In South Texas House Runoff, It’s a Progressive Insurgent Versus the Establishment

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A close and contentious Democratic runoff is coming to a head this week in South Texas, pitting  young progressive Julio Salinas, a former legislative staffer who hails from Mission, against moderate Victor “Seby” Haddad, a local banker and McAllen city commissioner.

The MAGA wave that washed through the Rio Grande Valley in 2024 has both candidates vying to recapture public trust, fight President Donald Trump’s agenda, and maintain the historically blue seat in Texas House District 41. The 13-year incumbent state Representative Bobby Guerra—a prototypical moderate Valley Democrat—is stepping down, and has given his endorsement to Haddad. In the March primary, progressive voters split between Salinas and Eric Holguín, the Texas director of the Latino civil rights group UnidosUS. Salinas not only ousted Holguín from the race but earned the most votes overall, jolting the political system and putting him just above Haddad.

“The fact that he sort of emerged as the front runner was genuinely surprising, given the sort of disparity in funding and disparity in endorsements,” said Álvaro Corral, a political science professor at the University of Texas Rio Grande Valley.

Texas House District 41 sits in the heart of Hidalgo County and encompasses parts of McAllen, Mission, Edinburg, and Pharr; Trump won the border district, which is predominantly Hispanic, by 1.6 percent in 2024. Though conservative prosecutor Sergio Sanchez and MAGA candidate Gary Groves are also battling for the Republican nomination in a runoff, GOP voter turnout in this historically blue stronghold was notably half that of Democrats in the primary.

Given Trump’s aggressive immigration crackdowns and failure to address inflation, Corral believes it’s a good year to run as a progressive Democrat.

Salinas’ colorful campaign and strong social media presence are reminiscent of Zohran Mamdani’s insurgent mayoral run—or more close to home, Michelle Vallejo’s prior congressional runs. His platform focuses on improving public transportation, expanding Medicaid, and establishing paid family leave. His plan to strengthen public schools includes rolling back the state’s newly enacted private school vouchers and raising teacher salaries by $15,000.

Salinas, who is 26 years old, has embraced the identity of a young anti-establishment candidate going up against corruption and the “political machine,” vowing to fight against the oligarchs on the behalf of working families. His largest campaign contribution, totaling $50,000, comes from the Leaders We Deserve PAC. Founded by gun control activist David Hogg, the PAC supports young progressives and seeks to primary Democrats who are “unwilling or unable to meet the moment.” In past elections, the PAC has spent big in Texas boosting other progressive candidates, including now-Houston state Senator Molly Cook.

On May 15, Salinas even received the endorsement of Senator Bernie Sanders, one of his biggest political inspirations. Sanders won Hidalgo County and much of South Texas in the 2020 Democratic presidential primary. “I’ve been knocking on doors since I was 15 years old for Bernie Sanders’ campaign,” Salinas said. “I’m proud to say we’ve gone full circle.” Other prominent endorsements include Austin Congressman Greg Casar, the Texas House Democratic Caucus Vice-Chair Mihaela Plesa, and a handful of other Democratic state representatives around the state.

Haddad, on the other hand, is Vice President and Chief Lending Officer at Lone Star National Bank, the largest bank based in the region. He has the backing of most of the Rio Grande Valley’s Democratic contingent in the Texas House, including state Representatives Terry Canales, Sergio Muñoz, Oscar Longoria, and Armando Martinez.

Haddad’s platform focuses on property tax relief, strengthening small businesses, and protecting public schools. In 2019, Haddad was elected to the McAllen City Commission, where he enacted term limits, lowered the property tax rate, and worked on initiatives to develop the community.

On Saturday morning, families and older folks packed every table within the colorful walls of the 107 Cafe in Edinburg. More people crowded around the door for free breakfast and coffee at the campaign event with prominent local leaders, including the current and former Edinburg mayors and Hidalgo County district attorneys. 

Still, Haddad’s background has become fodder for his opponent. Throughout the race, Salinas has characterized Haddad as a wealthy banker corrupted by corporate influence and detached from the issues of the working class.

Several directors of the Lone Star National Bank have contributed to Haddad’s campaign. The bank’s founder Alonzo Cantu is considered to be the most powerful man in South Texas. Cantu is a founding board member of DHR Health, a large hospital system that operates in the Valley. Haddad’s father is a surgeon who also sits on the DHR Health management board.

