How the government shutdown will affect student loans, FAFSA and the Education Department

posted in: All news | 0

By ANNIE MA, Associated Press Education Writer

WASHINGTON (AP) — Already diminished by cuts by the Trump administration, the U.S. Education Department will see more of its work come to a halt due to the government shutdown.

The department says many of its core operations will continue in the shutdown kicking off Wednesday. Federal financial aid will keep flowing, and student loan payments will still be due. But investigations into civil rights complaints will stop, and the department will not issue new federal grants. About 87% of its workforce will be furloughed, according to a department contingency plan.

Related Articles


Government shutdown begins as nation faces new period of uncertainty


Justice Department sues New Jersey synagogue protesters using law meant to protect abortion clinics


Trump administration blames Democrats for shutdown in official government warnings as deadline nears


Trump pulls nomination of E.J. Antoni to lead Bureau of Labor Statistics, AP source says


Trump administration says Minnesota violates Title IX by allowing trans athletes in girls sports

Since he took office, President Donald Trump has called for the dismantling of the Education Department, saying it has been overrun by liberal thinking. Agency leaders have been making plans to parcel out its operations to other departments, and in July the Supreme Court upheld mass layoffs that halved the department’s staff.

In a shutdown, the Republican administration has suggested federal agencies could see more positions eliminated entirely. In past shutdowns, furloughed employees were brought back once Congress restored federal funding. This time, the White House’s Office of Management and Budget has threatened the mass firing of federal workers.

Appearing before the House Appropriations Committee in May, Education Secretary Linda McMahon suggested this year’s layoffs had made her department lean — even too lean in some cases. Some staffers were brought back, she said, after officials found that the cuts went too deep.

“You hope that you’re just cutting fat. Sometimes you cut a little muscle, and you realize it as you’re continuing your programs, and you can bring people back to do that,” McMahon said. The department had about 4,100 employees when Trump took office in January. It now has about 2,500.

Here is what the department does and how a shutdown is expected to affect that work.

Federal student loans

One of the department’s major roles is management of the $1.6 trillion federal student loan portfolio. Student aid will be largely unaffected in the short term, according to the department’s shutdown contingency plan. Pell Grants and federal loans will continue to be disbursed, and student loan borrowers must continue making payments on their debts.

About 9.9 million students receive some form of federal aid, spread across some 5,400 colleges, according to the department. Within the Office of Federal Student Aid, the department plans to furlough 632 of the 747 employees during the shutdown, although it didn’t say which ones. For most student loan issues, borrowers work with loan servicers hired by the department rather than directly with FSA staff.

The department will also continue to process the Free Application for Federal Student Aid, or FAFSA, which is a key piece of how colleges and universities provide aid packages to incoming students. Certain employees involved with rulemaking around changes to student loans, part of the “One Big Beautiful Bill” passed by Republicans, also will be kept on to meet deadlines set by legislation.

Money for schools

While American schools are funded primarily by state and local money, the Education Department serves as a conduit for billions of dollars of federal aid going to state and local education agencies. During the shutdown, the department will cease new grantmaking activity and pause its advisory and regulatory role to schools and grant recipients.

But because most federal grants to schools were made over the summer, the department says it would expect minimal disruption to school districts and other grant recipients. Title I money, which goes to schools with high concentrations of students in poverty, plus funding for the Individuals with Disabilities Education Act would continue during a shutdown.

Not all federal education money arrives ahead of the school year, however. One example is Impact Aid, a program that bolsters school budgets in areas where federal land management or other activities, such as military installations, reduce the amount of taxable land to generate revenue for the district. These schools likely will see disruptions in payments. More than 1,200 districts receive that aid across all 50 states, according to a national association that represents those schools.

If the shutdown lasts longer than a week, the department says it would revise its contingency plan to prevent significant disruptions to school districts.

Civil rights investigations

Under the shutdown, the department will stop its investigations into schools and universities over alleged civil rights violations.

Since the mass layoffs in March, the office has operated under a significantly reduced footprint. The department’s civil rights branch lost about half of its staff. The cuts raised questions about whether the office would be able to shrink a backlog of complaints from students who allege they have experienced discrimination on the basis of race, sex or disability status.

The department’s own data has shown a decline in resolving civil rights cases, while new complaints from families have increased. During the shutdown, work on the pending cases will stop.

