affordable housing for renters, according to Alison Cook-Davis, associate director for research at Arizona State University’s Morrison Institute for Public Policy.

“You’ve got people across the state kind of pulling their hair out, saying ‘I thought Arizona was supposed to be the affordable state,’” Cook-Davis said.

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Rents in Arizona have shot up 40% to 60% in the last two years, she said. And the state’s eviction filings spiked 43% to 97,000 between 2022 and 2023, she said.

In places such as Arizona and Nevada where the housing bubble of the late 2000s left vacant houses, the construction of apartments and other homes has not caught up with population increases, Cook-Davis added.

A University of Nevada, Las Vegas, data brief reported in May that the Las Vegas area had the highest percentage of cost-burdened renters in the state, at 58.3%, more even than the New York City metro area (52.6%) or San Francisco metro area (48.9%).

Today’s newly released census figures showed that in addition to Arizona, Nevada and Georgia, the states with the highest jumps in the share of cost-burdened renters were Florida, which increased to 61.7% from 55.9%, and Maine, at 49.1% from 44%.

That jump left Florida as the state with the highest rate of cost-burdened renters. It was followed by Nevada (57.4%), Hawaii (56.7%), Louisiana (56.2%) and California (56.1%).

“Florida isn’t the deal it used to be,” said Christopher McCarty, director of the University of Florida’s Bureau of Economic and Business Research. “Florida still has disproportionately lower-paying jobs compared to other states, and rents are increasing compared to other states as well.”

The states with the lowest rates of cost-burdened renters as of 2023 were North Dakota (37%), Wyoming (41.2%), South Dakota (41.3%), Kansas (43.5%) and Nebraska (44%).

The share of cost-burdened renters increased since 2019 in every state except Vermont (down to 47.8% from 54%), Wyoming (down to 41.2% from 44%), North Dakota (down to 37% from 38%) and Rhode Island (down to 48.1% from 49%).

There’s hope for the future in Arizona and other states with increased home construction, Cook-Davis said.

“If you keep building, eventually this will sort itself out. But that could take years. It’s a slow process,” she said.

Stateline is part of States Newsroom, a national nonprofit news organization focused on state policy.

©2024 States Newsroom. Visit at stateline.org. Distributed by Tribune Content Agency, LLC.

Plane pull competition in South St. Paul on Saturday aims to raise critical funds for veterans

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A plane pulling competition on Saturday is intended to raise critical funds for Minnesota veterans and their families through competition and family-friendly activities.

The competition includes teams of four to six people who will compete in pulling a restored B-25 Mitchell Bomber, a well-known aircraft from World War II, at the Commemorative Air Force Minnesota Wing in South St. Paul. The event, organized by Project Got Your Back, begins at 10 a.m. and will feature food trucks, a live DJ and bounce houses for kids.

The fastest team will receive a grand prize and the team who raises the most money wins a ride in the B-25 Bomber. Each team has a fundraising goal of $1,000 and the event’s overall goal is $60,000.

Project Got Your Back is a nonprofit organization that works to support veterans and their families by providing services and resources that assist with veteran’s transition to civilian life. They organize initiatives like the plane pull to raise funds and awareness for veterans’ causes.

More information at www.projectgotyourback.org.

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Man shot behind St. Paul apartment building ‘was targeted and executed,’ murder charges say

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A 32-year-old man “was targeted and executed” when he was shot behind a St. Paul apartment building, according to murder charges filed Friday.

The charges in the death of Lul Dak Chak, of Ames, Iowa, don’t give a motive, but say surveillance video made it apparent that he was targeted.

Police tracked down one of the suspected shooters after officers saw a vehicle run a red light by the department’s Western District station, just after the shooting on Tuesday.

A Subaru Outback went through a red light on Hamline Avenue and officers in a marked squad near Hamline and St. Anthony avenues followed. They turned on the squad’s emergency lights and tried to pull it over, but the vehicle sped away and they lost sight of it after the pursuit was called off.