The hospital’s political arm Border Health PAC has contributed $15,000 to Haddad’s campaign. The PAC’s contributors include directors of the Lone Star National Bank and Haddad’s father.

Haddad dismisses the suggestion that he is bought off or out of touch. Sitting in a McAllen coffee shop on Main Street, Haddad told the Observer that he’s not a millionaire and has never been influenced by power and money. He argued that the bank was an emblem of achievement for the Latino community, founded by the son of immigrants to offer services to disenfranchised people.  “Local groups supported me because they want what’s best for the region,” Haddad said plainly.

Yet at the same time, he said it’s critical for business professionals like himself to have sway in the local community. “The bank would always say ‘Get involved in the community, get on boards, try to get into a decision-making capacity,’” Haddad said. “It’s part of growing professionally.”

Haddad’s voting history has been another source of scrutiny. He voted in Republican primaries for a decade, until flipping to vote in the Democratic primary for the first time in 2024. Haddad said that he’s always considered himself a moderate and has always been anti-Trump. He claims he supported both Barack Obama and Joe Biden for president, despite voting for Republicans farther down the ballot.

“As we saw any semblance of decency from the Republican Party sort of fade away… I can no longer even vote on that side whatsoever,” Haddad said.

During debates and forums, Salinas and Holguín questioned Haddad’s loyalty and values, accusing him of using the Democratic Party as a ploy for power. Holguín even suggested that Haddad received local endorsements through backdoor agreements.

“I’m here to represent you,” Holguín told voters in a forum hosted by Raise Your Hand Texas, “Not the powerful interests, or the corporations, or the banks.”

After coming third in the March primary, Holguín shocked many of his supporters by turning around and endorsing Haddad. He argued that House District 41 needs a candidate who can build a coalition of Republicans, Democrats and independents to truly combat Trump’s agenda. His endorsement has shaken up people’s expectations for the runoff, making it unclear whether Holguín’s former supporters will give a competitive edge to Haddad or Salinas.

“Seby is genuinely decent, open to hard conversations, and doesn’t run from criticism,” Holguín wrote in the Rio Grande Guardian. “Seby isn’t just running to win a Primary. He’s making the case for November.”

The most concrete benefit for Haddad could be his access to campaign funding and local support from the political establishment, said Corral, especially in a race that Texas Republicans may target to flip in the general election. 

Driving up 10th Street, which bisects the district, large signs greet you with Haddad’s smile on nearly every block.

“It’s undeniable that he would by far be the better situated candidate financially to withstand the potential amount of money that would be spent on the Republican side to flip this seat,” Corral said.

As of the most recent reports through May 18, Haddad has raised about $285,000 and has $73,000 cash on hand remaining compared with Salinas at around $210,000 raised and $20,000 cash on hand.

In Holguín’s endorsement, he also mentioned that “ideology without strategy doesn’t move the needle for real people,” a subtle dig at Salinas’ unabashedly progressive campaign. Throughout the race, Holguín and Haddad have argued that Salinas lacks work experience or overexaggerates his prior experience in the state Legislature, where he touts his position as an aide for  state Representatives Lulu Flores and Christina Morales. One of Haddad’s mailers describes Salinas as “currently unemployed,” and claims he used his parents’ address to run for office.

Salinas said that was deliberately misleading. “I live with my parents, and I’m proud to live with my parents,” Salinas told the Observer. “The economy of today is not allowing people like me to buy homes.”

After graduating from the University of Texas at Austin in winter 2022, he became a legislative aide and communications director for Flores, an Austin Democrat. He also worked at the Ponce Law Firm in Austin, which he says has helped get immigrants released from inhumane Immigration and Customs Enforcement detention facilities.

He went on to become the legislative director for Houston state Representative Christina Morales, where he says he handled a portfolio of bills related to raising the minimum wage, addressing food deserts, adding ethnic studies to school curriculum, and increasing the homestead tax exemption. His tenure with Morales ended in January, when he began full-time campaigning for the 41st. 

