Powell signals Federal Reserve to move slowly on interest rate cuts

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By CHRISTOPHER RUGABER, AP Economics Writer

WASHINGTON (AP) — Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday signaled a cautious approach to future interest rate cuts, in sharp contrast with other Fed officials who have called for a more urgent approach.

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In remarks in Providence, Rhode Island, Powell noted that there are risks to both of the Fed’s goals of seeking maximum employment and stable prices. But with the unemployment rate rising, he noted, the Fed agreed to cut its key rate last week. Yet he did not signal any further cuts on the horizon.

If the Fed were to cut rates “too aggressively,” Powell said, “we could leave the inflation job unfinished and need to reverse course later” and raise rates. But if the Fed keeps its rate too high for too long, “the labor market could soften unnecessarily,” he added.

Powell’s remarks echoed the caution he expressed during a news conference last week, after the Fed announced its first rate cut this year. At that time he said, “it’s challenging to know what to do.”

His approach is in sharp contrast to some members of the Fed’s rate-setting committee who are pushing for faster cuts. On Monday, Stephen Miran, whom President Donald Trump appointed to the Fed’s governing board, said that the Fed should quickly reduce its rate to as low as 2% to 2.5%, from its current level of about 4.1%. Miran is also a top adviser in the Trump administration and expects to return to the White House after his term expires in January, though Trump could appoint him to a longer term.

And earlier Tuesday, Fed governor Michelle Bowman also said the central bank should cut more quickly. Bowman, who was appointed by Trump in his first term, said inflation appears to be cooling while the job market is stumbling, a combination that would support lower rates.

When the Fed cuts its key rate, it often over time reduces other borrowing costs for things like mortgages, car loans, and business loans.

“It is time for the (Fed) to act decisively and proactively to address decreasing labor market dynamism and emerging signs of fragility,” Bowman said in a speech in Asheville, North Carolina. “We are at serious risk of already being behind the curve in addressing deteriorating labor market conditions. Should these conditions continue, I am concerned that we will need to adjust policy at a faster pace and to a larger degree going forward.”

Yet Powell’s comments showed little sign of such urgency. Other Fed officials have also expressed caution about cutting rates too fast, reflecting deepening divisions on the rate-setting committee.

On Tuesday, Austan Goolsbee, president of the Federal Reserve’s Chicago branch, said in an interview on CNBC that the Fed should move slowly given that inflation is above its 2% target.

“With inflation having been over the target for 4 1/2 years in a row, and rising, I think we need to be a little careful with getting overly up-front aggressive,” he said.

Last week the Fed cut its key rate for the first time this year to about 4.1%, down from about 4.3%, and policymakers signaled they would likely reduce rates twice more. Fed officials said in a statement that their concerns about slower hiring had risen, though they noted that inflation is still above their 2% target.

Germany hopes to attract tens of thousands more military recruits as NATO strengthens its defenses

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By GEIR MOULSON

ROSTOCK, Germany (AP) — Germany has committed billions to beefing up its military’s equipment after years of neglect. Now it’s trying to persuade more people to join up and serve.

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More than 3½ years after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine kick-started efforts to revitalize the Bundeswehr, the challenge of strengthening the German military has grown along with fears of the threat from Moscow.

Alongside the higher military spending that Germany and NATO allies agreed on this year, the alliance is encouraging members to increase personnel numbers. Berlin wants to add tens of thousands of service members.

Chancellor Friedrich Merz says that “because of its size and its economic strength, Germany is the country that must have the strongest conventional army in NATO on the European side.” He hasn’t defined that goal in detail, but the tone underscores a shift in a country that emerged only gradually from its post-World War II military reticence after reunification in 1990.

Earlier this month, the military’s top brass watched as a ferry packed with armored vehicles was escorted out of the Baltic port of Rostock, drones were intercepted in the air and on the water and fighter jets circled above. That was part of an exercise focused on moving troops and equipment to Lithuania — an ally on NATO’s eastern flank where modern Germany is stationing a brigade abroad on a long-term basis for the first time.

“Credible deterrence requires operational readiness,” said the Bundeswehr’s chief of staff, Gen. Carsten Breuer. “And operational readiness requires matériel, personnel, training and … exercising, exercising, exercising.”