Officers were called at 12:20 a.m. about a shooting half a mile from where they initially saw the Subaru.

2 shooters in parking lot

Chak was face down in an apartment parking lot at University Avenue and Griggs Street in the Lexington-Hamline neighborhood. He’d been shot in his upper torso, neck and face, and St. Paul Fire Department medics pronounced him dead at the scene. There was a cellphone and a broken necklace by his body.

Police found 10 .40-caliber casings and nine 9mm casings in the parking lot around Chak’s body.

A woman who said Chak was her cousin reported they’d gone out bowling with a group for a birthday party before returning to the apartment building. She went outside to smoke and Chak came out the back of the building saying he was going to purchase some drugs, according to the criminal complaint.

The woman saw a Subaru in the parking lot, and a male exited the front passenger door “and immediately began shooting,” she reported. She said her cousin jumped in front of her to protect her.

Video surveillance from the parking lot showed Chak walked into the parking lot, and the front seat passenger and driver exited the Subaru at the same time. Both shot Chak and, after the initial shooting, the driver got within 1-2 feet of Chak and fired more rounds into his body. They got back into the Subaru and left.

Surveillance video showed the Subaru driving in the area for about 20 minutes before the shooting, and it moved to various locations in the parking lot.

Vehicle found

The officers who had tried to pull a Subaru over realized it was possibly involved in the shooting. Investigators identified the owner as a woman who lives in Minneapolis, and they found the vehicle parked in her apartment building’s secured underground garage. Surveillance video showed a man got into the Subaru in the garage at 8:37 p.m. Monday and the vehicle returned on a tow truck at 2:45 a.m. Tuesday.

The tow truck company said a man called to have it towed from the University of Minnesota campus early Tuesday. Surveillance video showed the Subaru stopped mid-block and two people emerged.

On Wednesday, police took the Subaru’s owner into custody. She said only she and her boyfriend, Kueth Chuol Ngut, 22, drive the vehicle.

Ngut told his girlfriend he couldn’t find the vehicle when he left his brother’s place, but walked around a couple of blocks and located it. It wasn’t working, so he had it towed, he told her. He also “said something to her about the license plate falling off,” according to the complaint.

Police showed the woman surveillance video from where the vehicle was towed and it showed the Subaru’s front license plate was still attached, “which meant Ngut had lied to her about the missing plates,” the complaint said.

Past convictions

Investigators told her they’d found a gun in her apartment, where Ngut also lived. She said she’d never seen him with a gun. “Investigators reminded (the woman) that she said she met Ngut when he was in prison on other gun charges,” according to the complaint.

Officers found a 9mm handgun in the apartment and a headstamp matched a casing found at the murder scene.

After Ngut’s arrest, investigators tried to interview him, but he was “confrontational and dismissive,” the complaint said. He wouldn’t comply with a search warrant to collect a DNA sample.

The Ramsey County Attorney’s Office charged Ngut with two counts of aiding and abetting murder. Police have only announced Ngut’s arrest and said they continue to investigate.

Prosecutors are asking that Ngut be held without bail until he complies with the search warrant and provides a DNA sample.

Ngut has past convictions for first-degree aggravated robbery and possession of a firearm without a serial number.

An attorney for Ngut wasn’t immediately listed in the court file.

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The politics of immigration play differently along the US-Mexico border

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By MORGAN LEE

SUNLAND PARK, N.M. (AP) — The politics of immigration look different from the back patio of Ardovino’s Desert Crossing restaurant.

That’s where Robert Ardovino sees a Border Patrol horse trailer rumbling across his property on a sweltering summer morning. It’s where a surveillance helicopter traces a line in the sky, and a nearby Border Patrol agent paces a desert gully littered with castoff water bottles and clothing.