At a blockwalking event in Archer Park, a small square in the heart of old McAllen, Salinas greeted volunteers with his whole family in tow. Locals and members of the Texas State Employees Union gathered to talk about the race and get out the vote for Salinas. Born and raised in the area, Salinas seemed to already know many young voters we encountered.

A fresh high school graduate in light blue regalia excitedly posed for grad photos in the park with Salinas. She was eager to cast her first ever vote for him and took home a campaign sign. It’s those young voters, he says, who are eager for the sort of progressive fighter like him—not the traditional sort of business-friendly moderate who’s long dominated the Democratic politics scene in this region. 

“I reject the idea that you need to compromise your values, and you need to elect a DINO in order to win a competitive district,” said Salinas. “Especially in a time and a place where our organizational efforts have been one of the best in the entire battle.”

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Ruptured Families: The U.S. Citizen Children Left Behind by Deportations

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The 3-year-old has barely slept in six months. She wakes up in the middle of the night calling for her father. The mother rises, gives the girl milk to calm her down, and lies, saying her daddy is driving his truck farther away than ever, but he’s coming back soon. 

The girl settles. A while later, she asks again. Since last October, when her father was detained at a routine check-in with Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and deported to Mexico, this scene plays out every night in a Houston household.

Her little brother is only 2. He doesn’t ask much yet. In April, on his birthday, his father sent a message via WhatsApp from Cancún. “Forgive me for not being able to be by your side on this special day. It saddens me not to be able to hug you and congratulate you in person. Dad loves you very much,” he wrote in Spanish, alongside a photo of the boy wearing a little cowboy hat.

These children are American citizens. They were born in Texas. The same government that deported their father is, in theory, responsible for protecting them. But when the man we’ll identify by a family name, Lazo, was deported, his family was left to try to survive without him. 

And they’re not alone: Nationally, authorities arrested and detained the parents of at least 11,000 U.S. citizen children in just the first seven months of Trump’s second term—more than 50 American kids a day with a parent pulled into detention, according to a ProPublica analysis of ICE data obtained by the University of Washington as part of a lawsuit.

A young girl holds an American flag during a 2014 immigrant rights demonstration in Seattle. (Alex Milan Tracy/Sipa USA)

Lazo’s daughter turned 3 eleven days after her father’s detention in October. It was the first birthday they’d spent apart. 

Her mother, who is not being named because she is not a citizen and fears being targeted, was terrified. Suddenly, she was alone with two small children, no steady work, the rent due, and all their other bills. Her daughter’s birthday fell on a Thursday, and on Friday Lazo’s partner went looking for a job. She was hired that same day at a lumber and vinyl plank factory at $14 an hour. Since then, she has been getting up before sunrise and returning near dark. Her hands are already beaten up and raw, but when they call her for overtime, she can’t say no. Her highest biweekly paycheck has been $1,300. The monthly rent costs $1,600. 

Those numbers don’t add up. She had to return the car they shared. She got a cheaper one—but even that is barely manageable. “I work practically to pay for the car.”

They’ve been apart for seven months now. She needs the car to get to the factory. She needs the factory to pay for the car. Somewhere inside that loop are the two children, who are asleep when she leaves and who spend the day with their aunt—a Spanish citizen who traveled here on a tourist visa to help. 

The only institutional support the family receives is $785 a month in SNAP, the federal food assistance program whose average benefit in Texas amounts to $6.19 per person per day, according to Feeding Texas. They also get assistance from WIC, a nutrition program for low-income families with children under 5. Once a month, they receive fruits, vegetables, milk, rice, and beans.  

All that support combined covers only three weeks of food for the children each month.

Before Lazo was deported, the parents shared expenses. He brought in more money, and she had more time for the children, who aren’t yet school age. (PreK, if she can find space, would be available only for her daughter next year.) Now it seems impossible. 

A recent study by American Families United, an advocacy group for mixed‑status families, suggests this kind of economic pressure was already common even without the specter of increased detention and deportation that began last year.

About 822,500 U.S. citizen children in Texas live with at least one undocumented parent, according to data from the American Immigration Council. No federal or state program exists to help these divided families cover rent, utilities, or childcare—financial holes that open in a household when the breadwinner is deported. “There are no programs in place to specifically assist families who are separated by immigration enforcement activity,” said Trudy Taylor Smith, director of policy and advocacy at Children’s Defense Fund Texas. 

