What Does the Allred-Johnson Runoff Tell Us About Texas Dems? 

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Eight years before their heated congressional runoff, Colin Allred and Julie Johnson both rode into political office on the blue wave of the 2018 midterms. 

Allred, an NFL linebacker-turned-lawyer, ousted the powerful Dallas Republican Congressman Pete Sessions. Johnson, an attorney from Farmers Branch, toppled the divisive firebrand Matt Rinaldi en route to the Texas House. They both served as rather middle-of-the-road Democrats in Washington and Austin, respectively, rather than flashy ideologues. When Allred decided to run for the U.S. Senate against Ted Cruz in 2024, Johnson ran for—and won—his open congressional seat. 

Now, Allred and Johnson are locked in a contentious runoff against each other for the newly redrawn deep-blue 33rd Congressional District, which was moved out of the longheld domain of Fort Worth Democratic Congressman Marc Veasey and will now be centered in Dallas County. In the four-way primary for the majority-minority seat, Allred fell 6 points short of the requisite 50 point victory mark, while Johnson pulled in 33 percent of the vote. Veasey decided not to run for reelection after GOP state legislators redrew the congressional map at the behest of President Donald Trump. Allred was initially running again for the Senate, but backed out in favor of a run for U.S. House after fellow Dallas Democrat Jasmine Crockett entered the Senate primary. His and Johnson’s old district, the 32nd, was gerrymandered into a deep-red district that stretches into East Texas.

At times, their campaigns have seemed like a proxy battle for the future of Democrats in Texas and elsewhere. Both candidates have attacked each other on topics like corporate influence and immigration, seeking to capitalize on wedge issues within their party ahead of the May 26 runoff. However, many observers of the race have argued that the overall lack of disparity between Allred and Johnson has made this race less about progressive politics and more about personality and political grudges. 

“This is not a classic progressive versus moderate war the way that it used to be in the Democratic Party, but there are definitely shades of a more centrist coalition-focused Democrat like Allred, who is challenging a more progressive activist-oriented Johnson,” said Brandon Rottinghaus, a University of Houston political science professor who is writing a book about Texas Democrats. “There are relatively small policy differences between them. There are small ideological differences between them, and that’s what makes the campaign so intense and personal.”

For instance, Allred has repeatedly decried Johnson’s stock trading, particularly her trading shares in Palantir, the data analytics company that boasts lucrative contracts with the Department of Homeland Security and the Israel Defense Forces. The Allred campaign has also incorporated these criticisms into his platform, publishing an “anti-corruption” plan that proposes banning individual stock trading by members of Congress. 

Johnson said her Palantir stocks were managed by a third party and told reporters “I made $90 on the whole thing,” referring to the trades. In an interview with the Texas Observer, she added, “It’s always unfortunate when somebody tries to misrepresent a circumstance and falsely portray something that’s not accurate for their own political gain. And my opponent did that because he doesn’t have a positive record to run on.”

Allred has, in turn, taken flak for moderate postures he’s taken on border policy, including breaking with many Democrats in 2024 to vote for a GOP-led House resolution condemning the Biden administration’s handling of the southern border. During his Senate campaign, he was one of a small group of Democrats to support the measure, which passed with unanimous Republican backing.

Those moves have drawn Johnson’s ire, as did Allred’s vote for the controversial Laken Riley Act, which mandates detention without bail for immigrants accused of a crime—even some low-level offenses—throughout their court proceedings. “He voted to basically deny due process and to deny the concept in this country that you’re innocent before proven guilty,” Johnson said. “I have robustly stood against that.”

Eva Arreguin, a Dallas-based organizer, is concerned that both candidates are trying to out-posture each other as progressives by latching on to trendy policy issues but don’t have clear political convictions. Arreguin voted for Zeeshan Hafeez, who ran as a staunch progressive and finished fourth in the primary before then endorsing Allred. Arreguin called the endorsement “disappointing,” and now she says many of her friends in the organizing community don’t know who to vote for in the runoff. 