Military faces intersecting challenges

There’s plenty to do on both matériel and personnel, in a country where the military was often viewed with indifference or suspicion given the legacy of the Nazi past.

Germany suspended conscription for men in 2011 and subsequently struggled to attract large numbers of short-term volunteers. In recent years, the number of military personnel has hovered just above 180,000 — compared with 300,000, more than a third conscripts, in 2001. Now the government wants to raise it to 260,000 over the next decade, and says it will also need around 200,000 reservists, more than double the current figure.

New recruits of the German Army Bundeswehr attend a ceremony to take their oath in front of the North Rhine-Westphalia state parliament in Duesseldorf, Germany, Thursday, Sept. 4, 2025. (AP Photo/Martin Meissner)

Better pay is one way to make the Bundeswehr more attractive, said Thomas Wiegold, a defense policy expert who runs the Augen geradeaus! military blog. But a key issue is fixing the military’s longstanding equipment problems, “because a force that doesn’t have enough tanks, that doesn’t have enough ships, that also doesn’t have enough barracks, is not particularly attractive for applicants.”

F-35 fighter jets, Chinook transport helicopters, Leopard 2 tanks, frigates and other hardware are on order after a 100 billion-euro ($117 billion) special fund was set up in 2022 to modernize the Bundeswehr, but they will take time to arrive. This year, Merz’s new coalition enabled higher spending by loosening strict rules on incurring debt, a big step for a historically debt-averse nation.

After conscription was suspended, the Bundeswehr gave up 48 barracks. A report by the parliamentary commissioner for the military earlier this year said that some remaining barracks and other facilities are still in a “disastrous” state after years of penny-pinching. A program to build new military accommodation now aims to build 76 new buildings by 2031.

Persuading more people to serve

The Cabinet last month approved plans for a new military service system meant to tackle the personnel challenge. It foresees more attractive pay and conditions for people who join up on a short-term basis, better training and more flexibility on how long people can serve.

The aim is to draw sufficient recruits without reviving conscription, an idea unpopular with the center-left junior partner in Merz’s coalition, but the plan leaves the door open to do so if not enough people volunteer.

In a first step beginning next year, the government plans to send questionnaires to young men and women turning 18 about their willingness and ability to serve, which men will be required to answer. Starting in mid-2027, young men will be required to undergo medical examinations, though not to sign up for the military.

“I think what is happening now is above all preparation for compulsory service that is possible later, because not only was compulsory service suspended in Germany 14 years ago, but also the whole apparatus to administer compulsory service was scrapped,” Wiegold said. “It is now gradually being built up again.”

There’s widespread skepticism in Merz’s conservative bloc that some kind of conscription can be avoided. It’s shared by the head of the BundeswehrVerband, essentially a union for service members.

“We must not suggest to people in this country that this growth will certainly happen voluntarily — I strongly doubt that,” its head, Col. André Wüstner, said in an interview on German public television, suggesting that Germany should move “step by step” to compulsory service.

Raising esteem for the military

Wiegold noted that the military has had a different status in modern Germany than in countries such as Britain, France and the U.S. because of the country’s history, and consequently there’s no “great enthusiasm” to join up. But the invasion of Ukraine means that “the perception of the Bundeswehr as an important element of Germany has become much greater.”

New recruits of the German Army Bundeswehr attend a ceremony to take their oath in front of the North Rhine-Westphalia state parliament in Duesseldorf, Germany, Thursday, Sept. 4, 2025. (AP Photo/Martin Meissner)

Authorities have worked to raise esteem for military service. Ads exhorting people to consider joining the military have shown up on pizza boxes, kebab wrappers and elsewhere. The Bundeswehr has sent personalized postcards to 16 and 17 year olds pointing to career opportunities. Its social media efforts include a “Bundeswehr career” channel on TikTok.

In June, Germany marked an annual “veterans’ day” for the first time. Recruits are being honored with swearing-in ceremonies in prominent places — recently, for example, outside the regional parliament of North Rhine-Westphalia, the country’s most populous state.

One of the newly trained recruits in Duesseldorf, a 21-year-old woman who like others was only permitted to give her first name, Lina, said that the state of the world “is getting ever more tense and, if no one goes into this service, who will do it?”

Another, 26-year-old Vincent, said that he wanted to contribute to the defense of Germany and its European allies, “and I can’t say that’s important and not do something for it myself.”