AP Education Writer Collin Binkley contributed to this report.

The Associated Press’ education coverage receives financial support from multiple private foundations. AP is solely responsible for all content. Find AP’s standards for working with philanthropies, a list of supporters and funded coverage areas at AP.org.

Democrats embrace a shutdown fight in a rare moment of unity against Trump

posted in: All news | 0

By STEVE PEOPLES, Associated Press National Politics Writer

NEW YORK (AP) — On this, at least, the Democrats agree: It’s time to fight.

Whether far-left activists, Washington moderates or rural conservatives, Democratic leaders across the political spectrum are shrugging off the risks and embracing a government shutdown they say is needed to push back against President Donald Trump and his Republican allies in Congress.

Related Articles


Government shutdown begins as nation faces new period of uncertainty


Justice Department sues New Jersey synagogue protesters using law meant to protect abortion clinics


Trump administration blames Democrats for shutdown in official government warnings as deadline nears


Trump pulls nomination of E.J. Antoni to lead Bureau of Labor Statistics, AP source says


Trump administration says Minnesota violates Title IX by allowing trans athletes in girls sports

For Democrats, the shutdown fight marks a line in the sand born from months of frustration with their inability to stop Trump’s norm-busting leadership. And they will continue to fight, regardless of the practical or political consequences, they say.

“It’s a rare point of unification,” said Jim Kessler, of the moderate Democratic group Third Way.

“Absolutely there are risks,” he said. “But you’re hearing it from all wings of the Democratic Party: The fight is the victory. They want a fight. And they’re going to get one.”

As the shutdown begins, there are few signs of cracks across the Democratic Party’s diverse coalition.

Even progressive critics from the party’s activist wing are applauding Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer and House Democratic leader Hakeem Jeffries, who are insisting that any government spending package must extend health care subsidies that are set to expire at the year’s end. Trump, backed by the Republicans who control Congress, insists on supporting only a “clean” spending package that excludes the health care measure.

Trump blames ‘radical left’

The fight is already ugly as Trump uses his presidential bully pulpit — and taxpayer-funded government resources — to cast blame on the Democrats.

The Department of Housing and Urban Development’s website on Tuesday welcomed all visitors with this message: “The Radical Left are going to shut down the government and inflict massive pain on the American people unless they get their $1.5 trillion wish list of demands. The Trump administration wants to keep the government open for the American people.”

The president himself posted on social media a deepfake video of Schumer implying that Democrats are fighting to give free health care to immigrants in the country illegally. The fake video, widely condemned as racist, depicted Jeffries with a Mexican sombrero and fake mustache.

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., center, attends a news conference with members of Democratic leadership about the looming government shutdown, Tuesday, Sept. 30, 2025, Washington. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin)

In a press conference, Jeffries offered a harsh message to the president.

“The next time you have something to say about me, don’t cop out through a racist and fake AI video. When I’m back in the Oval Office, say it to my face,” the top House Democrat said.

‘I’d rather be us than them’

Privately, political operatives from both sides concede that government shutdowns are bad for both parties. But with Democrats dug in, the Trump administration appeared almost eager to shut down the government this time — having already threatened the mass firing of federal workers in the event of a shutdown.

And as the GOP blames its rivals in the other party, Democrats say they are confident voters understand that Trump’s party controls the White House and both chambers of Congress — and, therefore, Republicans will suffer more political consequences for the chaos in Washington.

“I think I’d rather be us than them in this fight,” veteran Democratic strategist James Carville said. “The incumbent party will suffer more.”

And yet Carville acknowledged that Democratic leadership in Washington had little choice but to take a hard line in the budget negotiations with Trump’s GOP. The party’s activist base, he said, demanded it.

Frustrated progressives have been screaming for months at Democratic leaders, who have limited power in Washington as the minority party, to use more creative tactics to stop Trump. They are getting their wish this week.

“They’re finally not just rolling over and playing dead,” said Ezra Levin, co-founder of the progressive activist group Indivisible. “Indivisible leaders are cheering them on.”

What do voters think?

The political impact, meanwhile, is hard to predict as each side presents conflicting data points.

On the ground in Virginia and New Jersey, which host governor’s elections in little more than a month, the issue was only just beginning to be a focus on the eve of the shutdown.