Lazo came to the United States in June 2017 from Cuba. He made a perilous journey across the Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico via speedboat and then crossed the border from Mexico to the United States on foot. In some ways, he arrived too late: Six months earlier, President Barack Obama had ended the so-called wet foot/dry foot policy, which since 1995 had guaranteed any Cuban who set foot on U.S. soil a path to permanent residence.

Lazo turned himself in at Nuevo Laredo along with eight other Cubans. According to him, all the others were granted immigration parole. He was not. That meant the others could apply for a green card under the Cuban Adjustment Act, which generally allows any Cuban who has been “inspected and admitted or paroled” to apply for permanent residence after one year in the country. Lazo received an I-220B, an order of supervision—not the equivalent of parole.

Later, he hired an attorney and tried applying again. His case was administratively closed—neither approved nor denied. So he built a life in Texas. He studied and received a commercial driver’s license and started driving trucks, maintaining a license with no penalties for six years. Every year, without exception, he went to check in with ICE. 

Then, on October 7, he typed his information into the machine, which normally just printed a slip with his next appointment date. Instead, agents emerged and detained him on the spot.

ICE has maintained an internal policy on the detention of parents since 2013. The latest version of the Detained Parent Directive, issued in July 2025, still requires agents to ask whether the person being detained has children and to give them the opportunity to make arrangements. 

When Lazo was detained, he said that no one asked him about his children. 

Suma Setty, senior policy analyst for immigration and immigrant families at the Center for Law and Social Policy, a nonprofit that focuses on low-income families in Washington, D.C., said the directive may be unenforced.

“There’s no accountability mechanism in place to make sure that ICE officers actually account for parents’ rights,” she said. “There [are] a lot of reports out there that have found that ICE is not doing that and that children have been left in dangerous situations.” She described a mother with children in the Detroit metro area who went a week without eating in October 2025 because she was too afraid to go to the grocery store. 

Lazo is one of many Texas parents who have been separated from U.S. citizen children under the Trump administration. In Corpus Christi, a 28-year-old Nicaraguan mother who cleaned houses for a living was detained on April 29, 2025, while driving to work. Two cars cut her off in the street. She never got to say goodbye to her husband or their six-month-old baby, who is an American citizen. She had a valid work permit, and her asylum case—denied at the first level—was on appeal.  Fifteen days before her arrest, she had attended her ICE check-in with no trouble. She was eventually released.

In Wimberley, a Russian artist who fled his country because of his anti-war activism was detained at a routine ICE check-in in February. He had lived openly in Texas for two years, complying with every appointment without incident. His U.S. citizen daughter was eight months old. According to a fundraising page his partner published to cover legal fees, officers confirmed his detention was not caused by anything he had done—only by “new policies.” 

Lazo arrived at the ICE detention center in Montgomery County in October with a cough and cold that only got worse. “There were about 90 of us in bunk beds,” he said. “Everyone sick.” He requested medical appointments, but was never seen.

After 21 days, he was loaded in a bus with his hands cuffed and his ankles shackled in the middle of the night. Three days later, he was dropped off about 1,000 miles south in the Mexican state of Chiapas. Lazo had only his phone and his Apple Watch. He made it to Cancún only because a friend wired him money. There, he’s been trying to find work and a way to survive.

Meanwhile, Lazo’s family is struggling. Historically, social service agencies have not collected information on parents’ immigration status in applications for programs like WIC and SNAP. But many undocumented families are not claiming benefits out of fear of being targeted by ICE. 

In order to pick up their children’s WIC benefits, Lazo’s partner must drive. One afternoon, after leaving the factory, she saw several patrol cars ahead in the street. She turned around. Her supervisor came out to check and told her it was only an accident. “I see a sheriff and that’s it—I freeze up. Imagine what could happen to my kids if I get stopped,” she said. 

She’s not the only one to get spooked. A WIC provider in Texas told researchers that whenever patrol cars were parked near her clinic, families would call to cancel appointments, according to a report called “Caregiving in Crisis,” published in April.

If something happened to their mother, Lazo’s children’s options are limited. They have cousins here, but they are undocumented too.

In its report, CLASP documented five early childhood educators who had been asked by parents to serve as temporary guardians in case they were detained.  