Robert Ardovino, a partner in a decades-old family restaurant business, surveys his property on the U.S. border with Mexico in Sunland Park, N.M., Thursday, Aug. 22, 2024. Ardovino has a close-up view of border enforcement efforts and bristles at politicians talking from afar about an “open border.” (AP Photos/Morgan Lee)

It’s also where a steady stream of weary people, often escorted by smugglers, scale a border wall or the slopes of Mount Cristo Rey and step into an uncertain future. It’s a stretch of desert where reports of people dying of exhaustion and exposure have become commonplace.

“It’s very obvious to me, being on the border, that it’s not an open border. It is a very, very, very difficult situation,” said Ardovino, who pays for private fencing topped by concertina wire to route migrants around a restaurant and vintage aluminum trailers that he rents to overnight guests.

“I wish the facts would rule this conversation, and being here, I know they do not.”

As immigration politics have moved to the forefront of this year’s presidential election, they’ve dominated contests across the country for congressional seats that could determine which party controls Congress. But the urgency of the situation is greater in some districts than others.

Three of 11 congressional district races along the southern U.S. border are hotly-contested rematches in districts that flipped in 2022 with the election of Democratic Rep. Gabe Vasquez in New Mexico and Republican Reps. Juan Ciscomani in Arizona and Monica De La Cruz in Texas.

A privately owned fence extends toward the U.S. border, with Mexico in the distance, where restaurant co-owner Robert Ardovino has attempted to route migrants around the center of his property, shown Thursday, Aug. 22, 2024 in Sunland, Park, N.M. Ardovino has a close-up view of border enforcement efforts and bristles at politicians talking from afar about an “open border.” (AP Photos/Morgan Lee)

A partner in a decades-old family business, Ardovino lives in one border district in Texas and works in Vasquez’s district in New Mexico. He was disappointed by the collapse in February of a bipartisan border bill in Washington, and he bristles at politicians talking from afar about an “open border.”

What he wants, more than anything, is a collective fix — one that doesn’t diminish the work of border agents or gloss over real-world challenges like migrants fleeing dictators.

“It’s frustrating for people who need a border bill of any kind, any time, to start dealing with the big picture,” Ardovino said. “I’d rather be running a restaurant than working on these fences.”

Democrats touting border solutions

Early voting starts Oct. 8 in Sunland Park, on the edge of a whiplashed congressional district that flipped in 2018, 2020 and again in 2022 with the election of Vasquez.

Democrats in Congress are promoting border enforcement as seldom before, including a half-dozen bills from Vasquez. He touts his knowledge of the region as the U.S.-born son of immigrants with relatives on both sides of the border.

“With migrant activity along the border, we have had to adjust our approach,” said Vasquez. “I can say here that the sky is blue for 50 years, but when it turns red, you have to admit that it’s turning red.”

Rep. Gabe Vasquez, D-N.M., talks about economic development and immigration at a town-hall style meeting, Tuesday, Aug. 20, 2024, in Chaparral, N.M., an unincorporated “colonias” communities where many migrant workers settled over the past century on cheap plots of land, often with limited access to water or electricity. Vasquez, a first-term Democrat from New Mexico, touts his knowledge of the border region as the U.S.-born son of immigrants while seeking reelection in a rematch against former Republican Congresswoman Yvette Herrell. (AP Photo/Morgan Lee)

Here, border politics are literally matters of life and death. Federal and local authorities describe a new humanitarian crisis along New Mexico’s nearly 180-mile portion of the border, where migrant deaths from heat exposure have surged and merciless smuggling cartels inflict havoc.

Where Doña Ana County shares a 45-mile stretch of border with Mexico, the sheriff’s department reported 78 lifeless migrant bodies found between January and mid-August.

“The death toll, in my 21 years of working with the Doña Ana sheriff’s department, we have not had this,” said Major Jon Day.

In the Texas race, Democratic challenger Michelle Vallejo has taken a hard line on border enforcement, shocking progressive allies in her campaign to unseat De La Cruz. A recent ad from Vallejo describes “chaos at the border” and urges bipartisan cooperation to deploy more Border Patrol agents and fight human trafficking cartels.