Virginia’s Republican candidate for governor, Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears, refused to answer directly when asked during a Tuesday interview with NBC whether she would tell Trump not to fire any more federal workers in a shutdown.

Instead, she encouraged her Democratic opponent, Rep. Abigail Spanberger, to tell Virginia Sens. Tim Kaine and Mark Warner to vote for a “clean” spending bill.

“If we’re talking about across-the-board cuts, then again, we have to include Sens. Kaine and Warner in this. They have a part to play,” said Earle-Sears, ignoring a follow-up question about her message to Trump.

Virginia’s large population of federal workers is preparing for major disruption.

More than 147,000 federal workers live in Virginia, second only to California, according to data compiled last year by the Congressional Research Service. Many may soon stop being paid.

During the 35-day partial shutdown in Trump’s first term, 340,000 of the 800,000 federal workers at affected agencies were furloughed. The remainder were “excepted” and required to work with or without pay, although they all received retroactive pay once the shutdown was resolved.

Warner, the Virginia senator, said the impact on his state’s workforce — or even permanent firings — does not change Democrats’ strategy.

“I’ve been very amazed at the comments I’ve got from federal workers who are saying they’ve been terrorized enough, they want us to push back,” the Democratic senator said.

On the Senate floor, Sen. Dick Durbin, the No. 2-ranked senator in the Democratic caucus, offered a similar message.

“On the Democratic side,” he said, “we think this is a battle worth fighting.”

AP writers Olivia Diaz in Richmond, Va.; Mike Catalini in Trenton, N.J.; and Joey Cappelletti and Eunice Esomonu in Washington contributed.

The Loop Fantasy Football Report Week 5: As top receivers drop, no-names can catch on

posted in: All news | 0

It was a rough Week 4 for all-world pass catchers.

First, it was the Giants’ Malik Nabers who blew out his knee. This led New York fans to start imagining ways to blame the injury on Russell Wilson.

Then Miami’s Tyreek HIll dislocated his knee. The injury was so graphic and so nauseating that hall of famer Jason Taylor’s wife leapt back into her seat in the former Dolphin’s suite.

Week 5 is a bad time for this receiving void, as standouts on bye include Pittsburgh’s D.K. Metcalf, Chicago’s Rome Odunze, Atlanta’s Drake London and Green Bay’s Romeo Doubs.

So you’ll have to dig deep. Here are some of your options:

Darius Slayton (Giants) — Nabers’ immediate replacement had four catches for 44 yards after his exit. He’ll be needed to do much more going forward.

Darius Slayton #18 of the New York Giants runs with the ball against the Los Angeles Chargers during their game at MetLife Stadium on Sept. 28, 2025 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Al Bello/Getty Images)

Wan’Dale Robinson (Giants) — Likely Jaxson Dart’s new favorite, Robinson had a 142-yard game in Week 2 in Dallas. Had 93 catches with three touchdowns last season.

Wan’Dale Robinson #17 of the New York Giants catches a pass for a touchdown in the game against the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium on Sept. 14, 2025 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Sam Hodde/Getty Images)

Jalen Coker (Panthers) — Second-year wideout is coming off injured list. Will be rejoining an improved Carolina offense this week against a bad Miami defense.

Jalen Coker #18 of the Carolina Panthers secures a first down against the Dallas Cowboys during the first quarter at Bank of America Stadium on Dec. 15, 2024 in Charlotte, North Carolina. (Photo by Grant Halverson/Getty Images)

Alec Pierce (Colts) — Averaged nearly five catchers per game before entering concussion protocol. Had seven TD catches in ‘24. Returns this week against Las Vegas.

Alec Pierce #14 of the Indianapolis Colts is tackled by Riley Moss #21 of the Denver Broncos in the game at Lucas Oil Stadium on Sept. 14, 2025 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Justin Casterline/Getty Images)

JuJu Smith-Schuster (Chiefs) — Patrick Mahomes found him last week six times, one of them for a touchdown. Can be productive, at least until the return of Rashid Rice from suspension.