In 2022, the U.S. Administration for Children and Families (AFCARS) began requiring states to report whenever a child entered foster care because a parent had been detained or deported. But by 2024, only about half of the states had incorporated that field into AFCARS submissions, and the data is incomplete. In Texas, none of the 9,750 children who entered foster care in fiscal year 2025 were classified under that category. Nationally, 232 of 175,008 children who entered foster care that year were recorded as linked to a parent’s detention or deportation. 

Lazo’s partner knows her daughter will likely one day realize that her father isn’t on an endless truck route. But she doesn’t want to take her children to Mexico.

She left Cuba in 2017, lived three years in Chile, crossed the Darién Gap—one of the world’s most dangerous migration routes—and arrived in Texas in 2021. She doesn’t want to move again. “First of all, Mexico is a dangerous country. And second, where would I even go? I have nothing there.”

What they both pray for is that her pending U.S. residency application is approved. It’s been pending for 500 days already. If that happens, she could travel to Mexico, legally marry her husband, and request an immigration waiver for him—though each step in that process could take years.

The last option rests with her children. Under federal law, a U.S. citizen can petition for a deported parent to return—when they turn 21. Her older child is only 3. She isn’t sure she can “hold on alone for that long.”

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The Response We Really Need to the Supreme Court’s Gutting of the VRA

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The United States Supreme Court’s decision in Louisiana v. Callais did not surprise anyone who has been paying attention. The 6-3 ruling on April 29 effectively gutted Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act, allowing states to dismantle majority-minority districts and clearing the way for a wave of mid-decade redistricting already underway in Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, and beyond. The dissents from Justices Kagan and Jackson named what the majority did, the “now-completed demolition” of the Voting Rights Act. The political class is scrambling to respond.

The instinct of the response so far has been right, but incomplete. New maps. New litigation. State-level Voting Rights Acts. Congressional pressure. All necessary. None sufficient.

What is missing is a recognition of what it actually took, the first time, to pass federal civil rights legislation in the 1960s. The Voting Rights Act of 1965 was not the work of legal advocates alone. It was the legislative ratification of a civic capacity that had been built, painstakingly, over more than 50 years, through Black churches, historically Black college and university (HBCU) networks, the Highlander Folk School, the Citizenship Education Program of the SCLC, the Mississippi Freedom Schools, and, before all of those, the Jeanes Teachers and the Rosenwald schools network that sustained Black community life across the segregated South from the early twentieth century forward. The Civil Rights Act and the Voting Rights Act passed because the institutional pathways were built and put in place. The marches mobilized the people the organizing had been forming for decades.

That is the capacity the country needs to rebuild now. Not because the threat is the same, but because the response has to come from the same place: the institutions of everyday life in democracy where people either get formed into citizens with standing, or they don’t.

The contested frontier of citizenship today is not the racism that animated Jim Crow. It is erosion of the standing through which ordinary people are able to act on and act in public life in ways that make a difference. In this narrow sense, the Court’s majority sees something the dissent does not. The legal architecture of 1965 was built for a frontier that has shifted. What the Supreme Court’s conservative majority misses is everything that follows from that fact.

Today the people’s capacity to work together to build a common life depends less on the decree of governments than on the daily practice of institutions—the schools, workplaces, agencies, hospitals, universities, congregations, and more through which ordinary people meet public life and either acquire standing or lose it. What has settled into the daily practice of institutions over the last four decades is a management operating style that translates democratic problems into administratively legible substitutes. Institutions treat people largely as stakeholders, clients, users, or risk factors—categories to be managed—rather than as co-creators of a public life institutions help build. The practice presents itself as neutral, pragmatic, and responsible, precisely the traits that allow it to evade democratic scrutiny. And it is self-undermining even on its own terms. Its routine operations drain the civic standing that institutions depend on, and its characteristic response to problems often only makes matters worse—more procedure, more audit, more managed participation. The right calls this the administrative state. The left calls it neoliberalism. They are naming, badly, the same approach.

These institutions are not government in the legal sense. But they govern. They make rules that shape people’s lives and the future, distribute consequences that determine who can act, and form citizens. Democracy is not the property of the state. It is the property of every institution that organizes power in and over people’s lives. 