‘A responsibility to enforce the law’

In Arizona’s 6th Congressional District, Republican incumbent Ciscomani calls border enforcement his No. 1 priority. But he has distanced himself from former President Donald Trump’s sometimes caustic anti-immigrant rhetoric and avoided presidential campaign events in swing-state Arizona. Instead, Ciscomani tells an immigrant’s story — about his own arrival in the U.S. at age 11 from Hermosillo, Mexico. He received citizenship in 2006 and says he is determined to fix the border.

“We have a responsibility to enforce the law on the border, and we also are a community of immigrants — myself included — that came here to this country, and we’re seeking opportunity.”

Experts say voters near the border have tangible concerns about smugglers and contraband but know the benefits of authorized cross-border commerce and commuting.

“There is, I think, more of a nuanced view,” said Samara Klar, a pollster and professor at the University of Arizona School of Government and Public Policy.

Border patrol arrests on the southwest border plunged to a 46-month low in July after Mexican authorities stepped up enforcement and President Joe Biden temporarily suspended asylum processing. But in New Mexico, where the decline has been less pronounced, surging migrant deaths prompted coordinated U.S. law enforcement raids in August on stash houses where smugglers hide migrants.

Rep. Gabe Vasquez, D-N.M., holds up a hand as he talks to guests at a “carne asada” campaign picknick, Tuesday, Aug. 20, 2024, in Chaparral, N.M. (AP Photo/Morgan Lee)

Vasquez, looking to be the first Democrat to win reelection in New Mexico’s 2nd Congressional District since 1978, has pitched legislation to improve detection of fentanyl coming across the border and to disrupt cartel recruitment of young Americans to ferry migrants to hiding places — quick trips that offer $1,100 — amid a scourge of addiction and proliferation of homeless encampments in cities along the Upper Rio Grande.

But he also has plans to improve conditions at migrant detention centers and offer permanent residency to immigrants who fill critical jobs in the U.S.

Republicans walk a tightrope

Vasquez ousted one-term Republican Congresswoman Yvette Herrell by only 1,350 votes in 2022 after Democrats redrew congressional maps to split a conservative oil-producing region into three districts.

Herrell, seeking the seat for the fourth consecutive time, has described an “absolute chaotic scene” at the border, and joined Republican House leaders in claiming that Democrats undermined U.S. elections by opposing a proof-of-citizenship requirement for new voters.

“It’s one or the other,” Herrell said at a rally in Las Cruces with Republican House Speaker Mike Johnson. “It’s our sovereignty over the open border.”

FILE – Republican U.S. House candidate Yvette Herrell of New Mexico speaks to attendees of a campaign event in Las Cruces, N.M., Aug. 21, 2024. (AP Photo/Andres Leighton, File)

Noncitizens already are prohibited from voting in federal elections under penalties including prison or deportation, and Vasquez says the new requirement would make participation more difficult for legitimate voters, including Native Americans who couldn’t vote in New Mexico until 1948. Data from states indicate that voting by noncitizens happens — though not in high numbers.

Herrell’s rhetoric on immigration takes aim at voters in a district Trump lost by a roughly 6% margin in 2020.

“It’s a tightrope that she’s got to walk in trying to get any of the pro-Trump enthusiasm,” said Gabriel Sanchez, director of the University of New Mexico Center for Social Policy.

The district’s voting age population is 56% Hispanic — with centuries-old ties to Mexican and Spanish settlement and a smaller share of foreign-born residents than the national average.

“Republicans have been focused more and more on the Hispanic vote because they sense that they can make some inroads,” Albuquerque-based pollster Brian Sanderoff said. “And in fact the Hispanic vote in southeastern New Mexico is split. If you’re a Hispanic right now in Lea County (in New Mexico), you’re almost as likely to be voting Republican as Democrat.”

