Make your Oscars predictions — and see how they compare to expert picks

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By LINDSEY BAHR and JAKE COYLE, Associated Press

The Associated Press’ film writers have made their Oscars predictions in every category, ahead of Sunday’s ceremony. Now it’s time to make your own picks, and see how they stack up.

Below, you’ll find predictions from the AP’s Lindsey Bahr and Jake Coyle in all 23 categories.

This combination of images shows promotional art for ten films nominated for the Oscar for best picture, top row from left, “Anora,” “The Brutalist,” “A Complete Unknown,” “Conclave,” and “Dune: Part Two,” bottom row from left, “Emilia Perez,” “I’m Still Here,” “The Nickel Boys,” “The Substance,” and “Wicked.” (Neon/A24/Searchlight Pictures/Focus Features/Warner Bros. Pictures/Netflix/Sony Pictures Classics/Amazon-MGM/Mubi/Universal Pictures via AP)

Best picture

BAHR: “Conclave”

COYLE: “Anora”

Actress

BAHR: Demi Moore, “The Substance”

COYLE: Demi Moore, “The Substance”

Actor

BAHR: Adrien Brody, “The Brutalist”

COYLE: Timothée Chalamet, “A Complete Unknown”

Supporting actress

BAHR: Zoe Saldaña, “Emilia Pérez”

COYLE: Zoe Saldaña, “Emilia Pérez”

Supporting actor

BAHR: Kieran Culkin, “A Real Pain”

COYLE: Kieran Culkin, “A Real Pain”

Director

BAHR: Sean Baker, “Anora”

COYLE: Sean Baker, “Anora”

Documentary

BAHR: “No Other Land”

COYLE: “Porcelain War”

International film

BAHR: “Emilia Pérez”

COYLE: “I’m Still Here”

Animated film

BAHR: “Flow”

COYLE: “The Wild Robot”

Original screenplay

BAHR: “A Real Pain,” Jesse Eisenberg

COYLE: “Anora,” Sean Baker

Adapted screenplay

BAHR: “Conclave,” Peter Straughan

COYLE: “Conclave,” Peter Straughan

Original song

BAHR: “El Mal” from “Emilia Pérez,” Clément Ducol, Camille and Jacques Audiard

COYLE: “El Mal” from “Emilia Pérez,” Clément Ducol, Camille and Jacques Audiard

Original score

BAHR: “The Wild Robot,” Kris Bowers

COYLE: “The Brutalist,” Daniel Blumberg

Cinematography

BAHR: “The Brutalist,” Lol Crawley

COYLE: “The Brutalist,” Lol Crawley

Sound

BAHR: “Dune: Part Two,” Gareth John, Richard King, Ron Bartlett and Doug Hemphill

COYLE: “Dune: Part Two,” Gareth John, Richard King, Ron Bartlett and Doug Hemphill

Production design

BAHR: “The Brutalist,” Judy Becker and Patricia Cuccia

COYLE: “The Brutalist,” Judy Becker and Patricia Cuccia

Costume design

BAHR: “Wicked,” Paul Tazewell

COYLE: “Wicked,” Paul Tazewell

Film editing

BAHR: “Conclave,” Nick Emerson

COYLE: “Conclave,” Nick Emerson

Makeup and hairstyling

BAHR: “Wicked,” Frances Hannon, Laura Blount and Sarah Nuth

COYLE: “The Substance,” Pierre-Olivier Persin, Stéphanie Guillon and Marilyne Scarselli

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Visual effects

BAHR: “Wicked,” Pablo Helman, Jonathan Fawkner, David Shirk and Paul Corbould

COYLE: “Dune: Part Two,” Paul Lambert, Stephen James, Rhys Salcombe and Gerd Nefzer

Animated short

BAHR: “Yuck!”

