Pioneers in artificial intelligence win the Nobel Prize in physics

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By DANIEL NIEMANN, SETH BORENSTEIN and MIKE CORDER

STOCKHOLM (AP) — Two pioneers of artificial intelligence — John Hopfield and Geoffrey Hinton — won the Nobel Prize in physics Tuesday for helping create the building blocks of machine learning that is revolutionizing the way we work and live but also creates new threats for humanity.

Hinton, who is known as the godfather of artificial intelligence, is a citizen of Canada and Britain who works at the University of Toronto, and Hopfield is an American working at Princeton.

“These two gentlemen were really the pioneers,” said Nobel physics committee member Mark Pearce. “They … did the fundamental work, based on physical understanding which has led to the revolution we see today in machine learning and artificial intelligence.”

The artificial neural networks — interconnected computer nodes inspired by neurons in the human brain — the researchers pioneered are used throughout science and medicine and “have also become part of our daily lives, for instance in facial recognition and language translation,” said Ellen Moons, a member of the Nobel committee at the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences.

Hopfield, whose 1982 work laid the groundwork for Hinton’s, told The Associated Press Tuesday, “I continue to be amazed by the impact it has had.”

Hinton predicted that AI will end up having a “huge influence” on civilization, bringing improvements in productivity and health care.

“It would be comparable with the Industrial Revolution,” he said in an open call with reporters and officials of the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences.

“Instead of exceeding people in physical strength, it’s going to exceed people in intellectual ability. We have no experience of what it’s like to have things smarter than us. And it’s going to be wonderful in many respects,” Hinton said.

“But we also have to worry about a number of possible bad consequences, particularly the threat of these things getting out of control.”

Warning of AI risks

The Nobel committee also mentioned fears about the possible flipside.

Moons said that while it has “enormous benefits, its rapid development has also raised concerns about our future. Collectively, humans carry the responsibility for using this new technology in a safe and ethical way for the greatest benefit of humankind.”

Hinton shares those concerns. He quit a role at Google so he could speak more freely about the dangers of the technology he helped create.

“I am worried that the overall consequence of this might be systems more intelligent than us that eventually take control,” Hinton said.

For his part, Hopfield, who signed early petitions by researchers calling for strong control of the technology, compared the risks and benefits of machine learning to work on viruses and nuclear energy, capable of helping and harming society.

Neither winner was home to get the call

Neither winner was home when they received the news. Hopfield, who was staying with his wife at a cottage in Hampshire, England, said that after grabbing coffee and getting his flu shot, he opened his computer to a flurry of activity.

“I’ve never seen that many emails in my life,” he said. A bottle of champagne and bowl of soup were waiting on his desk for him, he added, but he doubted there were any fellow physicists in town to join the celebration.

Hinton said he was shocked at the honor.

“I’m flabbergasted. I had no idea this would happen,” he said when reached by the Nobel committee on the phone. He said he was at a cheap hotel with no internet.

Hinton’s work considered ‘the birth’ of AI

Hinton, 76, helped develop a technique in the 1980s known as backpropagation that has been instrumental in training machines how to “learn” by fine-tuning errors until they disappear. It’s similar to the way a student learns from a teacher, with an initial solution graded and flaws identified and returned to be fixed and repaired. This process continues until the answer matches the network’s version of reality.

His team at the University of Toronto later wowed peers by using a neural network to win the prestigious ImageNet computer vision competition in 2012. That win spawned a flurry of copycats and was “a very, very significant moment in hindsight and in the course of AI history,” said Stanford University computer scientist and ImageNet creator Fei-Fei Li.

“Many people consider that the birth of modern AI,” she said.

Hinton and fellow AI scientists Yoshua Bengio and Yann LeCun won computer science’s top prize, the Turing Award, in 2019.

“For a long time, people thought what the three of us were doing was nonsense,” Hinton told told the AP in 2019. “They thought we were very misguided and what we were doing was a very surprising thing for apparently intelligent people to waste their time on.”

“My message to young researchers is, don’t be put off if everyone tells you what are doing is silly.”

And Hinton himself uses machine learning in his daily life, he said.

“Whenever I want to know the answer to anything, I just go and ask GPT-4,” Hinton said at the Nobel announcement. “I don’t totally trust it because it can hallucinate, but on almost everything it’s a not-very-good expert. And that’s very useful.”