Juju Smith-Schuster #9 of the Kansas City Chiefs runs with the ball during the third quarter against the Baltimore Ravens at Arrowhead Stadium on Sept. 28, 2025 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by David Eulitt/Getty Images)

Sitting stars

Cleveland’s tough defense will travel well to London, so don’t expect great things from Vikings QB Carson Wentz or RB Jordan Mason. … Las Vegas RB Ashton Jeanty will cool off against Indy after his huge Week 4. … Same goes for Jaguars RB Travis Etienne versus K.C. … Chargers WR Ladd McConkey will remain underutilized against Washington. … Bench Cincy WR Tee Higgins, but not Ja’marr Chase, in Detroit. … Neither of the Eagles’ top WRs, A.J. Brown nor DeVonta Smith, will thrive against Denver. … That goes doubly for Broncos QB Bo Nix.

Minnesota Vikings quarterback Carson Wentz (11) is sacked by Pittsburgh Steelers linebacker Nick Herbig during an NFL football game at Croke Park in Dublin, Sunday, Sept. 28, 2025. (Gregory Payan/AP Content Services for the NFL)

Matchup game

Browns rookie RB Quinshon Judkins could have his coming-out party against the Vikings. … As may Arizona’s Trey Benson versus lowly Tennessee. … Giants RB Cam Skattebo is a great bet for at least one touchdown against winless Saints. … Miami WR Jaylen Waddle will pick up the lion’s share of Hill’s workload in Carolina. … Texans’ Nico Collins, who faces injury-riddled Baltimore, is back to being a No. 1 receiver. … Tight ends we’re high on this week are Indy’s Tyler Warren and Miami’s rejuvenated Darren Waller. … And The Loop Team is having a hard time deciding between our two QBs: the Jets’ Justin Fields vs. Dallas and the Cardinals’ Kyler Murray against Tennessee.

Quinshon Judkins #10 of the Cleveland Browns celebrates with teammates after scoring a touchdown against the Green Bay Packers during the fourth quarter at Huntington Bank Field on Sept. 21, 2025 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)

Injury watch

Baltimore is in full panic with a 1-3 record and quarterback Lamar Jackson doubtful with an injured hamstring. But even a limited No. 8 is worth starting against Houston. … San Francisco QB Brock Purdy is hurt again and could give way to Mac Jones on Thursday night against the Rams. … Pittsburgh RB Jaylen Warren is iffy, and probably inferior to Kenneth Gainwell, anyway. … Three notable receivers were injured in Week 4: Atlanta’s Darnell Mooney, 49ers’ Ricky Pearsall and Cleveland’s Cedric Tillman. … We’re awaiting updates on Week 4 absentees: Washington QB Jayden Daniels and WR Terry McLaurin, and Dallas WR CeeDee Lamb. … Other questionables include Tampa RB Bucky Irving, Jets RB Braelon Allen, Niners WR Jauan Jennings and Titans WR Calvin Ridley.

Lamar Jackson #8 of the Baltimore Ravens sits on the sidelines during the fourth quarter against the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium on Sept. 28, 2025 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Amy Kontras/Getty Images)

Deepest sleeper

Houston running back Woody Marks appears to have taken over the Texans’ starting job over Nick Chubb. The rookie from Southern California had his coming-out party last Sunday in the victory over Tennessee. Twenty-one touches for 119 yards with a touchdown run and a TD catch. His matchup this week against injury-ravaged Baltimore is no longer considered daunting, even with the Texans’ leaky offensive line.

Woody Marks #27 of the Houston Texans celebrates a touchdown against the Tennessee Titans during the fourth quarter in the game at NRG Stadium on Sept. 28, 2025 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Tim Warner/Getty Images)

The Thursday pick

49ers at Rams (-5½)
Pick: Rams by 7

Puka Nacua #12 of the Los Angeles Rams reacts during the fourth quarter against the Indianapolis Colts at SoFi Stadium on Sept. 28, 2025 in Inglewood, California. (Photo by Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images)

You can hear Kevin Cusick on Thursdays on Bob Sansevere’s “BS Show” podcast on iTunes. You can follow Kevin on X — @theloopnow. He can be reached at kcusick@pioneerpress.com.

Related Articles


The Loop Fantasy Football Update Week 4: Last-minute moves


The Loop NFL Picks: Week 4


The Loop Fantasy Football Update Week 3: Last-minute moves


The Loop NFL Picks: Week 3


The Loop Fantasy Football Update Week 2: Last-minute moves

Trump’s peace plan: Perhaps impossible, but never more necessary

posted in: All news | 0

President Donald Trump’s 20-point peace plan for the Gaza Strip is a smart plan for turning a bomb crater into a launchpad for peace — for taking a terrible, terrible war in Gaza and leveraging it to not only create a new foundation for solving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, but also for normalization between Israel and Saudi Arabia, Lebanon, Syria and maybe even Iraq as well. If it succeeds, it could even set in motion a much-needed transformation in Iran.