The response, then, has to be a constructive project: rebuilding the civic architecture through which ordinary people acquire standing and act with binding public civic consequence. Not voice. Not engagement. Not dialogue alone. But standing, the recognized capacity to make claims on a future that institutions help people build. Authorship, the practice of co-writing the response of institutions to the world. Pathways, the durable structures that carry decisions forward instead of dissipating them into process. 

The civil rights movement built power not by capturing the state but by building institutions (Black churches, HBCUs, the Highlander Folk School, the Citizenship Education Program) that formed citizens capable of acting on and with the state when the moment came. The Voting Rights Act ratified that capacity. It did not create it.

That capacity is what needs rebuilding now. 

At the Farmer House Politics Lab we call this work Civic 2035, a framework for building the next chapter of the American civil rights movement by 2035, the 70th anniversary of the Voting Rights Act. Civic 2035 is not a program or a policy fix. It is a framework for rebuilding the structures that allow people to act as co-authors of a common life. Democracy depends on people (teachers, pastors, supervisors, civil servants, and more) who carry public purpose into their everyday work and who treat their jobs as a form of citizenship rather than as service-delivery. The practice reflects an American citizen tradition that treats democracy as something built every day inside the institutions where ordinary people spend their lives. But where such “civic professionals” open doors, civic architecture keeps those doors open across generations. It shifts democracy from relying on exceptional individuals to relying on durable design.

This is the work the Texas HBCU Democracy Schools Alliance has been carrying for the last six years across Texas HBCU campuses, with the Politics Lab as its institutional home. A first-year student can arrive on campus, discover her own voice in public debate, and by the end of the semester stand alongside peers and faculty presenting proposals at the Texas State Capitol. The Texas HBCU Legislative Caucus, a bipartisan body inside the Texas Legislature, the first of its kind in any state, emerged from that work. Not from litigation. Not from pressure. From sustained relational organizing, partnership, and a refusal to treat the institutions of American public life as someone else’s to run.

What is true in Texas can be true anywhere. The civil rights movement did not end. It waits for its next chapter. Civic 2035 is our chance to write it, and to build the institutions that will hold it.

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Bo French’s Blood-and-Oil Bid for Railroad Commissioner

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Former Tarrant County GOP Chairman Bo French is running what can fairly be called a fossil fascist campaign in his bid to unseat incumbent Railroad Commissioner Jim Wright in the May 26 runoffs. A victory for French would secure him the GOP nomination for a six-year term atop the agency that oversees, and is generally captured by, the state’s all-too-precious oil and gas industry.

Wright and French essentially tied at 32 percent in a five-way March primary, with French running strongest in the Houston and Dallas-Fort Worth areas. In Texas, incumbents forced into runoffs rarely survive.

The 56-year-old French spends much of his time commenting on things that seem far afield from oil and gas regulation. A silver-spoon scion of a Texas oil family, the well-coiffed French has called on X for the deportation of a Chinese-American state representative and a Muslim state representative—and indeed the denaturalization and deportation of all Muslims in America based on religious faith.

French has also repeatedly affirmed his belief in the far-right “Great Replacement” conspiracy theory, which holds that there’s a concerted effort by Democrats, Jews, or some other secretive “cabal” of evildoers to crowd out white people through mass immigration. “The Great Replacement is real,” he posted in November.

The idea as we know it today has its roots in French novelist Jean Raspail’s 1973 The Camp of the Saints, which depicted immigrants laying dystopian waste to the West. The novel’s racial paranoia animated the white nationalists who built the modern anti-immigration movement. The novel also inspired another French author, Renaud Camus, who pushed the idea closer to the mainstream some 15 years ago.

But “replacement”-style fears of white “extinction” stretch back much further: They spurred American eugenicists to introduce racist immigration quotas in the United States in 1924, as well as motivating völkisch ideologues to devise a political program to protect Germany’s “Aryan racial peasant core” that would ultimately fuel the Nazis’ imperial expansion and mass extermination project.

A hundred years later, French’s rhetoric has reappropriated the same fascist blood-and-soil rhetoric, pushing beyond the bounds even of Texas’ already far-right statewide Republican leaders. In October, French discussed “the ‘replacement’ of Europe’s sons & daughters in their blood-won lands,” writing that “We’re exiles in our own nations.” As a solution, he calls for the removal of all “third world savages,” including some Native Americans—“who we conquered, then bizarrely let have a nation inside our nation.”