Hopfield’s work was foundation for Hinton’s

Hopfield, 91, created an associative memory that can store and reconstruct images and other types of patterns in data, the Nobel committee said.

“What fascinates me most is still this question of how mind comes from machine,” Hopfield said in a video posted online by The Franklin Institute after it awarded him a physics prize in 2019.

Hinton used Hopfield’s network as the foundation for a new network that uses a different method, known as the Boltzmann machine, that the committee said can learn to recognize characteristic elements in a given type of data.

Bengio, who was mentored by Hinton and “profoundly shaped” by Hopfield’s thinking, told the AP that the winners both “saw something that was not obvious: Connections between physics and learning in neural networks, which has been the basis of modern AI.”

He said he was “really delighted” that they won the prize. “It’s great for the field. It’s great for recognizing that history.”

Six days of Nobel announcements opened Monday with Americans Victor Ambros and Gary Ruvkun winning the medicine prize for their discovery of tiny bits of genetic material that serve as on and off switches inside cells that could one day lead to powerful treatments for diseases like cancer.

The prize carries a cash award of 11 million Swedish kronor ($1 million) from a bequest left by the award’s creator, Swedish inventor Alfred Nobel. The laureates are invited to receive their awards at ceremonies on Dec. 10, the anniversary of Nobel’s death.

Nobel announcements continue with the chemistry prize on Wednesday and literature on Thursday. The Nobel Peace Prize will be announced Friday and the economics award on Oct. 14.

Corder reported from The Hague, Netherlands and Borenstein reported from Washington. AP reporters Adithi Ramakrishnan in New York, Matt O’Brien in Providence, Rhode Island, and Kelvin Chan in London contributed.

Ramsey County approves $1.2 million county retiree Medicare Advantage supplement; St. Paul School District votes tonight

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The Ramsey County Board voted 5-1 on Tuesday to put $1.2 million toward a supplemental health insurance plan for county retirees, with the goal of maintaining access to HealthPartners hospitals and clinics next year for former county employees subscribed to the UnitedHealthcare Medicare Advantage program.

The board noted the one-time spending will come from the county’s post-employment benefits fund, which is fueled by a 6% payroll surcharge charged to every county department, but the effort falls far short of a cure-all, given premiums that could in some cases double under the supplemental plan.

With the same goal of ensuring retiree access to Regions Hospital and other HealthPartners sites, the St. Paul Board of Education, or school board, is scheduled to vote Tuesday evening on a $3.5 million contribution toward its own supplemental health insurance plan for UHC Medicare Advantage subscribers.

HealthPartners and UHC continue to be locked in a dispute over claim denials, and HealthPartners informed some 30,000 UHC Medicare Advantage subscribers this summer they will be considered out-of-network in 2025 and not be able to access Regions Hospital and other HealthPartners sites next year unless the dispute is soon resolved. Thousands of city of St. Paul, St. Paul School District and Ramsey County retirees are among those impacted.

Ramsey County Board Chair Victoria Reinhardt and Commissioner Nicole Joy Frethem (Courtesy of Reinhardt and Frethem)

“I don’t feel like we can put our retirees out, hanging out on a limb, because they’re having a fight that we, again, had nothing to do with,” said Ramsey County Board Chair Victoria Reinhardt, a lead proponent of the supplemental plan. “No one should be put in this position.”

She noted that county retirees who opt for the pricier supplemental plan would be able to switch back to the cheaper UHC Medicare Advantage program next year if the two sides come to an agreement by the end of the year.

County Commissioner Nicole Frethem, who cast the sole “No” vote against the $1.2 million county proposal, said the county should instead be dedicating those dollars toward employee benefits for existing workers, rather than rewarding UnitedHealthcare with extra spending. The county is currently in labor negotiations, and benefits are part of that discussion, she noted.

“I have concerns. I could see an action going two ways. It could reassure our employees we will keep with the spirit of our commitments … or it could make a challenging (labor) negotiation even harder,” Frethem said.

Cheapest option isn’t always the best

Frethem said her own uncle had complained to her that the county had not stepped up to protect retiree health insurance benefits.