COYLE: “Wander to Wander”

Documentary short

BAHR: “Incident”

COYLE: “I Am Ready, Warden”

Live-action short

BAHR: “A Lien”

COYLE: “A Lien”

Federal immigration officials are said to have arrested 5 members of Duluth roofing crew

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DULUTH, Minn. — Federal immigration officials arrested members of a roofing crew working in Duluth  this week. Five people were apparently detained by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement agents, advocate Ryan Perez told the Duluth News Tribune, citing a family member of a roofer in the company.

Perez is organizing director for Communities Organizing Latine Power and Action, which is part of the newly formed Immigrant Defense Network that launched amid President Donald Trump’s vow to carry out mass deportations.

It wasn’t immediately clear why the roofers were targeted for arrest, where they are from, or the status of their cases.

“Due to our operational tempo and the increased interest in our agency, we are not able to research and respond to specifics of routine daily operations for ICE,” regional spokesperson Alethea Smock wrote in response to a News Tribune inquiry.

The Duluth Police Department said it was not informed of the enforcement action in the Lakeside neighborhood and did not take part in it.

“DPD’s public safety response remains the same,” Chief Mike Ceynowa said in a statement. “Our main priority has been and always will be the safety and security of our community. We weren’t involved in any immigration incidents and weren’t informed of actions occurring in our community.”

Mayor Roger Reinert, likewise, stressed that the city is not responsible for immigration issues.

“We have multiple levels of government in the United States, and each is charged with different responsibilities,” he said. “At the local level, our city staff continue to be focused on core city services: streets, utilities and public safety. Local government is not responsible for immigration enforcement.”

Trump has vowed to carry out the largest mass deportation in U.S. history during his second term — at times suggesting he wants to deport every person in the country illegally. That figure was estimated to be 11 million by the U.S. Department of Homeland Security in 2022.

DHS Secretary Kristi Noem said Wednesday that the agency made more than 20,000 arrests in Trump’s first month. The administration also has reversed policies that prohibited raids at sensitive locations such as schools, hospitals and places of worship.

But data has shown that some 41% of new detainees have no criminal record, in contradiction to the administration’s claim that it is targeting violent criminals. And the 37,660 people deported during Trump’s first month is far lower than last year’s monthly average of 57,000 under President Joe Biden.

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The rise of dairy alternatives: What’s driving the shift?

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By Lisa MarcAurele, Food Drink Life

Dairy alternatives are becoming a go-to choice for consumers who want simple solutions for dietary restrictions. From creamy almond milk to rich oat-based yogurt, these alternatives replicate the taste and texture of traditional dairy, making them a convenient option for those following plant-based diets or managing dairy sensitivities. With so many delicious choices available, switching to dairy free doesn’t mean giving up your favorite foods.

What are dairy alternatives?

These days, you can find alternatives for nearly every dairy product like milk, cheese, yogurt and ice cream. Plant milks, such as almond, soy and oat milk, are among the most popular. These options offer creaminess for drinks like lattes and work well in baking.

Plant-based cheeses and butters are also in high demand. Cheese alternatives now come in various styles like shredded and sliced as well as spreadable soft cheese. Many brands rely on nuts, soy or coconut oil to replicate traditional cheese textures.

Vegan yogurts made from coconut, almond or soy bases are popular, too. They are available in various flavors, including vanilla and berry. You’ll also find a variety of non-dairy ice creams, puddings and cakes in grocery stores. These days, going dairy free doesn’t mean giving up your favorite treats.

Popularity of dairy substitutes

Thanks to their versatility and widespread availability, dairy substitutes have become a kitchen staple for millions. Plant-based options offer a delicious solution, whether you’re lactose intolerant, cutting back on animal products or simply following food trends. From vegan whipped cream for your morning coffee to oat-based ice creams for dessert, the choices are endless.

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Health is a major motivator for many. Lactose intolerance affects a significant portion of the population, and dairy alternatives offer relief from discomfort without compromising on taste. Others choose dairy-free products for environmental reasons since plant-based options generally have a lower carbon footprint.