“The folks I know are leaning a little more Julie, but it does feel uneasy, because why did you have stocks [invested] in our demise?” Arreguin said. “The Dallas way is to be quiet and be a good Democrat, but we definitely want to see way more fight for the people from our elected officials.”

In response to criticism that he is insufficiently progressive, a spokesperson noted to the Observer that Allred has consistently advocated for immigrant and Dreamer families, including voting for the Dream and Promise Act. He has also championed LGBTQ+ equality, the campaign said, serving as a co-sponsor of the Equality Act. For her part, Johnson has pointed to her legislative efforts to expand Medicaid eligibility, change Texas abortion law, and increase funding for childcare. 

Johnson and Allred have also both faced scrutiny over the financial support they’ve received from certain PACs—including those connected to Israel. The American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) was one of Johnson’s top contributors during the 2024 election cycle, according to OpenSecrets. Campaign finance data show the campaign has continued collecting AIPAC funds this year. Allred has also received donations from individuals affiliated with JStreetPAC, a liberal pro-Israel group. 

The candidates’ support from the Israel lobby particularly rankles Karla Palomares, a local community organizer. “I believe Allred and Johnson are examples of where the ‘corporate’ and ‘establishment’ Texas Democrats could be headed, specifically in terms of co-opting the progressive movement,” she told the Observer.

The Allred and Johnson race has also divided Democratic lawmakers in Texas and across the country. State Representatives Rhetta Bowers of Rowlett and Aicha Davis of DeSoto both endorsed Allred, as did Dallas County Commissioner John Wiley Price. Johnson, meanwhile, has the backing of groups such as Stonewall Democrats of Dallas, as well as a notable endorsement from New York Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who gave her support a little over a month before the March primary. 

Tensions within the Texas Democratic Party came to the fore during the home stretch of the U.S. Senate primary between Jasmine Crockett and James Talarico, when Allred made a video addressing a political content creator’s claims that Talarico called Allred a “mediocre Black man.” 

Talarico denied making that remark, saying that he referred to Allred’s 2024 Senate campaign as “mediocre” but not Allred personally. The Allred campaign did not directly answer a question about whether Allred has talked to Talarico or if he will endorse him, only saying that Allred is committed to his race and supporting Democrats up and down the ballot. He echoed those comments in a recent interview with Politico, adding that Talarico “needs to show comfort in Black spaces and Black communities” to do well with Black voters in November. Johnson, meanwhile, endorsed Talarico in late 2025.

Texas Democratic Party Chairman Kendall Scudder said he thinks contested primaries like this one can be beneficial. 

“Where they can become an issue is if we don’t act like adults here and don’t come to terms with the fact that, sure, we may have preferences within the Democratic Party coalition of what we want and would like to see, but that preference is very different than what we see in November, where it is just a full-fledged assault on working class people from the other side,” Scudder said. (The state party remains neutral in all primaries.) 

Scudder pushed back against the notion that the Allred versus Johnson race is a proxy fight between moderate Democrats and the party’s more progressive wing. Rather, the chairman thinks the contest is a unique situation created by redistricting. 

Rottinghaus says there are several examples of Democrats’ clashes leading to lasting fissures. Top of mind right now are runoffs like the 33rd, and the lingering tensions from the Talarico-Crockett primary, but going back to the 1970s, there were Democratic gubernatorial primaries between progressive Frances “Sissy” Farenthold and conservative Dolph Briscoe. Then, in the 1978 gubernatorial race, Democratic infighting helped pave the way for the first Republican victory in a governors’ race in over a century. 

If Allred wins, Rottinghaus noted, Democratic unity becomes even more important for Talarico’s prospects in November. “Healing is the watch word here,” Rottinghaus said. “They need to find a way to come together. And if they don’t, it’s going to be a problem when it’s an all-hands-on-deck turnout situation for Democrats.”

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Texas’ Top Criminal Court Has Stymied the State’s ‘Junk Science’ Law. Will SCOTUS Intervene?