She said that perception was wrong — the county was unfairly roped into an ongoing dispute between a health system and a for-profit insurer.

“I am really frustrated that we could be spending up to $1.2 million, that we could be spending on our current employees, to bail out UHC and HealthPartners,” she said. “Why is it not UHC’s responsibility to provide that breach in coverage? … You need to work it out. Put on your big kid pants and work it out. … This is not an easy decision.”

Frethem and other members of the county board urged state lawmakers to get involved and promote a public healthcare option.

County Commissioner Rafael Ortega said the supplemental option is “not perfect, but given the stories that some of the retirees are facing serious health issues, it’s not just a matter of changing doctors. They’re in the middle of treatment.”

He said the county should look for a new health insurance vendor in early 2025, and the cheapest option might not be the best one.

“Quite frankly, we went with the lowest bidder as part of our criteria, and we really need to look at that in the future,” Ortega said. “I think the first thing we do next year is put out a (request for proposals).”

On Monday, a spokesperson for HealthPartners said negotiations with UnitedHealthcare were still underway. A spokesperson for UnitedHealthcare released a written statement on Tuesday making similar claims, but no further information.

“We are currently engaged in good-faith negotiation with HealthPartners,” reads the unsigned statement from UnitedHealthcare. “Our goal is to renew our relationship and ensure continued, uninterrupted network access to the health system. We hope HealthPartners continues to engage with us and work toward a new agreement.”

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Hurricane Milton to balloon into wide storm before catastrophic Florida landfall within 36 hours

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Residents along Florida’s Gulf coast near Tampa Bay are being urged to complete their storm preparations today — or evacuate if necessary — as Hurricane Milton barrels toward the state with “the potential to be one of the most destructive hurricanes on record” for Florida within 36 hours, National Hurricane Center forecasters said.

Overnight, Milton went through an eyewall replacement in the Gulf of Mexico, something which typically happens in large hurricanes and results in the storm’s wind field expanding and its power dropping. Just prior to the replacement, Milton had intensified at an astonishing rate and barometric pressure had plunged below 900 millibars, making it one of the top five most intense Atlantic hurricanes on record.

Top sustained winds as of 11 a.m. Monday morning were 150 mph, still a catastrophic Category 4 but down from the Monday night peak of 180. Forecasters said Milton’s intensity may continue to fluctuate up or down over the Gulf of Mexico’s deep, warm waters.

The exact forecast track remains in flux. As of Tuesday morning, landfall is forecast to be just south of Tampa Bay, but the cone of uncertainty stretches from the Gulf Hammock Wildlife park south to Captiva Island. A direct or near-direct hit on Tampa Bay could bring storm surge of 12-15 feet. The mayor of Tampa told residents that such a surge would be “unsurvivable” to those who ignore evacuation orders.

After landfall, the forecast shows Milton tracking parallel to Interstate 4, passing just south of Orlando, and exiting the state’s Space Coast. Regardless of where the storm hits directly, Milton will have a very large wind field by landfall and much of the central portion of Florida is at risk of flash flooding, destructive wind and possible tornadoes.

As of 11 a.m., Hurricane Milton was located about 520 miles west-southwest of Tampa, moving east-northeast at 9 mph. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles from the center.

Tampa Bay has not endured a direct hit from a hurricane in more than a century. If the track holds and Milton remains a major hurricane, the storm surge in the region would be catastrophic, forecasters said.

Here’s the forecast track for Hurricane Milton as of 8 a.m. Tuesday (National Hurricane Center)

Forecasters said that although the eyewall replacement that occurred overnight had weakened Milton slightly, that’s not exactly good news. “The eyewall replacement cycle will likely lead to an expansion of the destructive inner core of the hurricane during the next day or two,” the hurricane center said.

Hurricane warnings extend far inland as Milton is forecast to retain hurricane strength during its entire passage east across Central Florida and Orlando, then out into the Atlantic Ocean near Cape Canaveral. South Florida is under a tropical storm watch with high winds from 58 mph to 73 mph and heavy rainfall possible despite being far from Milton’s forecast path.

The Tampa Bay area is still rebounding from Helene and its powerful surge — a wall of water up to 8 feet it created even though its eye was 100 miles offshore. Twelve people died there, with the worst damage along a string of barrier islands from St. Petersburg to Clearwater.