Beyond health and sustainability, the sheer variety and convenience of these products appeal to consumers. Grocery stores are stocked with options like soy milk, cashew cheese and coconut yogurt, making it easy to find something that suits your taste and dietary needs.

Types of dairy-free milk

Plant-based milk refers to a broad range of options, including soy, coconut and hemp milk. Soy milk stands out for its protein content. According to Very Well Health, coconut milk, while lower in protein, contains medium-chain triglycerides that may provide health benefits. Healthline also provides that hemp milk, though less common, is rich in omega fatty acids.

Nut milks are among the most popular due to their creamy texture. Almond milk is a favorite for its low-calorie count and versatility, while cashew milk is mildly sweet and often blended with oats for extra creaminess. Lesser-known options like pistachio and macadamia milks offer more choices.

Oat milk has soared in popularity for its thicker texture and mild taste making it a great option for creamy drinks like hot chocolate. Rice milk is another grain-based option, offering a naturally sweet flavor and lighter consistency, making it perfect for cereals and smoothies. Though lower in protein, rice milk is easy to digest and suitable for those with allergies.

Seed-based milks, such as flax and sunflower, are excellent alternatives for those avoiding nuts and grains. Flax milk is rich in omega-3s and blends seamlessly into recipes. Sunflower seed milk, with its nutty flavor and allergen-friendly profile, is gaining attention as a versatile option.

Blended milks combine multiple plant-based ingredients to create well-rounded alternatives. For example, a cashew-oat blend offers the creaminess of cashews with the thick texture of oats, making it ideal for cooking, baking or drinking on its own.

Cheese and yogurt

Finding good non-dairy cheese used to be a challenge, but today’s options are more sophisticated than ever. From tangy cashew spreads to firm almond-based slices, there’s a plant-based cheese for every preference and recipe. You can even make a dairy-free macaroni and cheese that tastes like the real thing.

Non-dairy yogurt is another booming category. Options made from coconut, almond, soy and oat milk provide a range of textures and flavors. Coconut yogurt is particularly thick and creamy, making it ideal for parfaits and smoothies, while almond and soy yogurts offer neutral flavors suitable for cooking or enjoying on their own.

Butter and cream substitutes

Butter and cream are essential in many kitchens, and thankfully, dairy-free alternatives deliver comparable results. Plant-based margarines work well for spreading and baking, while coconut oil excels in frying and adding richness to dishes.

Cashew cream is a popular choice for its mild flavor and creamy texture. It’s perfect for thickening soups, sauces or even desserts. Oat-based creams are also gaining traction, offering a texture similar to heavy cream. With these options, dairy-free cooking and baking have never been easier.

Ice cream without dairy

Non-dairy ice cream has come a long way, offering indulgent, creamy textures that rival traditional versions. Cashew, almond and coconut milk-based ice creams come in a variety of flavors, from classic vanilla to decadent chocolate fudge.

The best part? These treats are now widely available in supermarkets. Whether you’re craving something sweet after dinner or need a refreshing treat on a hot day, non-dairy ice cream has you covered.

Dairy-free condiments and sauces

Creamy condiments and sauces often contain dairy, but plenty of dairy-free versions exist. Vegan mayo, made from aquafaba or soy, works perfectly in sandwiches and salads. Dairy-free ranch and Caesar dressings offer the same creamy satisfaction as their dairy counterparts.

In the kitchen, coconut milk and cashew cream make excellent substitutes for heavy cream in savory dishes like pasta sauces and curries. Plant-based queso and other cheese-based sauces are also available, ensuring you never miss out on creamy comfort foods.

Why people ditch dairy

The shift away from dairy appears to be more than just a passing trend. Many people switch due to health concerns, environmental reasons or personal preferences. With so many delicious and accessible alternatives available, ditching dairy no longer feels like a sacrifice.

Digestive discomfort is one of the top reasons people cut out dairy. Lactose intolerance is common, and eliminating dairy can dramatically improve symptoms like bloating and cramps. Additionally, some people report clearer skin and reduced inflammation after going dairy free.