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In 1999, a Dallas County jury sentenced Charles Flores to death for capital murder after a burglary turned deadly in Farmers Branch. He had been placed at the scene of the crime by an eyewitness who identified him in court—but this was after an officer from the Farmers Branch Police Department hypnotized that witness during the investigation. (The Texas Observer recently released a six-part podcast about the caseThe Unforgotten: “Riding Shotgun”—in partnership with Free Range Productions.)

As of 2023, evidence based on hypnosis is no longer admissible in Texas criminal courts. For decades before, though, law enforcement agencies, including the statewide Department of Public Safety, used hypnosis as an investigative tool in thousands of cases. 

Based on changing attitudes about hypnosis and a growing understanding of its flaws as a memory retrieval technique, Flores has attempted to use a 2013 law—Article 11.073 of the state’s Code of Criminal Procedure, often referred to as the “junk science law”—that offers an appeals avenue for people convicted because of faulty or outdated science. Three times, he’s asked the Court of Criminal Appeals (CCA) to take another look at his case in this context, to determine whether he should get a new trial.

But, like every other death-sentenced prisoner who has ever tried to use the law, Flores has been unsuccessful. 

The Unforgotten: “Riding Shotgun”

Texas legislators enacted the measure to address the evolution of forensics and the existing statutes’ inability to deal with changing science. But since then, no one on death row has been granted a new trial under the law, and many people who try to appeal based on it are shot down before a court even considers the facts or arguments.

In February, Flores’ attorney appealed to the U.S. Supreme Court to address whether—in consistently denying claims like his, which are ostensibly what the 2013 law was meant to address—the Texas court system is following the state’s own laws, or potentially violating people’s federal right to due process. The Supreme Court has not yet decided whether to take up the case, but the decision could have massive implications for both Flores’ case and future appeals in Texas. If the highest court renders a decision in favor of Flores and other potentially wrongfully convicted people, it will likely force the CCA to relax its extremely strict handling of these junk science appeals. If not, relief based on the first law of its kind passed in the United States would remain a pipe dream for most who try to use it. 

More than a thousand people have been exonerated in the United States since 1989 after being convicted based on false or misleading forensic evidence, according to the National Registry of Exonerations. The Death Penalty Information Center reports that about a third of death row exonerations were in cases tainted by some type of junk science. 

Flores’ petition drew support from criminal justice experts, psychology leaders, and even renowned magicians Penn Jillette and Teller, who argue that, as experts in toying with perception, they see the hallmarks of manipulation in the case. 

This isn’t the first time the measure’s effectiveness has been scrutinized. A 2024 report by the Texas Defender Service (TDS) found that the junk science law “is not working to provide relief to innocent people convicted based on false or unreliable forensic evidence.” 

Estelle Hebron-Jones, director of special projects with TDS, told the Observer that when the bill was passed, “It was seen as having the potential to be such a strong tool for people who had claims that were difficult to present in the existing post-conviction landscape.” In reality, cases that seem perfect for the legal pathway are meeting significant roadblocks. 

Flores’ petition to the Supreme Court argues that “copious evidence” in the case—including “junk science, false testimony, official misconduct, and, most critically, actual innocence”—should have been enough to earn him a new trial. But, attorney Gretchen Sween writes, “Texas’s highest criminal court, the sole arbiter of post-conviction relief in death-penalty cases, has dismissed those claims without considering the merits, an act that cannot be squared with the state law.” 

The report by TDS indicates this is a trend. Researchers analyzed appeals filed in the 10 years after the law took effect. In that time, just 15 people received relief based on shoddy forensic evidence—about 20 percent of those who tried. The report’s authors found that the CCA was holding applicants to a much higher standard than the junk science measure dictated. Under the statute, someone has to show that the science used at the time of their trial is suspect, either because new or previously unavailable evidence or science contradicts it. Then, they have to show that the new science or evidence would be admissible and likely would’ve affected the jury’s decision. 