Kerstin Sopke in Berlin, Daniel Niemann in Duesseldorf and Pietro De Cristofaro in Rostock, contributed to this report.

Lowering the temperature: Tips for transcending our polarized politics

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The political assassination of conservative activist Charlie Kirk produced a range of reactions from those on the fringes of a deeply polarized nation, with calls for violent retribution on one extreme matched by something of a macabre glee over Kirk’s murder on the other.

But between those political counterpoles there’s also been bipartisan pleas for unity and a rejection of politics as bloodsport in the interest of mending a social fabric frayed by discord and division.

With that in mind, here are several strategies people can personally employ to help bring down the political temperature:

Debate in good faith

Christine Mellon, Ed.D, a Wilkes University professor and the speech and debate coach there, shared a number of recommendations for how to facilitate a safe, respectful and constructive environment for the free exchange of ideas. Among other advice, she said people engaged in respectful debate should be clear in their viewpoints and avoid personal or ad hominem attacks.

And they should be willing to agree to disagree, too.

“Because sometimes, no matter how hard you try, your viewpoints are just different,” Mellon said. “And I think if you can say ‘we’re going to agree to disagree’ that also keeps the level and the integrity of the debate in a calm atmosphere.”

Healthy, constructive debate also demands a willingness to listen and an earnest, good-faith effort to understand other points of view.

“When you go into a debate space sometimes you understand exactly what it is that you want to say really well, and you just know, whatever the other person is going to say, ‘well I just disagree with that,’ ” Mellon said. “But the problem is that, have you really tried to understand? Like maybe their background factors into what they believe, or maybe their education factors into what they believe. So you have to be willing to understand their other point of view.”

Common ground is a good place to start, she said.

“I don’t really know too many people who don’t look at the situation of last week and aren’t absolutely saddened for his family,” Mellon said, referencing Kirk’s killing. “Start there. … It’s tragic what’s happened to his family. I mean I don’t have to necessarily agree with him politically in order to understand how tragic it is. So I think that’s it, you want to try to look for common ground.”

Another problem, Mellon continued, is that people often don’t realize that the point of debate is to find solutions to problems.

“I think people have lost sight of why it is that we should be debating with each other in these open forums, because it’s so important that we solve some of these things,” she said. “I mean I might not always agree with the way that someone else wants to arrive at a solution, but if you’re not offering that, if you don’t recognize that as the end goal, then of course it is going to devolve into something that’s going to be incredibly unpleasant.”

In closing, Mellon reiterated that an argument doesn’t have to amount to a fight.

“We don’t define argumentation the same way that it seems like society is,” she said. “In our classes, argumentation is much more about, again, trying to arrive at solutions, understanding compromises, understanding the other person’s point of view. This is what’s going to allow us to have positive discourse.”

Log off, take a break

One arena where debate often devolves into something else is the digital space. At its best, or at least in theory, social media can be a tool for transcending differences and communicating across political and other divides. But it can also become a veritable battlefield, with some of the most incendiary and divisive content often garnering the most engagement.

Licensed clinical social worker John Rosengrant, the executive director of the NEPA Youth Shelter, said sometimes it’s good to log off, especially when social media becomes a source of anxiety or otherwise adversely impacts one’s mental health.

“That’s the best advice I could give,” he said. “Just shut it off. And no matter how much you want to engage, no matter how much you want to get off your chest and debate with that other person, shut it down. Walk away. Shut it down and just let it go, because it can turn into a perpetual cycle that you’re not going to be able to get out of. Fundamentally it comes down to self-care, and we as social workers teach people all the time about how to practice self care. Especially now, in this climate that we’re in, people really really need to learn those strategies to be able to just walk away and don’t take the bait.”

Among other pitfalls, Rosengrant said it’s easier to misinterpret meaning and intent in online interactions.

“I think you’re missing the nonverbal communication cues,” he said. “When you’re face-to-face with someone you can see the facial expressions, you can hear the inflections in their voice, you can sense the empathy or the sympathy that they’re exhibiting toward you. When you’re online, or you’re engaged in any kind of written communication, that goes away. And we know that people will often misinterpret a text, or they’ll misinterpret the way that you write something to somebody because they’re framing it the way that they’re reading it.”