Environmental and ethical considerations are also driving the shift. Dairy production requires significant resources, and those looking to reduce their carbon footprint find plant-based options to be a more sustainable choice. Moreover, with the wide availability of alternatives like almond milk, oat yogurt and cashew cheese, transitioning away from dairy has never been easier.

Ready to make the move?

Switching to dairy alternatives opens up a world of tasty options. Start with something simple, like almond milk in your morning coffee or oat cream in your next dessert. Coconut yogurt can elevate your parfaits, while cashew cheese spreads add a gourmet touch to your meals.

You don’t have to sacrifice anything when making the switch. Whether you’re fully plant-based or just exploring new dietary options, there’s a dairy-free alternative for everyone. Give it a try. You might just discover a new favorite.

Lisa MarcAurele is the original founder of Low Carb Yum and the author of two keto cookbooks. She created Little Bit Recipes to help people save money by minimizing leftovers when cooking for one or two people. Lisa is a long-time resident of Connecticut and enjoys hiking and taking scenic day trips around New England.

Joe Soucheray: A little DOGE goes a long way. Be careful with the mail.

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My fondness for retrieving the mail has been described to me as antiquated, if not neurotic, by those who do their bidding online, which I reject out of hand on the grounds that I trust a mail carrier and his Jeep more than I trust an electronic pulse. Or her Jeep.

The mail, and thus the United States Postal Service, represents to me an American convention on the level of church going, or voting on Election Day. I lose on those fronts, too. I am older now, but not old enough to remember when we actually got mail twice a day. What a thing to imagine, two occasions on the same day to anticipate great surprises, a British car newsletter, a card, perhaps an enticement to cruise the Rhine on a decked-out barge.

And bills, of course, but I’d rather get the news on paper than on a screen.

As for neurotic, that only kicks in when the mail, prior to me fetching it, has been driven over, there being so much bounty on a given day it spills out of the bin and across the garage floor. “I didn’t see it,” she says.

How would you like to get your latest copy of Boathouse Barn Finds with tire tracks across the bow of a 1938 triple cockpit Chris Craft?

President Elon Musk might now wish to throw out the USPS with the bath water. I couldn’t take it. The news reports cite President Donald Trump as noodling about the USPS, maybe taking it private, maybe merging it with the Commerce Department. Yes, the USPS can’t make a nickel in profit. It bleeds hundreds and hundreds of millions of dollars. But has the Department of Energy has ever produced any energy? Has the Department of Education ever educated anybody?

At least the mail puts something in my hand. And while I’m at it: Musk, leave the penny alone. There’s no such thing as a lucky dime.

Musk appears to be running the show. He appeared at Trump’s first Cabinet meeting the other day dressed in a T-shirt, a black overcoat and a ballcap, like he just ducked in before running to the drugstore to get a prescription filled. Boys, the post office is probably America’s oldest institution, first running out of a saloon in Boston as early as 1639. We weren’t even a country yet! And just as probably it is America’s favorite institution. According to the Pew Research Center, 75 percent of us have a favorable view of the post office, trailing only the National Park Service at 76 percent with a favorable view.

God only knows, but it is unlikely they are going to pave over Yosemite.

Much of what Musk is up to is long overdue. And it is laughable that the third assistant shift leader in each agency’s Department of Loving and Happy Thoughts develops a terrible case of writer’s block when asked to tell us what they did in the last five days, but I certainly got mail in the last five days. A little DOGE goes a long way, but at great risk to my polished image, it won’t bother me a bit to continue feeding those hurting and in need, well, except in Minnesota, where thieves generally get the money before a kid gets the food.

There are 530,000 USPS employees serving all of us. The current price of a stamp is 73 cents. The math will never work.

Figure it out, Musk. That’s what you’re good at.

Joe Soucheray can be reached at jsoucheray@pioneerpress.com. Soucheray’s “Garage Logic” podcast can be heard at garagelogic.com.

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