“Instead, [the CCA] usually only grants relief if a person can show evidence strong enough to eliminate any rational basis for their conviction, such as exonerating DNA evidence or an alternate perpetrator,” the report’s authors wrote. This is a nearly impossible bar to surpass, and poses a particular problem when someone doesn’t have an attorney, or there’s no DNA evidence in the case.

Flores is among many on death row who have tried unsuccessfully to argue for a new trial based on shoddy forensic evidence, but he’s one of only seven who have had their cases actually reviewed on the merits. 

Even the case that helped inspire the 2013 law nearly didn’t pass muster with the CCA.

In 1999, the same year of Flores’ conviction, Neal Hampton Robbins was convicted by a Montgomery County jury of capital murder in the case that would be cited as the inspiration for Texas’ junk science law. 

Robbins was found guilty of killing his girlfriend’s 17-month-old daughter after the child was found unresponsive in her crib, for which he was sentenced to life in prison. In the following years, the associate medical examiner who’d determined the toddler’s cause of death had reevaluated the case and changed the cause to “undetermined,” but Robbins remained in prison. The CCA considered Robbins’ case before the junk science law was enacted, and judges pointed out that existing laws lacked a remedy for a case like this, where new scientific knowledge called the evidence used in trial into question. 

Robbins filed another appeal just days after the law took effect, but some of the judges seemed to resent the new statute: Judge Larry Meyers reportedly referred to it as “a clear attempt at a power grab” by legislators. Robbins was ultimately granted a new trial and, rather than re-try the case, prosecutors dropped the charges for lack of evidence. He was released in 2016. 

In a more recent Texas case, Robert Roberson’s conviction and death sentence based on the largely discredited “shaken baby syndrome” diagnosis drew international and legislative attention. Scheduled to be executed in October 2024, Roberson was spared at the eleventh hour when a bipartisan group of legislators found an unprecedented loophole. Some members of the Texas House of Representatives subpoenaed Roberson to testify in front of a legislative committee about the application of the junk science law at a hearing set for after his execution date.

That fall, members of the Texas House Committee on Criminal Jurisprudence held multiple hearings about the state’s junk science law and Roberson’s case. “Although our focus is Robert Roberson, we’re here because his case has shined a light on our new [junk] science writ law,” said Democratic state Representative Joe Moody at one hearing.

Kate Judson, executive director of the Center for Integrity in Forensic Sciences, said at the time that Roberson’s case is “one of the most egregious examples” of unreliable forensics being used to wrongly convict someone. Still, he faced another execution date in 2025, which was stopped when the CCA finally sent the case to a lower court to consider the arguments that the method used to determine shaken baby syndrome diagnoses has been debunked. The case is now pending in an Anderson County court.

A third Texas case that got further than most was that of Areli Escobar. Escobar, who was convicted of murdering his neighbor Bianca Maldonado Hernandez in 2011, maintained his innocence, and the forensics lab that conducted the testing in his case was so problematic that it was shut down in 2016—five years after he was sentenced to death. His lawyers argued the forensics from the case, including DNA findings and fingerprint analysis, were invalid. 

The CCA sent the case down to a trial court, and in a rare move, attorneys for the state actually agreed with the defense, saying Escobar deserved a new trial. Even with both sides’ support, his appeal was denied by the CCA. They said he hadn’t proved that the challenges to the DNA evidence would’ve changed the verdict.  

“When the law came into effect, people were hopeful,” said Daniel Woofter, one of Escobar’s attorneys. “It turned out to not actually provide relief to very meritorious cases like Areli’s. We’re still hopeful that … there may be fresh eyes taking a look at this law and the text of this law once more.”

Although today’s Supreme Court is somewhat unpredictable when it comes to matters of criminal justice reform, Flores’ attorney is hoping that the justices can provide their own fresh eyes on appeals that the Texas courts have barely bothered to justify denying.

There was a moment, nearly a decade ago, when it seemed like Flores might succeed in his appeal fight. After he argued that the prosecution’s reliance on a witness who’d been hypnotized had undermined the trial, the CCA agreed the matter was worth considering and sent the issue back to a lower court to further flesh out the evidence before the state’s top criminal court would rule. Remanding the case, Judge David Newell wrote that the CCA owed “a clear explanation for our decision to the citizens of Texas.” 