Stragglers were a problem during Helene and 2022’s Ian. Many residents failed to heed ample warnings, saying they evacuated during previous storms only to have major surges not materialize. But there was evidence Monday that people were getting out before Milton arrives.

A steady stream of vehicles headed north toward the Florida Panhandle on Interstate 75 as residents heeded evacuation orders. Traffic clogged the southbound lanes of the highway for miles as other residents headed for the relative safety of South Florida.

“This is a ferocious hurricane,” Gov. Ron DeSantis said Monday. “Anything south of the storm is going to have major storm surge, even 100 miles away.”

“By taking an extremely unusual track across the Gulf slightly farther south than forecast, Milton has a long runway in an atmospheric environment that is forecast to be extremely conducive to strengthening,” said Fox Weather hurricane expert Bryan Norcross. “Unless we get extremely lucky, Milton will be one of the biggest hurricane disasters in history.”

DeSantis pointed out that there was loss of life due to Hurricane Helene two weeks ago, and Milton’s surge looks to be worse. The predicted storm surge is the highest ever forecast for Tampa Bay and nearly double the levels reached two weeks ago during Helene, said National Hurricane Center spokeswoman Maria Torres.

Much of Florida’s west coast is under threat of severe storm surge, with as much as 15 feet forecast for areas around Tampa Bay. (National Hurricane Center)

Many sand dunes and other natural protection were destroyed less than two weeks ago by Hurricane Helene. “That means storm surge impacts from Milton could be even more significant,” said AccuWeather chief meteorologist Jon Porter.

The hurricane center issued a multitude of watches and warnings Monday evening.

A hurricane warning has been issued for the west coast of Florida from Bonita Beach north to the mouth of the Suwannee River, including Tampa Bay.
A tropical storm warning has been issued for the west coast of Florida south of Bonita Beach to Flamingo, including Lake Okeechobee.
There is a tropical storm warning for the Florida Keys, including the Dry Tortugas. A tropical storm watch stretches from Miami-Dade to Port St. Lucie, and another for the coasts of Georgia and South Carolina. There is a hurricane watch from the St. Lucie/Indian River County Line northward to the mouth of the St. Marys River in Georgia.
A storm surge watch has been issued for the U.S. East Coast from Sebastian Inlet to Edisto Beach, South Carolina, including the St. Johns River.
The storm surge warning for the west coast also extends from Flamingo north to the Suwannee River, including Charlotte Harbor and Tampa Bay.

In South Florida, tropical-storm-force winds could arrive by by Wednesday afternoon, the National Weather Service said.

DeSantis said that while it remains to be seen just where Milton will strike, it’s clear that Florida is going to be hit hard: “I don’t think there’s any scenario where we don’t have major impacts at this point.”

The state’s Director of Emergency Management, Kevin Guthrie, said the state is preparing for the largest hurricane evacuation since 2017, when Hurricane Irma cut through the entire length of the Florida peninsula from the Keys to Georgia.

“Please, if you’re in the Tampa Bay area, you need to evacuate,” said Guthrie. “If they have called your evacuation order, I beg you, I implore you, to evacuate. Drowning deaths due to storm surge are 100% preventable if you leave. We had situations where people died drowning in Hurricane Ian. Had they just gone across the bridge, from Estero Bay and Sanibel island … they’d still be alive today.”

It’s the “black swan” worst case scenario that MIT meteorology professor Kerry Emanuel and other hurricane experts have worried about for years.

Part of it is that for some reason — experts say it’s mostly luck with a bit of geography — Tampa hasn’t been hit with a major hurricane since the deadly 1921 hurricane that had 11 feet of storm surge that inundated downtown Tampa, though there wasn’t much to the city at the time, Emanuel said. Since then, a metropolis has grown and it’s full of people who think they’ve lived through big storms when they haven’t, he said.

“It’s a huge population. It’s very exposed, very inexperienced and that’s a losing proposition,” Emanuel, who has studied hurricanes for 40 years, said. “I always thought Tampa would be the city to worry about most.”

Guthrie said that if you  need assistance evacuating, you can call the state’s hotline: 800-729-3413. There’s also a website, fl511.com, for with emergency evacuation information.