Echoing fascists who’ve come before, French’s MAGA culture war seeks to “reclaim the natural order.” The order that he seeks, though, is decidedly anti-nature. Concerning the actual job of the Railroad Commission (RRC), French proposes to further deregulate an industry that already runs roughshod over the state’s ecologically interdependent web of life: He refers to modest oilfield waste rules spearheaded by Wright as “Green New Deal environmental regulations” that must be abolished.

In other words, French is running a blood-and-oil campaign that displaces blame for environmental and resource crises onto the far right’s favorite scapegoats: immigrants and Muslims.

Take his approach to the unfolding water crisis in Corpus Christi, for instance: French has run a major campaign ad laying the blame at the feet of the plastics company SABIC—not for its role as a major industrial petrochemical manufacturer and water user, but for the fact that it’s owned by Muslims (i.e. Saudi Aramco). In reality, the city’s water crisis is the result of a fossil-fuel driven feedback loop: Fossil extraction continues to drive planetary temperatures higher, propelling a drought that, in combination with operation of several major petrochemical outfits in the area, is sapping the city dry.

This type of deflection is likely to proliferate as the climate crisis accelerates in tandem with the rising racial resentment on display in French’s campaign. (This is all something I’ve spent the last several years researching for my forthcoming book, Blood, Soil, and Oil: Far Right Acceleration in the Age of Climate Crisis.) 

Behind French are some familiar characters in Texas far-right politics: the same notorious archconservative oil magnates, Tim Dunn and Farris Wilks, whose money has been deployed against incumbent Republicans for more than a decade now. The Texas Freedom Fund for the Advancement of Justice, a PAC funded by Dunn and historically by Wilks, provided French with $375,000, more than half his campaign war chest in the run-up to the March 3 primary. (The PAC refunded $1 million to Wilks last summer, before it started giving to French’s RRC campaign, but Wilks did chip in a small personal contribution to French in February.)

These West Texas oilmen’s political giving fits the oil industry’s long history of funding and fueling fascist regimes. The Koch brothers’ father literally built a pivotal oil refinery for the Nazis. Spanish General Francisco Franco’s fascist revolt wouldn’t have been possible without Texaco. And BP fueled South Africa’s apartheid military (a system of rule that French openly defends).

In fact, French himself is an oil industry nepo baby: His father, Bob French, hoovered up over $100 million in Texas oil money as part of a generation of independent wildcatters that the RRC leveled the playing field for in the post-war years. According to one obituary, Bob was eventually “inducted into the All-American Wildcatters in 1982.” Bo French’s grandfather, Lloyd Robert French, also cofounded the Permian Basin Oil Show in 1940 and served as its first president from 1950 to 1952. Now known as the Permian Basin International Oil Show, the massive expo brings hundreds of oil and gas industry exhibitors to the Midland-Odessa area every year.

Wright, meanwhile, who secured his position through his own upset of an RRC incumbent in 2020, is backed by a broader swath of the oil and gas industry. ConocoPhillips, Valero Energy, Chevron, and Exxon have collectively funneled him at least $50,000 over this election cycle. Energy Transfer Partner’s Kelcy Warren (of Standing Rock and Dakota Access Pipeline infamy) has put up $10,000. In the typical railroad commissioner mold, Wright owns several gas patch waste companies and is invested in some of the very drillers he’s supposed to regulate.

Although French is backed by the insurgent wing of the party, including Senate candidate and Attorney General Ken Paxton, conservative stalwart and fellow Dunn beneficiary Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick has endorsed Wright. Last summer, Patrick called for French’s resignation as Tarrant County GOP chair after French tweeted a poll asking his followers whether Jews or Muslims were the bigger “threat” to the nation. Governor Greg Abbott is backing Wright as well.

French’s fascism has nevertheless managed to push Wright to the, well, right. “Like every Texan, I am deeply concerned about the alarming Islamification of Texas. I fully expect the Texas Legislature to make this issue a priority in the upcoming session,” Wright posted on May 5. “But the Texas Railroad Commission, the agency charged with regulating the oil and gas industry,” he clarified, “has no authority to make any policy that would affect this issue.”