A Dallas district court held an evidentiary hearing in October of that year. Some of the key players from Flores’ 1999 trial again took the stand, including the witness who’d been hypnotized and the officer who conducted the session. Each side called scientific experts to opine on memory and hypnosis. Sween, Flores’ attorney, argued that the witness’ identification was so important to the state “because there had been so many inconsistencies among their other witnesses.” 

But after all of that, the CCA ultimately denied Flores a new trial without stating the reason—without the “clear explanation” Judge Newell promised. 

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Trump’s New Tool to Speed Up Wall Construction May Be a Trap for Texas Landowners

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As President Donald Trump’s second administration rushes to wall off the Texas border, landowners along the Rio Grande are being pushed to let construction begin on their property before the federal government purchases or condemns it.

Owners of real estate on the border are receiving letters from U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) offering a signing bonus of up to $5,000 to let government contractors survey their property and begin wall construction. In copies of the letters obtained by the Texas Observer, CBP promises to negotiate with landowners to purchase their real estate at a later date. They include a warning that if property owners don’t agree to the signing bonus or quickly sell, the government will file a lawsuit to condemn their property.

It’s a new tactic. Past administrations, including Trump’s first, simply sought to survey land as the initial step, according to documents reviewed by the Observer and multiple attorneys, with the government taking landowners to court who refused access. Property owners often received only $100 at this step. Negotiations over and possible condemnation of the land itself, using eminent domain, would come later and take place before construction began. In property condemnation proceedings, construction may still begin partway through the process thanks to the feds’ “quick take” power, but a court ultimately decides appropriate compensation.

The letters being sent to landowners this year are “very different” than before, said Carlos E. Flores, a Laredo attorney who has represented landowners facing condemnation lawsuits for the border wall.

“These actually give permission by the landowner to allow for construction operations on the property,” he said. “Theoretically if a person were to sign one of these [agreements], the government could come in, do measurements and build the wall.”

The border wall and a Border Patrol pickup in Hidalgo County in 2018 (Gus Bova)

The famed Big Bend national and state parks aside, nearly all the land along the Texas-Mexico border is privately owned. This has slowed down past presidential administrations’ wall-building efforts in the state, and most of the Texas border remains unfenced—though the Rio Grande Valley in deep South Texas hosts significant wall stretches and could soon see itself entirely divorced from its river.

Last year, Congress appropriated an unprecedented $46.5 billion for border barrier construction, including both 30-foot-tall steel fencing and river buoys, and the Trump administration has already awarded contracts for wall construction in Texas, despite having purchased very little property. Lawyers and border wall opponents say allowing construction before condemnation proceedings begin is risky. CBP is likely rushing to get construction underway before a Democratic Congress can claw back border wall funds or a new president puts a stop to the project, like former President Joe Biden partially did after Trump’s first term, said Martin Castro, the watershed science director for the Rio Grande International Study Center, a Laredo-based organization that has advocated against the border wall.

“Landowners are quite scared when they receive these [letters],” Castro said. CBP is moving with “a level of urgency that is probably being done to threaten landowners into submission.”

Generations of informal inheritance in communities along the Texas border has delayed condemnation suits in the past, as the federal government struggled to satisfy courts that they had identified the owners of property where wall construction was planned.

“I think South Texas poses that kind of challenge to them,” Flores said. “So maybe they’re looking for a way to create a shortcut, which is to have people sign this type of right of entry which permits them to start construction at the outset.”

The right-of-entry letters reviewed by the Observer offer three options: Landowners can make an “agreement … wherein CBP can access the property, complete surveys, appraise the property, and complete construction.” Or they can “negotiate a purchase or easement agreement … quickly enough that CBP’s construction timelines are not impacted.” If the landowner doesn’t meet the timeline, the letters say, there will be a “referral to the U.S. Department of Justice to initiate the eminent domain/condemnation process.”