State officials said that Visit Florida has emergency accommodation modules on Expedia, Priceline and Booking.com for real-time hotel availability. Uber will also be offering free rides to shelters, as they did during Hurricane Helene. DeSantis said the the state would be issuing a code for Uber shortly.

DeSantis warned that hurricane-force winds will penetrate far inland. “You’re going to have hurricane winds, potentially category 3, but certainly 1 or 2, all the way through the Florida peninsula,” he said.

The state has prepared emergency fuel sources and electric vehicle charging stations along evacuation routes, and “identified every possible location that can possibly house someone along those routes,” Guthrie said. People who live in homes built after Florida strengthened its codes in 2004, who don’t depend on constant electricity and who aren’t in evacuation zones, should probably avoid the roads, he said.

DeSantis stated that crews readying to mobilize for power restoration, and that Milton may cause outages greater than those brought by Hurricane Helene.

There is a “massive amount of resources being marshalled,” he added.

On Monday, the Biden administration approved an Emergency Declaration for Florida, allowing federal disaster assistance for the state through the Federal Emergency Management Agency.

There had been media rumors that DeSantis “declined a call” with Vice President Kamala Harris. DeSantis said that was not true, and that at the time, he didn’t know she had called. He said President Joe Biden has approved everything Florida has asked for. The president and the governor spoke Monday night, the White House said.

Milton is expected to bring rain totals of 5 to 8 inches, with localized areas seeing potentially up to 18 inches, across portions of the central to northern Florida peninsula through Thursday. That will come on top of moisture ahead of the hurricane that is already saturating the state.

“If the center of Milton tracks just to the north of Tampa Bay, the scope of potential storm surge is impossible to imagine,” Norcross wrote on his blog, Hurricane Intel. “Think of of Helene’s surge and add another few feet.”

A flood watch is in effect for all of South Florida into Thursday morning, though all three counties are not in the forecast cone as of Tuesday morning. Broward and Palm Beach county schools will be open Tuesday, but close Wednesday and Thursday, the districts announced on Monday afternoon.

Since many of the counties under the Milton state of emergency are still recovering from Hurricane Helene, DeSantis asked the Florida Division of Emergency Management and the Florida Department of Transportation to coordinate all available resources and personnel to supplement local communities as they expedite debris removal.

As many as 5,000 National Guard troops are helping state crews to remove the tons of debris left behind by Helene, DeSantis said, and he directed that Florida crews dispatched to North Carolina in Helene’s aftermath return to the state to prepare for Milton.

With Milton achieving hurricane status, this is the first time the Atlantic has had three simultaneous hurricanes after September, said Colorado State University hurricane scientist Phil Klotzbach. There have been four simultaneous hurricanes in August and September.

On Monday, the hurricane center said Milton is the third fastest-strengthening hurricane on record in the Atlantic Basin. It grew from a Category 2 on Monday morning to Category 5 by noon. Only Wilma (2005) and Felix (2007) intensified faster. Also, it grew from a tropical storm to a Category 5 hurricane within the span of 36 hours.

Rapid intensification is fueled by hot sea surface temperatures, lack of wind shear as well as the storm’s clean vertical posture. Storms with smaller diameters can more easily ramp up as well.

Other tropical systems

On Monday, a disturbance formed over the Bahamas and has 20% chance of developing in the next 2 days. It is expected to travel northeast, away from Florida.

Far in the Atlantic, Tropical Storm Leslie’s track should keep it away from land, and Kirk has become a powerful extratropical cyclone with a tracked aimed at Spain and France.

Leslie, located 1,435 miles west-northwest of Africa’s southernmost Cabo Verde Islands, had a maximum sustained wind speed of 70 mph and was moving northwest at 13 mph as of 11  a.m. Tuesday.

In addition, the National Hurricane Center is watching a tropical wave that is expected to move off the west coast of Africa in a few days, although the chance of development is low, with a 20% chance through the next seven days.

The next named storm will be Nadine.

Information from the Associated Press was used in this report.

States sue TikTok, claiming its platform is addictive and harms the mental health of children

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By HALELUYA HADERO

More than a dozen states and the District of Columbia have filed lawsuits against TikTok on Tuesday, alleging the popular short-form video app is harming youth mental health by designing its platform to be addictive to kids.