Recently retired Border Patrol agent Cesar Ramos of Alamogordo says he felt stymied by limitations on prosecuting undocumented immigrants, whose arrival he says contributes to higher prices for housing and essentials. He applauds Herrell’s tough talk.

“People here in Alamogordo are 110% behind legal immigration, but despise that there are criminal acts of smuggling, and just breaking into the U.S. with no legal documentation,” said Ramos, a registered Republican of Puerto Rican heritage.

In Sunland Park, a working-class community nestled between the border and a quarterhorse racetrack, Democratic Party orthodoxy is being tested, too.

Luis Soto of Sunland Park, N.M. works on wiring and talks outside at his cannabis dispensary, Sunshine Essentials, Thursday, Aug. 22, 2024. Soto said migrants who cross the border have impacted his efforts to open the cannabis dispensary in a former small-town post office. He’s a registered Democrat who remembers better economic times under former President Donald Trump. (AP Photos/Morgan Lee)

Sunland Park native Luis Soto said migrants who cross the border impact his own efforts to open a cannabis dispensary in a former post office.

“I’m waiting for a fire marshal inspection and he’s busy saving people in the desert, rescuing bodies from the river, helping people out that are locked in a trailer,” said Soto, 43, the son of immigrants from Mexico in a family of lifelong Democrats. “We come from immigrants as well, but I think if the system was fixed, it would work out even better for them as well as for us.”

He is leaning toward Herrell, and associates Trump with better times.

“There was more money, more money rolling around,” Soto said. “Now there’s money, but it’s money to pay off bills.”

Incumbents try to find common ground

Vasquez in New Mexico and Ciscomani in Arizona — youthful by congressional standards at 40 and 42 — are near ideological opposites, but they’ve co-sponsored at least three bills to modernize temporary farmworker visas, spur local manufacturing and combat opioid trafficking. Those bills haven’t gotten a floor vote, while the Republican-led House approved Ciscomani’s initiative to deter deadly highway pursuits of migrant smugglers by law enforcement.

“Juan and I play basketball together, and he has become a good friend,” Vasquez said. “There are solutions on the border that we can do today that may not look like comprehensive immigration reform, but it’s biting off chunks and pieces.”

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Ciscomani said he’s eager to collaborate when he can. His Democratic challenger in Arizona’s 6th district, Kirsten Engel, scoffs at that notion, saying Ciscomani publicly opposed a major bipartisan border bill in February, days after Trump told GOP lawmakers to abandon the deal.

The $20 billion bill would have overhauled the asylum system and given the president new powers to expel migrants when asylum claims become overwhelming.

“It was actually a pretty conservative bill and (Ciscomani) rejected it right after Trump told him to,” said Engel, a law professor and former state legislator. “This is the kind of solution that … a lot of voters here really supported.”

Engel lost in 2022 by about 5,000 votes. She hopes to win this time with a campaign against consumer price-gouging and for abortion rights. A constitutional amendment to ensure abortion rights on the statewide ballot could help turn out Democratic voters.

Engel supports the abortion amendment and opposes a ballot proposal to allow local police to make arrests near the border, which she calls an unfunded mandate. Ciscomani did not say how he would vote on the initiatives but says he opposes a national abortion ban.

At Sunland Park, an off-road Border Patrol vehicle kicks dust into the morning air. An unmarked bus arrives for detained migrants. Ardovino, from his deck, gazes at Mount Cristo Rey and wonders aloud what it will take to make this work for people coming in search of a better life — and for those already here.

“The whole desert is unfortunately littered with people’s lives,” he said.

Robert Ardovino, a partner in a decades-old family restaurant business, surveys his property on the U.S. border with Mexico in Sunland Park, N.M., Thursday, Aug. 22, 2024. (AP Photos/Morgan Lee)

Associated Press reporter Valerie Gonzalez in McAllen, Texas, contributed to this report.