Hats off to its key architects: Jared Kushner, Steve Witkoff and Tony Blair. Without their efforts, this initiative would not have been born.

But while it may be unprecedented in its creativity, it meets a moment unprecedented in its cruelty, which makes it a long shot at best.

If only this plan were meant to solve a border dispute between Swedes and Norwegians. Alas, it is meant to halt the most vicious and deadly two years of fighting between Jews and Palestinians in the history of this conflict.

The indiscriminate murder on Oct. 7, 2023, by Hamas of Israelis in front of their children and children in front of their parents, on top of the kidnapping of babies and elderly people, which was met by the often indiscriminate retaliation by an Israeli army that was daily prepared to kill and maim dozens of Palestinian civilians and children to get one Hamas fighter — while grinding Gaza into rubble — may have done something no previous Israeli-Arab war ever did: It made the necessary — achieving peace — impossible.

In a lifetime of covering this conflict, I have never seen it broken into so many little pieces, each soaked in more distrust and hatred of the other than ever before. Aggregating these pieces together to implement this complex plan for a ceasefire, phased Israeli withdrawal from Gaza, hostage release, Palestinian prisoner release and then rebuilding of the Strip under international supervision will be a herculean task. It will require solving a diplomatic Rubik’s cube every day — while all the enemies of the deal try to scramble it every day.

I doubt Trump appreciates just how herculean an effort it will be, how much time and political capital it will require from him personally and how much he will have to squeeze both Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel, Hamas and America’s Arab allies to do things that they not only won’t want to do, but that could be dangerous for them to do both politically and physically.

Believe it if he says it in Hebrew

While Netanyahu said he agreed to this plan, I will believe it when I hear him saying it in Hebrew to his own people and Cabinet. Friedman’s first rule of Middle East reporting: What people tell you in private is irrelevant. All that matters is what they say in public to their own people in their own language. In Washington, officials lie in public and tell the truth in private. In the Middle East, officials lie in private and tell the truth in public.

And Hamas, whose surviving leadership is mostly hiding in a bunker in Doha, Qatar, still has to sign on. “There are so many ways that Netanyahu or Hamas can sabotage this,” Nahum Barnea, the Yedioth Ahronoth columnist, told me — but, like me, he thinks it’s worth a try and commends those who drew up the plan.

Because it is so necessary in so many ways. For starters, anyone with the most rudimentary knowledge of warfare and where it is going can see that Israelis and Arabs and Iranians cannot afford for there to be another war. Smarter and cheaper drones and even missiles are being distributed ever farther, super-empowering more actors faster.

I don’t need to remind Israelis that on June 1 more than 100 Ukrainian drones that had been smuggled into Russia struck air bases deep inside Russia, damaging or destroying at least a dozen warplanes, including long-range strategic bombers. I am guessing that this daring surprise attack cost Ukraine something closer to a big shopping spree at Best Buy than anything approaching the roughly $80 million price of a single Lockheed Martin F-35 fighter jet in Israel’s fleet.

Second, Netanyahu can say all that he wants, as he did on Monday, that if Hamas does not accept this plan, “Israel will finish the job by itself” in Gaza, which Trump said he’d support. Easier said than done. If that happens, Israel will have a permanent military occupation of Gaza facing a permanent insurgency — which its own military leadership opposes. Some “finish.” That is why now that Trump has put this deal on the table, it will not be easy for Bibi or Hamas to definitively reject it.

That leads to the final reason this deal is necessary even if it seems impossible. The proliferation of social media, particularly TikTok, means that video of every single civilian casualty — every dismembered civilian — can now be broadcast to the smartphone of everyone on the planet. So, as Israel is discovering, the only way it can defeat an enemy like Hamas, embedded among civilians, is at the price of making itself a pariah among nations and having its sports teams, academics and entertainers shunned around the world.

Netanyahu can declare, with some real justification, that Israel is defending Western democratic values by defeating the Islamo-fascist Hamas in Gaza. Hamas is a terrible organization — most of all for Palestinians. But today any teenager on TikTok can also see how, at the same time, Bibi and Israel’s Jewish supremacists are perpetuating Western-style settler colonialism in the West Bank. No one is fooled — and I mean no one.