Neither French nor Wright responded to requests for comment for this article.

In an interesting global twist, French has made Islamophobia the heart of his campaign at a time when the very industry he’s seeking to oversee is reaping massive profits from the Trump administration’s war on Iran—and costing average Texans more at the pump as a result. Unlike some on the fringe right, French has stood with Trump on Iran. If history’s a guide, French’s cheerleading of hostilities abroad, paired with a hands-off regulatory approach, could portend economic disaster—and maybe a political shift down the road.

In his 1981 book, Petroleum Politics and the Texas Railroad Commission, University of Texas Emeritus Professor of Government David Prindle outlines how the RRC’s decision to allow the maximum rate of domestic extraction (crashing prices) handed embargo power to the Organization for Petroleum Exporting Countries, which rapidly curtailed extraction rates elsewhere. Then, the RRC’s failure to handle a Central Texas gas shortage amid the 1973 oil embargo crisis set up a pro-regulation and pro-consumer RRC candidate for victory during the 1976 election. Today’s global energy shock sets up a new opportunity for a historical echo, Prindle told the Observer.

Prindle also said he takes French’s Islamophobic attacks personally, since his wife is Turkish and culturally Muslim. French’s strategy, Prindle says, isn’t exactly new. “The original Ku Klux Klan in the 1860s was anti-Black, but the second Ku Klux Klan in the 1920s was at least as much anti-immigrant as it was anti-Black,” he said. “So the idea that white and incidentally, Christians, are under attack is by no means something [new].”

In a more immediate sense, the difference between a French term on the RRC and a second Wright term for day-to-day oil operations might be subtle. Since 2021, Wright has taken fairly standard positions on the agency’s biggest issues, paying bare-minimum lip service to issues of flaring, plugging abandoned wells, and injection blowouts and seismicity.

Drawing French’s ire, Wright did spearhead an effort to update the commission’s oilfield waste rules to require drillers to register their rainbow-hued toxic tailing ponds. The rules touched a nerve among the likes of Tim Dunn when the draft was released in 2024. His son’s oil and gas company later sued the RRC over the regulation.

Jim Wright (Courtesy/campaign)

Still, the difference between Wright and French on issues like flaring and waste pits isn’t much more than rhetorical window dressing, argued Virginia Palacios, executive director of Commission Shift Action, which promotes pro-regulatory reform at the RRC. While French has taken aim at the RRC’s wastefield rules as overly burdensome, Palacios said they ultimately amount to an ineffective patchwork with different requirements for different drillers.

“For Bo French to come in and talk about deregulating this industry … it really raises a lot of questions,” Palacios told the Observer. “What does he even want? Why even go through the process of deregulating when the rules are so weak, and they’re already not being enforced, and they don’t mean anything?” 

Moreover, French has vowed to eliminate Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI) initiatives at the RRC—something that has already been effectively dismantled at state agencies after Abbott’s 2025 executive order banning such policies. While French has likewise made hay of the RRC’s Historically Underutilized Businesses program, the Texas Comptroller already restructured the program last year to the exclusive benefit of veterans. Nevertheless, Palacios argues his hostility toward DEI could hurt RRC recruitment and retention.

In any case, whoever emerges from this month’s GOP runoff will face Houston-area petroleum engineer and Democratic state Representative Jon Rosenthal in the November midterms. Rosenthal’s campaign has centered on the need for tighter weatherization standards for the industry after power losses during 2021’s Winter Storm Uri. He has also promised to more meaningfully restrain flaring and waste pits, bring down gas prices through better oversight, and protect the state’s dwindling water supply from oil contamination and leaks.

Another issue Rosenthal told the Observer he generally supports is re-empowering local municipalities. In 2014, the state legislature stripped municipalities of local regulatory control over oil and gas drilling sites following a novel fracking ban passed in Denton, and handed that power to the RRC. Rosenthal said he supports returning local control to cities and counties, an issue with implications for communities engaged in fights against artificial intelligence-related data centers and accompanying gas plants.

Stripping local authority, Rosenthal said, was an egregious overstep. “It was before I got in, but even during my time, this legislature has routinely preempted local control in all sorts of areas,” he said. “Local control used to be a cornerstone of Republican political ideology. I don’t know what happened.”

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