The letters, which are signed by CBP Infrastructure Portfolio Director Paul Enriquez, describe the first option as the agency’s “preferred and ideal route” as this allows it to “complete construction as quickly as possible.”

The agreements being sent to landowners along the Rio Grande are unusual not just for border wall construction, but for eminent domain in general, said Roy Brandys, an Austin-based attorney who represents clients facing eminent domain.

For example, when the State of Texas wants to begin construction on land it plans to condemn for a new highway, it will offer property owners 75 to 100 percent of what officials think their real estate is worth along with a signing bonus, Brandys said. The $1,000 to $5,000 his clients along the border have been offered amounts to a much smaller percentage of the value. And the state’s agreements usually require the government to file a condemnation lawsuit in court if an agreement on the property’s final value can’t be reached. The letters CBP is sending out have no such requirement, making it unclear what will happen if a landowner allows the government to start construction but the parties are later unable to agree on a price, Brandys said.

Brandys said he isn’t advising his clients to sign the agreements.

“[CBP] might be very well intentioned; however, there’s no obligation on the part of the government to ultimately file the eminent domain case,” Brandys said. “You could have the situation whereby the landowner grants the right of entry for construction, they build the wall on the property, but then never get around to filing the condemnation case, or they take a very long time before filing the condemnation case, and in that situation the landowner would be stuck with the wall on their property without being paid adequate compensation, without a lawsuit even being filed.”

Yolanda Alvarado, whose family lives and ranches cattle on the Rio Grande in Far West Texas, said the process has been confusing. “It seems like a rush job. And these guys don’t really know what they’re doing,” said Alvarado, 38.

She said many landowners feel pressured to sign the agreements.

“It’s basically like: Either work with them, or they’re going to do it anyway. I know a lot of landowners down here don’t really have the means to fight back in court, or the means to get legal representation, or even know that process.”

The letters’ language threatening to refer landowners to the Justice Department is also potentially confusing, said Brandys, the Austin attorney. Landowners may believe that’s the worst outcome for them, but it’s common for infrastructure projects to result in land condemnation proceedings. As loathed as they are, eminent domain lawsuits offer certain protections, including requiring the government to deposit what it thinks is the fair market value for the property with the court, money that the landowner can withdraw while the proceedings are ongoing. Landowners may also be entitled to a jury trial. The right of entry agreements CBP is asking property owners to sign don’t offer those same protections. 

If no price agreement is reached and the Justice Department does fail to condemn, it may fall to the landowners to seek redress in the Court of Federal Claims in Washington. “I just don’t think that is a very good option for any landowner in this situation,” Brandys said.

CBP did not respond to requests for comment for this article.

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LATE SPRING ENDING WITH LUNAR ECLIPSE

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Fine thread nearly invisible in the early light
kept getting caught again and again in our mouths.
We gave up after walking through the fourth web,
turned around, and saved the outing for some other day.
We crossed back over the river that by now
Had been getting lower and lower, nearly dried out—
a coyote crossed with ease toward the lawn
and we saw it later lying there, dog-like, scratching its ear.

At night, a shadow of the Earth
crossed the face of the moon—a darker shade
of red. Beside us a porcupine we hadn’t noticed
appeared, perhaps looking for food. A shy animal,
he waddled off as soon as we spotted him,
our shock giving way to confusion, then glee.
He returned to the brush that he wandered through
to find us. From where did the animals here come?
The wild turkey, turtle, fish, cardinal,
coyote, bobcat—and where will they go
as houses and buildings encircle ever tighter?

Near midnight when the eclipse entered totality,
all we had to see it was a pair of binoculars.
At that moment I was reminded how brief this life is.
Time dragged out as I held onto your hand.
The TV buzzed in the background and kept me
from dozing too much. This house, its type of quietness
reminded me of the house of childhood: secluded
with the kind of boredom that allows, sometimes forces,
the mind to wander. What we are given doesn’t
always have to be what we continue to choose.

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