The lawsuits stem from a national investigation into TikTok, which was launched in March 2022 by a bipartisan coalition of attorneys general from many states, including New York, California, Kentucky and New Jersey. All of the complaints were filed in state courts.

At the heart of each lawsuit is the TikTok algorithm, which powers what users see on the platform by populating the app’s main “For You” feed with content tailored to people’s interests. The lawsuits also emphasize design features that they say make children addicted to the platform, such as the ability to scroll endlessly through content, push notifications that come with built-in “buzzes” and face filters that create unattainable appearances for users.

In its filings, the District of Columbia called the algorithm “dopamine-inducing,” and said it was created to be intentionally addictive so the company could trap many young users into excessive use and keep them on its app for hours on end. TikTok does this despite knowing that these behaviors will lead to “profound psychological and physiological harms,” such as anxiety, depression, body dysmorphia and other long-lasting problems, the complaint said.

“It is profiting off the fact that it’s addicting young people to its platform,” District of Columbia Attorney General Brian Schwalb said in an interview.

“We strongly disagree with these claims, many of which we believe to be inaccurate and misleading. We’re proud of and remain deeply committed to the work we’ve done to protect teens and we will continue to update and improve our product,” said TikTok spokesman Alex Haurek in a reply to the lawsuits. “We’ve endeavored to work with the Attorneys General for over two years, and it is incredibly disappointing they have taken this step rather than work with us on constructive solutions to industrywide challenges.”

The social media firm does not allow children under 13 to sign up for its main service and restricts some content for everyone under 18. But Washington and several other states said in their filing that children can easily bypass those restrictions, allowing them to access the service adults use despite the company’s claims that its platform is safe for children.

“TikTok claims that is safe for young people, but that is far from true. In New York and across the country, young people have died or gotten injured doing dangerous TikTok challenges and many more are feeling more sad, anxious, and depressed because of TikTok’s addictive features,” New York Attorney General Letitia James said in a statement.

Their lawsuit also takes aim at other parts of the company’s business.

The district alleges TikTok is operating as an “unlicensed virtual economy” by allowing people to purchase TikTok Coins – a virtual currency within the platform – and send “Gifts” to streamers on TikTok LIVE who can cash it out for real money. TikTok takes a 50% commission on these financial transactions but hasn’t registered as a money transmitter with the U.S. Treasury Department or authorities in the district, according to the complaint.

Officials say teens are frequently exploited for sexually explicit content through TikTok’s LIVE streaming feature, which has allowed the app to operate essentially as a “virtual strip club” without any age restrictions. They say the cut the company gets from the financial transactions allows it to profit from exploitation.

The 14 attorneys general say the goal of their lawsuits is to stop TikTok from using these features, impose financial penalties for their alleged illegal practices and collect damages for users that have been harmed.

Many states have filed lawsuits against TikTok and other tech companies over the past few years as a reckoning grows against prominent social media platforms and their ever-growing impact on young people’s lives. In some cases, the challenges have been coordinated in a way that resembles how states previously organized against the tobacco and pharmaceutical industries.

Last week, Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton sued TikTok, alleging the company was sharing and selling minors’ personal information in violation of a new state law that prohibits these practices. TikTok, which disputes the allegations, is also fighting against a similar data-oriented federal lawsuit filed in August by the Department of Justice.

Several Republican-led states, such as Nebraska, Kansas, New Hampshire, Kansas, Iowa and Arkansas, have also previously sued the company, some unsuccessfully, over allegations it is harming children’s mental health, exposing them to “inappropriate” content or allowing young people to be sexually exploited on its platform. Arkansas has brought a legal challenge against YouTube, as well as Meta Platforms, which owns Facebook and Instagram and is being sued by dozens of states over allegations its harming young people’s mental health. New York City and some public school districts have also brought their own lawsuits.

TikTok, in particular, is facing other challenges at the national level. Under a federal law that took effect earlier this year, TikTok could be banned from the U.S. by mid-January if its China-based parent company ByteDance doesn’t sell the platform by then.

Both TikTok and ByteDance are challenging the law at an appeals court in Washington. A panel of three judges heard oral arguments in the case last month and are expected to issue a ruling, which could be appealed to the U.S. Supreme Court.