Rosengrant also agreed that social media can embolden people to say things online they likely wouldn’t say in face-to-face interactions, contributing to a more acrimonious online environment that can have an offline impact.

“I think that people feel as if they’re stronger, or maybe more invincible online as opposed to in-person,” he said. “I definitely see the different dynamic. People are more free to speak their mind or to say what they feel or to engage in an argument with someone, and then what you see is people don’t know when to shut it off. And then they’re becoming angered and they’re becoming more anxious toward the people around them because of the engagement that they just had on social media.”

Embrace shared values

Others asked about the hostility that too often defines American politics encouraged an embrace of shared values — a recognition of a common humanity that should supersede partisan differences.

“Respect for the individual is certainly at the core,” said Phil Yevics, cantor at St. John’s Byzantine Catholic Church in Scranton and a volunteer officer with the Scranton Area Ministerium. “Every religious tradition has some version of (the concept) that each person is a reflection of the divine, and that therefore is worthy of respect.”

The Scranton Area Ministerium is a voluntary association of leaders from different faith communities and social service agencies in the region. It seeks “to provide mutual support and enrichment, to advocate for the shared values of our religious traditions and to undertake cooperative action for the good of the larger community,” per its website.

Family is an example of a shared value, something Yevics said he recognized during a World Refugee Day celebration held earlier this summer at Nay Aug Park.

“It was just such a joy to see that, the great diversity of people, but they love their kids, they’re all nurturing to their families,”  he said. “That’s something that is relatively easy to recognize.”

Broadly speaking, Yevics said it’s important to see others as human beings and as more than just holders of different views or ideologies.

“At the ministerium … our purpose is to form personal relationships, to get to know each other well enough that we can then work together for the common good,” he said. “We all want to live with respect. We all want to have a job where we can feel like we’re contributing to society. We all want to provide for our families and be able to nurture their growth.”

Engage on local issues

During times of deep polarization, people with disparate views on national politics or on different sides of various culture wars may find common ground on more local issues.

“Many local problems are less partisan,” said University of Scranton political science professor Jean Harris, Ph.D., who described local politics as generally more accessible and a good starting point for people looking to engage politically.

Democrats and Republicans who don’t see eye to eye on much in the state or national political spheres might, for example, agree on a local land-use issue or community effort. In working together locally, they might also develop personal connections not defined purely by politics and begin to bridge broader divides.

“At the local level that is more possible, more probable, because (with) local issues in many cases — when we’re looking at things like data centers and things like that — neighbors are on the same side no matter what their political ideologies are,” Harris said. “That is a good starting point to get comfortable working with people in a civil way. … That relationship building is really important, and it’s easier to do that definitely engaging in local-level issues and politics.”

Are young people more likely to support political violence than older people?

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The assassination of conservative activist Charlie Kirk earlier this month on a college campus in Utah was the latest and perhaps most graphic example of a disturbing trend of recent political violence in the United States.

The murder of Minnesota Democratic state lawmaker Melissa Hortman and her husband, Mark, in June. An arson fire at Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro’s house in April. The shooting death of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson on a New York sidewalk in December. Before that, the hammer attack that nearly killed Nancy Pelosi’s husband, Paul, at their San Francisco home, and two attempted assassinations of President Trump. The events have shaken people on the left and the right.

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Many Americans have condemned the attacks. But some have not. The biggest divide in support for political violence may not be ideological, but generational, ongoing research suggests.

A survey of more than 4,100 people conducted last year by a California State Long Beach professor found that 93% of baby boomers and 86% of Generation X members say violence is never acceptable to stop political speech, even the most offensive speech. But only 71% of millennials and 58% of Generation Z agreed.

“The wrong conclusion to draw, of course, is that millions of young people are celebrating acts of political violence,” said Kevin Wallsten, a professor of political science who led the survey.

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“But we should still be concerned,” he said. “Everybody can feel the political temperature rising, and we are being pulled in different directions as a country. We collectively need to think of ways of addressing the deep disaffection that is underneath it.”

Wallsten said leaders at universities, the media and politicians need to “turn down the temperature” by emphasizing that democracy depends on listening to other viewpoints.

“Partisans follow their leaders,” he said. “If you have an unambiguous and widely repeated message that speech is not violence and the appropriate response to offensive speech is more speech, that can start to move the needle.”