Can’t give up on two states

This peace plan is necessary because we must not give up on a two-state solution — no matter how unlikely, because it remains the only just and rational outcome for this conflict. But we have to recognize that we cannot get there from here.

We need a bridge that builds trust where every shred of trust has been destroyed. This plan proposes to do so by effectively creating a U.N.-approved mandate for putting Gaza under the supervision of an international governing body and military force with Arab approval and input from the Palestinian Authority in the West Bank. The logic is that until and unless Palestinians in Gaza can build and demonstrate the capacity to govern there, it is impossible to talk about a two-state solution.

But to give Palestinians the best chance to demonstrate that, they need not only international support, but also for Israel to get out of the way in Gaza, and, I would add, halt all Israeli settlement-building in the West Bank, which has been designed to erase any possibility of Palestinian sovereignty there one day. Israel must be made to leave open the possibility of Palestinian statehood if the Palestinians achieve certain governance metrics. Only Trump — whose plan acknowledges statehood “as the aspiration of the Palestinian people” — can force that upon Bibi.

A bridge and leeway

But here is the hidden incentive for Israel to seize on this Trump plan. Israel’s devastating destruction of both Iran and Hezbollah’s military capacity was a tactical military victory that has opened up enormous new possibilities for regional integration.

It led to the toppling of Iran’s puppet regime in Syria and paved the way for a fragile democratic coalition to take power there. It created the space for Lebanon’s best leadership duo since the civil war — President Joseph Aoun and Prime Minister Nawaf Salam — to free Lebanon’s frail democracy from the death grip of Iran and Hezbollah. It has also opened more space for the democratically elected government of Iraq to gain better control of the pro-Iranian militias there.

At the same time, it has triggered a quiet debate inside Iran about the whole efficacy of spending billions of dollars, and making Tehran an international pariah, to support losers like Hamas and Hezbollah and permanently threaten Israel.

If, if, if this Trump peace plan can create a bridge back to a two-state solution, it will give enormous leeway for Saudi Arabia, Lebanon, Syria and even Iraq to consider joining the Abraham Accords and normalize relations with Israel.

In other words, it would turn the tactical military defeat Israel and the Trump administration inflicted on Iran in the 12-day war into a strategic achievement.

Related Articles


Maureen Dowd: AI will turn on us, inadvertently or nonchalantly


David French: Make no mistake about where we are


Cory Franklin: The dark reality behind the Chinese president’s hot-mic moment about transplanted organs


Other voices: Congress has no good excuse to keep trading stocks


Solomon D. Stevens: Let’s have an argument!

Trump actually went out of his way in his White House news conference on Monday to signal to Iran that he is open to a new relationship, if Tehran is. “Who knows, maybe even Iran can get in there,” Trump said, speaking of the Abraham Accords, with Netanyahu standing close by.

Raghida Dergham, executive chair of the Beirut Institute, observed the other day in a smart essay published in Annahar Al-Arabi, that for this to happen, Israel must overcome its “siege mentality and militarized bravado” and Iran must overcome its “bazaar mentality, swinging between bluster and concession, escalation and retreat.”

Iran’s leadership, she noted, keeps moving “one step toward compromise and two steps toward escalation, still clinging to the illusion that time favors them. But beneath their defiance lies quiet panic. In this cornered state, Tehran continues to make costly miscalculations, particularly around Israel and the dwindling myths of the so-called ‘Axis of Resistance,’ led by the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps in Lebanon, Iraq and Yemen, and to a lesser extent in Syria, where Iran’s networks have been severed.”

If this Trump deal goes ahead, it will so isolate Iran that maybe, finally, it will also trigger a real internal struggle and change of strategy there.

The last train to somewhere decent

My bottom line: If you are a betting person, bet that the necessary will be impossible — you have a lot of history on your side that says the closer we get to peace, the more the haters will derail it.

If you are a hoping person, hope that this time will be different.

If you are praying person, pray that everything you know about this region, its current leaders and the poisonous legacy of the Gaza war will be overcome — because somehow the key players all realize that this really is the last train to somewhere decent and the next one, and all those ever after, will be nonstops to the gates of hell.

Thomas Friedman writes a column for the New York Times.