Wallsten’s survey, which is part of an ongoing study and will form the basis of a book he is writing, found the same results for young people (age 18 to 26) who are conservative and liberal. And there was little difference between those not enrolled in universities and those who are in college — where Gaza protests and other battles over speech, including during appearances by Kirk and other conservative speakers at California universities — have roiled campuses.

“Charlie Kirk came to our campus in the spring,” he said. “My students were there. One of them said, ‘We should just punch everybody who is in attendance.’ It was a real moment of reflection for me. I thought something has really changed.”

Other surveys have shown similar age-related differences.

A Reuters poll in December found 41% of people aged 18 to 29 said the killing of United Healthcare CEO Brian Thompson was “acceptable” or “somewhat acceptable,” while only 9% of people 60 to 69 did. Luigi Mangione, 27, the man charged with killing Thompson, whose company has faced criticism for denying coverage, became something of a folk hero in some TikTok videos, and supporters have appeared outside his trial.

The man charged with killing Kirk, allegedly over his conservative viewpoints, is 22, and Trump’s slain would-be assassin in Pennsylvania was 20. But those charged in a second Trump assassination attempt and the Hortman and Pelosi attacks were in their 40s and 50s.

One hopeful note, said Dr. Garen Wintemute, director of the Centers for Violence Prevention at UC Davis, is that although his surveys have shown similar trends where more young people than older people voice general support for political violence, only about 2% to 3% say they would consider personally acting on it.

Wintemute said such attitudes have likely always been around.

“Look at all the videos from the 1960s,” he said. “There aren’t a lot of old people throwing Molotov cocktails in those videos.”

Wintemute remembered a protest when he was a student at Yale in 1970 over the Vietnam War and Black Panther leader Bobby Seale’s prosecution, which had National Guard troops with fixed bayonets clashing with his classmates.

“I still have the tear gas canister that I found outside my dorm window,” he said.

“Young people are less patient; they want to see answers quickly,” said Wintemute, who also is an emergency room doctor. “They are passionate. They have less to lose in terms of jobs and families and homes. Many haven’t learned the importance of gradualism and that change doesn’t often happen overnight. All young people learn that. I certainly did. None of that is unique to this moment. It is part of growing up.”

Wintemute said social media worsens polarization. He said Trump should try and heal the country, similar to the way former President George W. Bush attended a mosque after the 9-11 attacks.

“We have a president who famously said of protesters, ‘Can’t we just shoot them in the legs?’” he said. “What leaders say matters. We have a president whose rhetoric encourages violence. There is concern that things may continue to accelerate.”

The current generation has two major differences with prior generations: social media and COVID.

During the COVID pandemic, many young people came of age isolated, noted Wallsten of CSU Long Beach. They faced traumatic events, from the killing of George Floyd by police to the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol by a mob loyal to Trump. A trend in classrooms by some instructors to embrace identity politics in recent years encouraged “safe spaces” and punished “micro-aggressions.” Too often, verbal disagreements have been compared to actual violence, he said, reducing tolerance for other viewpoints.

Social media has amplified and spread misinformation and division, Wallsten added.

“Algorithms feed people a steady diet of content designed to infuriate them and emotionally activate them,” he said. “It is an echo chamber and has a siloing effect. Influencers build their audience by being outrageous.”

Some leaders have attempted to turn down the heat after Kirk’s killing on Sept. 10 at Utah Valley University.

At a discussion at USC on Monday, former California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger urged college Republicans and college Democrats to find some issues they can agree on and work together.

“You would be an example for the nation and other universities, how you get together, and don’t see the other side as the enemy, or ‘fight fire with fire’ or declare war on each other,” the former governor said. “You can show leadership, and get together and set an example.”

Kirk’s killing shook many college students in California.

Josue Salvador, a civil engineering major at San Francisco State, where Kirk visited in May, said he agreed with some of Kirk’s views and disagreed with others. He said he was troubled after his death to see some students celebrating.

“I remember seeing a video of him saying that he encourages people with different opinions to speak to each other,” he said. “In friendships, if you don’t speak, you start separating. In a marriage, if you don’t speak, divorce happens. And in a nation, if you’re not speaking, then that can lead to worse things.”

Bay Area News Group reporter Ethan Varian contributed to this report.